GET DAILY SIGNALSCACI International Inc (CACI): Assessing the Path to a $760 Price Target
Key Takeaways
- The central $760 target is the arithmetic mean of roughly ten recent, individually verified analyst price targets, ranging from about $689 to $925.
- With the stock near $675.62, reaching $760 would require a gain of about 12.5% — a modest but meaningful move for a large-cap defense contractor.
- The analyst range is unusually wide, reflecting a genuine split between cautious Hold/Sell views and bullish Buy-rated firms that see margin and backlog expansion continuing.
- Supporting factors include a strong funded backlog, a multi-year CENTCOM award, margin improvement from technology-focused work, and the ARKA space-technology acquisition.
- Key risks include federal funding uncertainty, execution on large complex contracts, and a valuation that leaves less room for disappointment.
- For more on this ticker's Major News and Today's Price Move, plus a detailed Forecast and Earnings calendar, visit the dedicated pages.
- Explore Trending AI Robots to see AI-driven trading strategies monitoring stocks like CACI in real time.
Recent Analyst Targets and the Consensus Picture
Recent moves on the Street have been mostly positive yet varied. In October 2026, Stifel's Jonathan Siegmann lifted his target to $925 with a Buy rating, Cantor Fitzgerald's Colin Canfield raised his to $785 (Overweight), Macquarie started coverage at $780 (Outperform), Goldman Sachs increased its target to $745 (Buy), Jefferies upgraded to Buy with a $725 target, and TD Cowen's Gautam Khanna set $700 (Buy). On the more measured side, Citi's John Godyn placed a $689 target with a Neutral rating, while BNP Paribas Exane moved to a Sell rating.
Averaging the roughly ten attributable targets lands near $760. The spread from roughly $689 to $925 stands out as wide, showing clear differences in how much of CACI's growth and margin upside analysts see as already priced in. The average is simply a mathematical midpoint, not a promise, and it gets pulled higher by a few optimistic estimates.
Where the Stock Stands Today and the Route to the Target
CACI last traded near $675.62, close to the upper end of its 52-week range of roughly $434.70 to $689.15. Hitting the $760 central target would point to upside of about 12.5% — a measured step for a name that has already posted solid gains over the past year. The trajectory would likely hinge on steady execution against a sizable funded backlog, ongoing margin gains from higher-technology work, and careful capital allocation following the ARKA acquisition.
Factors That Could Help Push Toward the Target
- Backlog and contract wins: CACI carries a large funded backlog and recently secured a USCENTCOM award with a ceiling of up to $1.5 billion, most of which it expects to book.
- Margin expansion: Analysts frequently highlight CACI's shift toward advanced technology and software-intensive work as a driver of profit margins that exceed those of many peers.
- Acquisitions: The ARKA space-technology transaction is viewed by several firms as likely to add to future earnings per share.
- Analyst revisions: Multiple firms raised targets after the fiscal first-quarter report, reflecting updated revenue and margin expectations.
Obstacles That Could Keep the Target Out of Reach
- Federal funding uncertainty: Government budget cycles, continuing resolutions, or an extended shutdown could delay awards and bookings.
- Execution risk: Large, complex contracts such as the CENTCOM award bring ramp-up and cost risks that might weigh on margins.
- Valuation: With a trailing P/E in the high-20s, the stock already reflects elevated expectations and offers little cushion for shortfalls.
- Divergent Street views: A Sell rating and the broad target range suggest some analysts see much of the positive news as already reflected in the price.
Technical Levels and Market Structure
The shares are trading just below their 52-week high near $689, a zone that has acted as resistance on prior attempts. A decisive break above $689–$690 would clear an important psychological and technical barrier and open room toward the $700 level and eventually the central $760 target. On the downside, the earlier consolidation zone and the $434.70 52-week low frame the longer-term uptrend, which stays intact as long as the stock holds above major moving-average support.
Time Horizon and Key Items to Watch
Analyst price targets generally cover a roughly twelve-month horizon, though individual firms may vary. Investors should monitor the next quarterly earnings release, updated fiscal guidance, the pace of contract bookings, and backlog conversion. Additional analyst target changes, federal budget developments, interest-rate decisions, and the integration progress on ARKA stand out as the most relevant markers for whether $760 becomes attainable.
Final Assessment
The $760 central target, an average of roughly ten recent analyst price targets, sits about 12.5% above CACI's latest price near $675.62. A robust backlog, improving margins, technology-driven contract wins, and the ARKA acquisition offer a credible base for further gains, while federal funding risk, contract execution challenges, and a demanding valuation remain the main hurdles. The unusually wide target range — from roughly $689 to $925 — highlights that this remains a debated name rather than a settled outcome. Whether the shares reach $760 will depend on continued execution and whether the higher expectations now embedded in the stock are met.
AI Daily Buy/Sell Signals for Ongoing Monitoring
I also checked this using Tickeron's AI Daily Buy/Sell Signals to see how the stock compares to others in the industry. These signals apply artificial intelligence to scan thousands of stocks and ETFs, producing Buy, Sell, or Hold signals based on shifting market conditions, technical patterns, and AI-driven analysis. For a name like CACI that can move with defense spending news, having this automated layer alongside traditional research helps spot changes in trend or momentum more efficiently.
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Financial analyst and market blogger with expertise in equity research, fundamental analysis, and macroeconomic trends. I regularly publish coverage on individual stocks, ETFs, and sector developments — combining rigorous financial analysis with clear, engaging writing for a broad investment audience.
Momentum Indicator for CACI turns positive, indicating new upward trend
CACI saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 20, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 73 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 52 of the 73 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 71%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CACI just turned positive on October 19, 2026. Looking at past instances where CACI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 32 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
CACI moved above its 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for CACI crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 27, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 13 of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
Following a +1.41% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CACI advanced for three days, in 230 of 335 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 5 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CACI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.
CACI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 26, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for CACI entered a downward trend on October 16, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 26 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 28 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CACI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 71 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.346) is normal, around the industry mean (2.620). P/E Ratio (27.826) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.865). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.310) is also within normal values, averaging (2.284). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.172) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.463) is also within normal values, averaging (139.965).
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