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Mar 21, 2019

Biogeen to end late-stage trials of Alzheimer drug

Biogen Inc. and partner Eisai Co. Ltd are ending two late-stage trials of their experimental Alzheimer’s disease drug 'aducanumab,' a major setback in the quest to find a treatment for the disease and a blow to Biogen, which lost more than $18 billion of its value.

The decision was based on a so-called futility analysis of aducanumab data by an independent monitoring committee that determined the trials had little hope of succeeding.

Related Ticker: BIIB

BIIB in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on April 29, 2024

BIIB moved above its 50-day moving average on April 29, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 52 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

The 10-day moving average for BIIB crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 07, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BIIB advanced for three days, in of 275 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 141 cases where BIIB Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for BIIB moved out of overbought territory on May 16, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 23 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 23 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 23, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BIIB as a result. In of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BIIB turned negative on May 23, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BIIB declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

BIIB broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 15, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. BIIB’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.110) is normal, around the industry mean (5.632). P/E Ratio (26.955) is within average values for comparable stocks, (48.974). BIIB's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (8.807) is slightly higher than the industry average of (3.004). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.164) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.181) is also within normal values, averaging (3.643).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BIIB’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Eli Lilly & Co (NYSE:LLY), Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ), Merck & Co (NYSE:MRK), ABBVIE (NYSE:ABBV), AstraZeneca PLC (NASDAQ:AZN), Pfizer (NYSE:PFE), Amgen (NASDAQ:AMGN), Bristol-Myers Squibb Co (NYSE:BMY), Gilead Sciences (NASDAQ:GILD), Biogen (NASDAQ:BIIB).

Industry description

The Major Pharmaceuticals industry includes companies that are involved in various processes of creating drugs to treat/prevent diseases. These companies engage in research, testing and manufacturing, as well as the distribution of pharmaceuticals into markets. Johnson & Johnson, Merck & Co., Inc., Pfizer Inc. and Novartis are among the largest companies in this category.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Pharmaceuticals: Major Industry is 86.34B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 72.83K to 739.66B. LLY holds the highest valuation in this group at 739.66B. The lowest valued company is CRXTQ at 72.83K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Pharmaceuticals: Major Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 2%. MIRA experienced the highest price growth at 35%, while GIKLY experienced the biggest fall at -12%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Pharmaceuticals: Major Industry was -1%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -15% and the average quarterly volume growth was 99%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 33
P/E Growth Rating: 54
Price Growth Rating: 57
SMR Rating: 64
Profit Risk Rating: 73
Seasonality Score: 16 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a manufacturer of therapies for people living with neurological, autoimmune and hematologic disorders

Industry PharmaceuticalsMajor

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Biotechnology
Address
225 Binney Street
Phone
+1 617 679-2000
Employees
7570
Web
https://www.biogen.com
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