ZUMZ stock forecast, quote, news & analysis
Zumiez Inc is a United States-based specialty retailer engaged in the sale of apparel, footwear, accessories, and hard goods... Show more
Zumiez Inc. (ZUMZ) Stock Analysis: A Modest Rebound From Post-Earnings Lows
Key Takeaways
- Zumiez shares traded near $15.13 in late October 2026, roughly 9.8% above the $13.78 close from 30 calendar days earlier, marking a partial recovery rather than a breakout.
- The move follows a sharp post-earnings selloff after the company's September 10 second-quarter report, which missed revenue and profit expectations and triggered a double-digit single-day decline.
- U.S. softness, particularly in footwear and store traffic, remains the primary headwind, while international operations continue to post positive comparable sales.
- Zumiez maintains a debt-free balance sheet with a substantial cash position and an active share-repurchase program, which has supported shareholder value.
- Fiscal 2026 guidance points to low-single-digit full-year sales declines and roughly flat operating margin, reflecting a conservative outlook into the holiday season.
- For additional detail on this ticker, explore Price Targets, Earnings, and Forecast pages.
- To see how automated strategies are positioning across the market, explore Trending AI Robots.
Current Market Snapshot
Zumiez Inc. (ZUMZ) entered late October 2026 trading in the low-to-mid $14 range before edging toward the $15 mark, a level that reflects steady but uneven recovery from its September selloff. The stock's trajectory has been dominated by company-specific fundamentals rather than broad retail momentum, as investors weigh persistent U.S. softness against a resilient international business and a fortress-like balance sheet.
As a small-cap specialty retailer operating in a discretionary spending category, Zumiez remains sensitive to consumer confidence, mall traffic trends, and footwear demand cycles. Its roughly 9.8% advance over the trailing 30 days suggests bargain-oriented buying after the post-earnings decline, though the stock has yet to fully reclaim levels seen before the second-quarter report.
Zumiez Inc. (ZUMZ) Business Overview and Competitive Position
Zumiez is a specialty retailer of apparel, footwear, accessories, and hardgoods for young men and women, rooted in action sports, streetwear, skateboarding, and snowboarding culture. The company operates under three banners—Zumiez in North America, Blue Tomato in Europe, and Fast Times in Australia—alongside e-commerce platforms including zumiez.com and blue-tomato.com. As of mid-2026, the company operated roughly 715 stores across the United States, Canada, Europe, and Australia.
The retailer's competitive positioning centers on curated brand assortments, an authentic connection to action-sports and streetwear communities, and a growing private-label business that has climbed to about 30% of sales, up from 12% five years earlier. This private-label expansion has been a key driver of gross-margin improvement. Zumiez is also actively rationalizing its store footprint, planning store closures in fiscal 2026 while opening a small number of new North American locations, a strategy aimed at improving profitability per store.
Recent Developments Driving ZUMZ
The dominant catalyst over the past 30 days traces back to Zumiez's second-quarter fiscal 2026 results, released on September 10, 2026. Net sales declined 2.5% year over year to $209 million, while comparable sales fell 2.1%. North American comparable sales dropped 2.9%, driven primarily by continued weakness in footwear and lower store traffic, while Canada, Europe, and Australia all posted positive comparable sales growth. The company reported a widened net loss of $2.7 million, or $0.17 per share, missing consensus estimates and sending shares down sharply.
Management also issued cautious third-quarter guidance, projecting sales of $222 million to $226 million—a year-over-year decline of 5.5% to 7%—with comparable sales expected down 5% to 6.5% and earnings per share between breakeven and $0.10. Quarter-to-date trends through early September showed net sales down 4.3%, reinforcing the cautious tone.
Offsetting these pressures, Zumiez's financial position remains a source of strength. The company held approximately $97 million in cash and marketable securities at the end of the second quarter, carried no debt, and maintained an unused $25 million credit facility. Its board authorized a $40 million share-repurchase program in March 2026, and the company repurchased 1.2 million shares during the second quarter, reducing its share count by roughly 6% year over year. These buybacks, combined with disciplined inventory management, have provided a measure of support as the stock stabilized through October.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page showcases a curated selection of automated trading strategies from a platform that hosts hundreds of AI-driven bots trading thousands of tickers. Rather than listing every available system, the page highlights top-performing and currently relevant robots, helping users quickly identify strategies attracting attention. The bots vary widely in approach, timeframe, and performance metrics, ranging from short-term momentum models to longer-horizon trend-following systems. For traders researching names like Zumiez or scanning the broader market, the section offers a practical starting point for exploring how algorithmic strategies are positioned.
2026 Outlook and What Investors Should Watch
Looking ahead, the key event on Zumiez's calendar is its third-quarter earnings report, expected around late November 2026, which will cover the quarter ending October 31 and provide the first read on holiday-season momentum. Investors will focus on whether U.S. comparable sales stabilize, whether footwear—the largest single headwind—shows signs of recovery, and whether international markets sustain their positive trajectory.
Beyond earnings, the holiday shopping season represents a pivotal test for a retailer heavily weighted toward discretionary purchases. Management has emphasized merchandise assortment changes and customer experience initiatives aimed at improving U.S. performance, along with a full-price selling model gaining traction in Europe. Macroeconomic factors, including consumer spending pressure and any escalation of geopolitical or inflationary concerns, will also influence demand. Store-closure execution, private-label penetration, and the pace of share repurchases remain additional variables that could shape both sales and earnings per share into 2026.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
ZUMZ in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026
ZUMZ moved below its 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 39 of 40 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ZUMZ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.
ZUMZ broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 09, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ZUMZ as a result. In 64 of 90 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
The 10-day moving average for ZUMZ crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 10, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 7 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.
Following a +6.91% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ZUMZ advanced for three days, in 183 of 263 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 115 of 184 cases where ZUMZ Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 62%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 55 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.771) is normal, around the industry mean (1.858). P/E Ratio (20.647) is within average values for comparable stocks, (12.576). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.050) is also within normal values, averaging (0.517). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.067) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.237) is also within normal values, averaging (0.652).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. ZUMZ’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 84 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ZUMZ’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a footware & apparel company
Industry ApparelFootwearRetail