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published in Blogs
Jun 03, 2019
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10-year yield continues collapse on slowing growth fears, falls as low as 2.07% - CNBC

10-year yield continues collapse on slowing growth fears, falls as low as 2.07% - CNBC

U.S. government debt yields fell on Monday, continuing their rout that started last month on concern the trade war is slowing the economy. The 10-year yield hit a new 20-month low.

Related Ticker: IEF

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


IEF in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026

The 10-day moving average for IEF crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 8 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on IEF as a result. In 46 of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for IEF just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where IEF's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 25 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.

IEF moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +1.00% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IEF advanced for three days, in 158 of 290 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 118 of 198 cases where IEF Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 60%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for IEF moved out of overbought territory on November 02, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 26 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 17 of the 26 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 65%.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 16 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IEF declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.

IEF broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Industry description

The investment seeks to track the investment results of the ICE® U.S. Treasury 7-10 Year Bond Index. The underlying index consists of publicly-issued U.S. Treasury securities that have a remaining maturity of greater than or equal to seven years and less than ten years and have $300 million or more of outstanding face value, excluding amounts held by the Federal Reserve System (the “Fed”). The fund will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of the underlying index, and the fund will invest at least 90% of its assets in U.S. Treasury securities that BFA believes will help the fund track the underlying index.
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