GET DAILY SIGNALSBrightView Holdings (BV) Analyst Targets Suggest +18% Upside to $14
Key Takeaways
- The central target of $14 is the arithmetic mean of seven current, verified analyst price targets, which range from roughly $11 to $17.
- With the stock near $11.85, reaching $14 would require a rise of about 18%, a substantial move from current levels.
- Bullish analysts see a turnaround in land-maintenance revenue growth and margin expansion; cautious analysts point to repeated earnings misses and a slow recovery.
- The spread between the low ($11.10) and high ($17.00) targets is wide, reflecting genuine disagreement about the pace of BrightView's turnaround.
- Near-term catalysts include fiscal fourth-quarter results, guidance for fiscal 2027, and any analyst target revisions that follow.
- For more on this ticker's Major News, Today's Price Move, Forecast, and Earnings, visit the dedicated pages to track the latest developments.
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Analyst Consensus on BrightView (BV)
BrightView Holdings, Inc. (BV), a leading provider of commercial landscaping services in the United States, draws coverage from a range of sell-side firms with notably divergent targets. Seven current targets stand out: Morgan Stanley at $11.50 (Equal-Weight), Goldman Sachs at $11.10 (Sell), J.P. Morgan at $14 (Neutral), Robert W. Baird at $14 (Outperform), Craig-Hallum at $15 (Buy), BTIG at $16 (Buy), and Oppenheimer at $17 (Outperform). The arithmetic mean of these figures comes to about $14.09, which rounds to a central target of $14.
The $11.10 to $17.00 range is unusually wide and points to a genuine split in views. Cautious firms highlight repeated earnings shortfalls and sluggish organic growth. More optimistic analysts counter that a return to land-maintenance revenue growth plus cost initiatives support a higher valuation. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the stock compares to others in the industry. Morgan Stanley’s framework captures the tension well, framing the stock as a prolonged turnaround with a base case of $14, a bull case near $19, and a bear case well below the current price.
Where the Stock Stands Today and the Road to the Target
As of early November 2026, BrightView shares trade near $11.85, inside a 52-week range of roughly $9.80 to $15.00. Reaching the $14 central target would require an increase of approximately 18%, a meaningful rather than incremental move.
The path is not purely theoretical in either direction: the stock has already traded above $14 within the past year, so the target remains inside its recent trading range. Still, the most recent quarterly report, fiscal Q3 2026 released in early August, showed non-GAAP earnings and revenue both missing consensus, and the shares sold off. A sustained move back toward $14 would likely need BrightView to show durable land-maintenance growth and margin improvement, not just one strong quarter.
Factors That Could Drive the Stock Higher
Several verified elements could support a higher share price. BrightView posted its second consecutive quarter of land-maintenance revenue growth in fiscal Q3 2026, indicating the core business is stabilizing after a stretch of flat-to-declining results. Management focuses on converting development projects into recurring maintenance contracts, improving customer and employee retention, and expanding route density, steps that could aid margin expansion over time.
The company’s scale as a national commercial-landscaping leader also creates a competitive moat in a fragmented industry. Bullish firms such as Oppenheimer and BTIG have kept above-average targets, arguing the turnaround merits a higher valuation even while near-term results stay uneven.
Risks That Might Hold It Back
The main obstacle remains execution. BrightView’s earnings have missed analyst estimates multiple times, and full-year EPS forecasts for fiscal 2026 point to a meaningful decline from the prior year. Weather, macroeconomic conditions, and the seasonal nature of landscaping and snow-removal revenue introduce volatility that is hard to control.
Competition from regional and local providers, the chance that cost initiatives do not deliver margin gains, and ongoing investor questions about potential AI-driven disruption to business services all weigh on sentiment. Morgan Stanley has noted that any organic-growth weakness is likely to be punished, highlighting how delicate the stock’s current valuation recovery remains.
Technical Picture and Key Levels
BrightView’s 52-week range spans roughly $9.80 to $15.00, and the stock has recently traded in the lower half of that band. The $15 area marks meaningful resistance that lines up with the upper boundary of the past year’s trading and several bullish analyst targets. On the downside, the zone near $10.50 to $11 acts as support aligned with the lowest current analyst targets. The $14 central target sits between these zones, making it a realistic yet far from guaranteed milestone that would require clearing near-term supply in the low-to-mid teens.
What to Watch Next
Analyst price targets generally reflect a roughly 12-month research horizon, though individual firms may vary. The most important near-term item is BrightView’s fiscal fourth-quarter and full-year 2026 report, due in November 2026, together with any guidance for fiscal 2027. Investors should monitor continued land-maintenance revenue growth, the path of adjusted EBITDA margins, and any subsequent analyst target or rating changes. Broader factors such as interest-rate expectations, labor costs, and weather patterns also matter for a business with significant seasonal and macroeconomic exposure.
Exploring AI-Driven Signals
I often review Tickeron’s AI Daily Buy/Sell Signals when following names like this one. The tool applies artificial intelligence to monitor thousands of stocks and ETFs, producing Buy, Sell, or Hold signals based on shifting market conditions and technical behavior. Pairing analyst targets with these AI-generated signals can add a useful, data-driven layer without replacing fundamental research.
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Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
Aroon Indicator for BV shows an upward move is likely
BV's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on November 09, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 206 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 147 of the 206 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 71%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 27, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on BV as a result. In 63 of 94 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
BV moved above its 50-day moving average on October 27, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for BV crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
Following a +4.49% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BV advanced for three days, in 195 of 290 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for BV moved out of overbought territory on November 05, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 23 of the 32 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 72%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 45 of 63 cases where BV's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BV declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
BV broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 5 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.875) is normal, around the industry mean (5.887). BV has a moderately low P/E Ratio (-48.625) as compared to the industry average of (33.618). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.140) is also within normal values, averaging (1.946). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.025) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.376) is also within normal values, averaging (9.907).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. BV’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 91 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BV’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock worse than average.
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
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General Information
a holding company through its subsidiaries provides tree care, water management and landscape design and maintenance services
Industry OfficeEquipmentSupplies
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