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Abhoy Sarkar's Avatar
published in Blogs
Aug 30, 2019

Box (BOX, $14.79) beats fiscal Q2 earnings estimate; boost full-year revenue outlook

Box reported fiscal second quarter earnings that surpassed expectations, and the company also boosted its full year revenue guidance. 

The cloud content management company’s adjusted earnings per share for the quarter came in at break-even, better than the Street estimates of a loss of -2 cent. The EPS was also higher than the prior year quarter’s  -5 cent loss.

Revenue increased +16% from the year-ago quarter to $172.55 million, beating estimates of $169.5 million.

Co-founder and CEO Aaron Levie emphasized that Box focused on and delivered more products to customers, and that the company drove strong add-on product attach rates of more than 80% across six-figure deals in Q2.

For the full year 2020, Box raised its revenue guidance to a range between $690 million and $692 million, compared to previous range of $688 million to $692 million.

The company maintained its full-year adjusted EPS projection of between break-even and +2 cents.

Related Ticker: BOX

Aroon Indicator for BOX shows an upward move is likely

BOX's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on April 27, 2023. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 210 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 210 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 08, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on BOX as a result. In of 76 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BOX just turned positive on May 05, 2023. Looking at past instances where BOX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

BOX moved above its 50-day moving average on May 09, 2023 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for BOX crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 12, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BOX advanced for three days, in of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BOX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

BOX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 18, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (31.306). P/E Ratio (476.190) is within average values for comparable stocks, (168.128). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.939) is also within normal values, averaging (4.122). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.040) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.246) is also within normal values, averaging (70.523).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. BOX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BOX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), Shopify (NYSE:SHOP), Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ:PANW), Activision Blizzard (NASDAQ:ATVI).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 7.73B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 2.48T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 2.48T. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 8%, and the average quarterly price growth was 25%. LAAB experienced the highest price growth at 140%, while RAYT experienced the biggest fall at -75%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 12%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 38% and the average quarterly volume growth was 3%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 71
Price Growth Rating: 53
SMR Rating: 83
Profit Risk Rating: 89
Seasonality Score: 14 (-100 ... +100)
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Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a platform for content storage, sharing, and collaboration

Industry PackagedSoftware

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Information Technology Services
Address
900 Jefferson Avenue
Phone
+1 877 729-4269
Employees
2487
Web
https://www.box.com
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BOX and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BOX has been closely correlated with SPLK. These tickers have moved in lockstep 67% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BOX jumps, then SPLK could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To BOX
1D Price
Change %
BOX100%
+1.01%
SPLK - BOX
67%
Closely correlated
-0.43%
DBX - BOX
63%
Loosely correlated
-0.53%
DT - BOX
57%
Loosely correlated
+1.53%
CDAY - BOX
57%
Loosely correlated
-1.28%
GDDY - BOX
56%
Loosely correlated
+0.06%
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