Zevia PBC is a beverage company disrupting the liquid refreshment beverage industry through refreshing, zero-calorie, zero-sugar, naturally sweetened beverages that are all Non-GMO Project Verified... Show more
Zevia PBC is a beverage company that develops, markets, sells, and distributes zero-sugar, zero-calorie, naturally sweetened beverages using stevia, including sodas, energy drinks, and organic teas. The company operates in the competitive non-alcoholic beverages industry, positioning itself as a healthier alternative with clean-ingredient, Non-GMO Project Verified products sold through grocery, mass, club, convenience, and e-commerce channels in the U.S. and Canada.
Its business model relies on distribution expansion, product innovation, and cost management to drive volume growth amid shifting consumer preferences toward low-sugar options. Recent stock price movements align with operational challenges, including revenue softness and cost headwinds, highlighting vulnerability in a price-sensitive market dominated by larger players.
Over the last 30 days, ZVIA stock has dropped roughly -20%, trading from around $1.50 (late February 2026) to approximately $1.20 as of the latest close. The decline was volatile, with sharp drops post-Q4 earnings release on February 25, followed by range-bound trading near 52-week lows between $1.11 and $1.65.
In the past quarter, shares plummeted about -46%, from near $2.28 (late December 2025) to current levels. This trend-driven downside reflects steady erosion, punctuated by brief rebounds, underperforming broader market indices amid persistent selling pressure.
The primary catalyst was Zevia PBC's Q4 2025 earnings on February 25, where revenue of $37.87 million missed estimates by 5.8-6.1% and declined 4% year-over-year, overshadowing an EPS beat (-$0.02 vs. -$0.03 expected) and gross margin expansion to 48% for the full year. Investors reacted negatively to the sales shortfall, attributed to softer volumes, triggering a post-earnings drop despite full-year net sales growth of 4% to $161.3 million and improved adjusted EBITDA (loss narrowed threefold to -$4.7 million).
Analyst reassessments of the turnaround narrative contributed, with some price target cuts amid concerns over execution. Sector sentiment in beverages turned cautious after Q4 results across peers averaged -6.4% post-earnings. Recent positives like a Cardi B partnership and AI-themed marketing failed to stem the tide, as shares hovered near lows with elevated volatility.
The quarter's -46% decline stemmed from mounting pressures on revenue growth and profitability outlook. Q4 revenue weakness capped a year of modest 4% sales gains driven by Walmart distribution, but full-year EBITDA improvements could not offset investor fears of decelerating momentum. Anticipation around Q4 results built selling pressure, exacerbated by earlier quarters' mixed beats on revenue but persistent losses.
Macroeconomic factors, including anticipated $5 million in 2026 aluminum tariff costs and inventory management issues, eroded margins and confidence. Industry headwinds like intense competition and shifting demand in healthier beverages amplified downside, with ZVIA underperforming peers. Institutional flows and short interest likely intensified the trend, as the stock broke below key moving averages.
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Investors should monitor Q1 2026 results, guided at $40-42 million in net sales and adjusted EBITDA loss of $1.6-1.9 million, reflecting Costco national rollout impacts despite lower margins. Track distribution progress in club channels and volume trends from new products or partnerships like Cardi B. Macro developments, including aluminum tariff effects ($5 million estimated for 2026) and inflation in beverage inputs, remain critical. Upcoming earnings, analyst updates on the $4.25 average price target, and sector demand for zero-sugar options will shape sentiment. Risks include competitive pressures and execution on cost savings, alongside catalysts from innovation or M&A activity.
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ZVIA moved above its 50-day moving average on May 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 31 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
The 10-day moving average for ZVIA crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 05, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ZVIA advanced for three days, in of 239 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 141 cases where ZVIA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The 10-day RSI Indicator for ZVIA moved out of overbought territory on May 27, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 19 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 19 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 04, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ZVIA as a result. In of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ZVIA turned negative on June 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ZVIA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
ZVIA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.208) is normal, around the industry mean (7.841). ZVIA has a moderately low P/E Ratio (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (44.426). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (5.032). ZVIA's Dividend Yield (0.000) is considerably lower than the industry average of (0.026). P/S Ratio (0.549) is also within normal values, averaging (3.240).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. ZVIA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ZVIA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 70, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Industry BeveragesNonAlcoholic