YUMC Yum China Holdings Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

YUMC's RSI Oscillator dives oversold zone

The RSI Indicator for YUMC moved into overbought territory on October 02, 2026. Be on the watch for a price drop or consolidation in the future -- when this happens, think about selling the stock or exploring put options.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 39 of 69 cases where YUMC's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for YUMC just turned positive on September 30, 2026. Looking at past instances where YUMC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 55 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.

Following a +1.12% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where YUMC advanced for three days, in 163 of 280 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.

YUMC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 26, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on YUMC as a result. In 61 of 96 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.

YUMC moved below its 50-day moving average on September 02, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for YUMC crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 09, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where YUMC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.

The Aroon Indicator for YUMC entered a downward trend on October 02, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 19 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.596) is normal, around the industry mean (5.328). P/E Ratio (15.055) is within average values for comparable stocks, (37.793). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.917) is also within normal values, averaging (7.754). Dividend Yield (0.027) settles around the average of (0.020) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.192) is also within normal values, averaging (2.618).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 51 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 70 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. YUMC’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. YUMC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock worse than average.