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Nov 19, 2022

Alibaba Group Holding (BABA, $80.51) tops fiscal Q2 earnings expectations

Alibaba Group Holding Limited posted its second-quarter fiscal 2023 non-GAAP earnings of $1.82 per ADS (RMB 12.92), exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by +9% (as reported by Zacks Equity Research).

Revenues were up +3% year-over-year to RMB 207.2 billion ($29.1 billion), missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by -6.3% (as reported by Zacks Equity Research).

China Commerce segment (65% of total revenues) fell -1% vs. the year-ago quarter, while International Commerce (8% of total revenues) climbed +4% year-over-year. Cloud Computing (10% of total revenues) business revenues rose +4% year-over-year.

Related Ticker: BABA

BABA's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BABA turned positive on April 23, 2025. Looking at past instances where BABA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where BABA's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 35 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 22, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on BABA as a result. In of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BABA advanced for three days, in of 265 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

BABA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

BABA moved below its 50-day moving average on April 04, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for BABA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 08, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BABA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for BABA entered a downward trend on April 21, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.057) is normal, around the industry mean (4.229). P/E Ratio (17.311) is within average values for comparable stocks, (47.869). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.682) is also within normal values, averaging (1.547). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.041) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.145) is also within normal values, averaging (5.276).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. BABA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BABA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN), Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA), PDD Holdings (NASDAQ:PDD), JD.com (NASDAQ:JD), eBay (NASDAQ:EBAY), Chewy (NYSE:CHWY), Vipshop Holdings Limited (NYSE:VIPS), Just Eat Takeaway.com N.V. (OTC:JTKWY), Wayfair (NYSE:W), Revolve Group (NYSE:RVLV).

Industry description

The internet retail industry includes companies that sell products and services through the Internet. With more and more consumers using online retailers, the companies have seen a big increase in the use of their services. Some of the companies in the group are focused on selling business-to-business products and services. Others sell business-to-consumer products and services. Internet retailers offer a wide variety of products like books, apparel, and electronics. Some companies even specialize in only one or two categories. One potentially critical factor for players to thrive in this space is the quality and speed of product delivery. This requires an investment in efficient distribution networks. Things like logistics are important factors in the success in the extremely competitive industry. For a company to stay relevant in the industry it must have effective pricing strategies and upgraded websites. The websites must be easy to navigate and engaging for customers. In addition to the revenues generated from straight sales, internet retailers can generate revenue from subscription fees and advertising. Amazon.com, Inc., Alibaba Group, and JD.com are some of the global leaders.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Internet Retail Industry is 38.53B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 622 to 1.99T. AMZN holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.99T. The lowest valued company is RBZHF at 622.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Internet Retail Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 101%, and the average quarterly price growth was 35%. WNW experienced the highest price growth at 77%, while DTCB experienced the biggest fall at -78%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Internet Retail Industry was -13%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -10% and the average quarterly volume growth was 3%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 59
P/E Growth Rating: 64
Price Growth Rating: 60
SMR Rating: 76
Profit Risk Rating: 88
Seasonality Score: -6 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

an online and mobile commerce company

Industry InternetRetail

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Internet Retail
Address
1 Matheson Street, Causeway Bay
Phone
+852 22155100
Employees
235216
Web
https://www.alibabagroup.com
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