Go to the list of all blogs
AI dvisor's Avatar
published in Blogs
Nov 13, 2026
TickeronGET DAILY SIGNALS
Amplify Bitcoin 2% Monthly Option Income ETF (BITY) Declines -19% Over 30 Days as Bitcoin Pulls Back

Amplify Bitcoin 2% Monthly Option Income ETF (BITY) Declines -19% Over 30 Days as Bitcoin Pulls Back

Key Takeaways

  • BITY declined about 19% over the trailing 30 days, mirroring a sharp selloff in Bitcoin.
  • The fund is down roughly 13% over the trailing three months after rallying into late September.
  • The pullback reflects hotter-than-expected inflation, a hawkish repricing of Federal Reserve rate expectations, a stronger U.S. dollar, and sustained outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs.
  • BITY is an actively managed, Bitcoin-linked covered-call strategy that retains meaningful downside exposure to Bitcoin while capping upside through sold call options.
  • Its largest exposures are the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT), U.S. Treasury bills, and short-term cash collateral backing its options overlay.
  • The fund carries a 0.65% expense ratio and targets roughly 24% annualized option premium income, with a large share of distributions recently characterized as return of capital.
  • For deeper analysis, explore BITY's Price Targets and Forecast pages.
  • Discover Trending AI Robots for AI-driven trading ideas.

BITY ETF Overview and Portfolio Exposure

The Amplify Bitcoin 2% Monthly Option Income ETF (BITY) is an actively managed exchange-traded fund that seeks to balance high income with capital appreciation by combining exposure to the price return of Bitcoin with a covered-call, or "buy-write," option strategy. Rather than holding Bitcoin directly, the fund gains exposure through Bitcoin exchange-traded products, most notably the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT), alongside a synthetic options overlay built on Bitcoin ETP call and put options. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the fund compares to other income-oriented strategies in the space.

BITY is a concentrated fund that typically holds fewer than ten positions. Beyond its Bitcoin ETP exposure, the portfolio consists of U.S. Treasury bills and short-term government money-market funds used as collateral, together with weekly call options sold roughly 5% to 10% out-of-the-money. The fund targets approximately 24% annualized option premium income and distributes monthly, though a significant portion of recent distributions has been characterized as return of capital. BITY launched in April 2025, carries a net expense ratio of 0.65%, and maintains a modest asset base of roughly $13 million.

This structure matters because BITY does not spread across traditional equity sectors. Its effective exposure is almost entirely digital assets via Bitcoin ETPs and options, with the balance in Treasury bills and cash. The fund therefore participates in most of Bitcoin's downside, while its sold call options limit participation when Bitcoin rallies sharply.

BITY Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter

BITY has delivered pronounced losses over recent periods. Over the trailing 30 days, the fund fell approximately 19%, from a closing price near $27 to roughly $21.85. Over the trailing three months, the decline is about 13%, from a level near $25 in mid-August.

The move has been trend-driven and volatile rather than range-bound. BITY climbed to roughly $29 in late September before reversing lower, meaning the fund has surrendered about a quarter of its value from that near-term peak. Selling accelerated into November, with the most severe declines occurring after hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation data.

What Drove BITY Price in the Last 30 Days

BITY's 30-day decline is almost entirely a function of Bitcoin's price action, amplified by the fund's structure. Bitcoin broke below $70,000 for the first time since August, retreating more than 20% from its late-September highs.

The primary catalyst was a shift in the U.S. macroeconomic backdrop. October's Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.4% month over month, above consensus, with core inflation also hotter than expected. Combined with hawkish Federal Reserve commentary, the data lifted market-implied odds of a December rate hike to near 90% and pushed the 10-year Treasury yield toward 5%. Higher yields and a firmer dollar raise the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets such as Bitcoin.

These pressures were reinforced by sustained outflows from U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, which exceeded $1.6 billion in early November, and by a risk-off tone in technology and AI-related equities. A Democratic sweep of both chambers of Congress in the midterm elections added uncertainty about the regulatory outlook for digital assets, while the removal of bitcoin-holding firm Strategy from MSCI indexes compounded crypto-specific selling. The iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT), BITY's largest holding, fell in tandem, and the fund's sold call options provided only limited downside cushion.

What Drove BITY Performance Over the Last Quarter

The three-month trend reflects a broader reversal in risk appetite rather than a single event. BITY rose through the summer into late September alongside Bitcoin's recovery, then gave back those gains as monetary-policy expectations shifted toward additional tightening. The Federal Reserve raised rates in September and held them steady in October before the hot inflation reading rekindled expectations of further hikes.

