10-year yield continues collapse on slowing growth fears, falls as low as 2.07% - CNBC
U.S. government debt yields fell on Monday, continuing their rout that started last month on concern the trade war is slowing the economy. The 10-year yield hit a new 20-month low.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
IEF's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for IEF entered a downward trend on October 05, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 239 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 152 of the 239 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 64%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for IEF turned negative on August 31, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 20 of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 47%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IEF declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 22 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +0.40% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IEF advanced for three days, in 165 of 295 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
IEF may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Industry description
Advertisement
General Information
Category LongGovernment
Advertisement