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Jul 02, 2019
Amarin (AMRN, $21.33) shares jump +10% on higher revenue guidance

Amarin (AMRN, $21.33) shares jump +10% on higher revenue guidance

Amarin raised outlook on revenue, sending its shares surging +10% Tuesday.

The biopharmaceutical company lifted its 2019 revenue guidance to a range of between $380 million and $420 million, up from prior forecast of $350 million.

The company’s higher guidance comes on the back of its optimism about its Vascepa treatment for chronic cardiovascular disease. It is hopeful that Vascepa will generate “billions of dollars in revenue in the years to come”.

Amarin reported first-quarter revenue of $73.3 million, which represents a 67% jump from the same quarter of the previous year. It is also higher than the $67.3 million expected by analysts polled by FactSet.

 

Related Ticker: AMRN

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


AMRN in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on October 01, 2026

AMRN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 32 of 39 cases where AMRN's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +5.58% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMRN advanced for three days, in 184 of 252 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 18, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AMRN as a result. In 74 of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AMRN turned negative on September 18, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 54 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 43 of the 54 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 80%.

AMRN moved below its 50-day moving average on September 10, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMRN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.

The Aroon Indicator for AMRN entered a downward trend on October 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 78 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. AMRN’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 83 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.631) is normal, around the industry mean (19.199). AMRN has a moderately high P/E Ratio (67.114) as compared to the industry average of (34.793). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.220) is also within normal values, averaging (5.738). AMRN has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.025). P/S Ratio (1.554) is also within normal values, averaging (4.033).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AMRN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 64, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Eli Lilly & Co (NYSE:LLY), Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ), ABBVIE (NYSE:ABBV), Merck & Co (NYSE:MRK), AstraZeneca PLC (NYSE:AZN), Amgen (NASDAQ:AMGN), Gilead Sciences (NASDAQ:GILD), Pfizer (NYSE:PFE), Bristol-Myers Squibb Co (NYSE:BMY), Biogen (NASDAQ:BIIB).

Industry description

The Major Pharmaceuticals industry includes companies that are involved in various processes of creating drugs to treat/prevent diseases. These companies engage in research, testing and manufacturing, as well as the distribution of pharmaceuticals into markets. Johnson & Johnson, Merck & Co., Inc., Pfizer Inc. and Novartis are among the largest companies in this category.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Pharmaceuticals: Major Industry is 200.13B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 4.8K to 1.06T. LLY holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.06T. The lowest valued company is NEWG at 4.8K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Pharmaceuticals: Major Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -7%, and the average quarterly price growth was 7%. NSRX experienced the highest price growth at 8%, while MIRA experienced the biggest fall at -18%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Pharmaceuticals: Major Industry was -11%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 15% and the average quarterly volume growth was -8%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 27
P/E Growth Rating: 53
Price Growth Rating: 56
SMR Rating: 59
Profit Risk Rating: 64
Seasonality Score: 2 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a biopharmaceutical company, which focuses on commercialization and development of therapeutics to improve cardiovascular health

Industry PharmaceuticalsMajor

Industry
Pharmaceuticals Other
Address
36 Dame Street
Phone
+353 16699020
Employees
80
Web
https://www.amarincorp.com
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Amarin (AMRN, $21.33) shares jump +10% on higher revenue guidance