Longer-term, BITY's performance has been shaped by the interplay of rising real yields, a firmer dollar, and institutional ETF flows into and out of spot Bitcoin products. The covered-call overlay, which caps upside when Bitcoin rallies quickly, means the fund tends to retain downside exposure while surrendering some upside during sharp rallies, a dynamic that has weighed on total returns during the recent drawdown.

BITY ETF Outlook: What Investors Should Watch Next

Several themes are likely to shape BITY over the coming months. First, the path of U.S. monetary policy and inflation will remain central: further hot inflation prints or additional rate hikes could extend pressure on Bitcoin, while a dovish turn could support a rebound. Second, spot Bitcoin ETF flows and institutional positioning will signal whether the current de-risking persists. Third, the regulatory environment, particularly the legislative agenda following the midterm elections, could influence institutional adoption of digital assets.

Investors should also monitor Bitcoin's correlation with technology equities, given recent synchronized selling, and watch whether the fund's option-overlay structure generates meaningful income during periods of elevated volatility. Because BITY retains substantial downside exposure while capping upside, its total return will remain closely tied to Bitcoin's direction. The fund's small asset base and reliance on a single underlying asset also contribute to elevated volatility and concentration risk.

Exploring Markets with Tickeron’s AI Screener

In my view, Tickeron’s AI Screener offers a practical way to scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using technical indicators, fundamentals, volatility metrics, price patterns, and AI-generated signals. Rather than reviewing securities one at a time, the tool helps surface candidates that meet specific criteria more efficiently. For investors evaluating Bitcoin-linked and income-oriented strategies such as BITY, it provides a structured approach to compare opportunities across sectors. Explore the AI Screener to begin filtering the market with AI-driven insights.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

Related Ticker: BITY

Momentum Indicator for BITY turns negative, indicating new downward trend

BITY saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 26 of the 28 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

BITY moved below its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for BITY crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 5 of 5 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BITY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

The Aroon Indicator for BITY entered a downward trend on November 10, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for BITY's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +4.79% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BITY advanced for three days, in 73 of 84 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.

BITY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Industry description

The investment seeks to balance high income and capital appreciation through investment exposure to the price return of bitcoin and a covered call strategy. Under normal market conditions, the fund will invest at least 80% of its net assets (plus any borrowings for investment purposes) in financial instruments that provide exposure to the Bitcoin Price. The fund is non-diversified.
AI Screener 4
View a ticker or compare two or three
Interact to see
Advertisement
A.I.Advisor
published price charts
Interact to see
Advertisement
AMD fell -5.03% to $555.85 in regular-session trading Friday, down -$29.45 from Thursday's close of $585.30, as of 9:42 a.m. ET shortly after the opening bell. No verified company-specific news or fundamental catalyst found: the decline tracks a broad semiconductor pullback and is consistent with profit-taking after a +44.7% rebound from the Nov. 5 close of $404.40, with the stock's typical daily swing running at 3.6%.
BZ dropped sharply, sliding from a $16.72 prior close to $13.48 (-19.38%), with the decline beginning in premarket and deepening into the early regular session. No verified company-specific news or fundamental catalyst was issued; the fall tracked a broad China ADR selloff (the Nasdaq Golden Dragon index slid more than 2%), but that alone is too small to explain a ~20% drop — the stock's Hong Kong listing fell only -2.6%.
NBIS fell from $154.69 to $129.12, down -16.53%, with the decline starting in premarket trading and continuing through the regular session. The drop followed Q3 results: revenue of $980.8M (+571% YoY) beat estimates, but management cut 2026 revenue guidance to the low end of its range on third-party capacity delays and raised 2026 capex to roughly $27B, reviving financing and execution fears.
The $1 target in this article is not an analyst price target; it is the $1.00 Nasdaq minimum bid price requirement, the level Cenntro itself has publicly targeted through a 1-for-60 reverse stock split. Cenntro trades near $0.12 per share, meaning reaching $1 would require an increase of roughly 730%—an exceptionally large move.
The central target of $21 is the arithmetic mean of three recently attributable analyst price targets on RUM — $25 (Lake Street), $15 (Texas Capital), and $22 (Maxim Group) — which average roughly $20.67. With shares trading near $5.90 after a post-earnings surge, reaching $21 would require a gain of roughly 256%, a very large move.
Amplify Bitcoin 2% Monthly Option Income ETF (BITY) Declines -19% Over 30 Days as Bitcoin Pulls Back