GET DAILY SIGNALSCresud (CRESY) Slides -17% in 30 Days as September Rally Unwinds
Key Takeaways
- Cresud's ADR (CRESY) declined roughly 17% over the last 30 days, falling from about $12.71 to near $10.56.
- The pullback largely unwound a late-September rally that had carried the shares toward a multi-month peak near $12.89.
- A Weiss Ratings downgrade to "Hold" in early October and mixed insider transactions coincided with the decline.
- On October 22, 2026, shareholders approved a dividend of up to ARS 116 billion, combining cash and in-kind IRSA shares.
- Longer-term performance remains tied to Argentine agriculture, cattle operations, and the IRSA real-estate portfolio.
- For detailed valuation data, explore Price Targets, Earnings, and Forecast.
- To see how AI-driven strategies are positioning across the market, explore Trending AI Robots.
Cresud (CRESY) at a Glance: Business and Positioning
Cresud Sociedad Anónima Comercial, Inmobiliaria, Financiera y Agropecuaria operates as a major Latin American agricultural player based in Buenos Aires. The company grows grains, sugarcane, and beef while acquiring and managing farmland in Argentina, Brazil, and nearby markets, partly through its stake in BrasilAgro. It also controls IRSA, a leading Argentine real-estate firm with holdings in malls, offices, and hotels. I checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the stock compares to others in the industry.
Operations break down into agricultural and urban property segments. The ADSs list on NASDAQ as CRESY, with underlying shares on the Buenos Aires exchange. Investors track the name for its exposure to commodities and Argentine property, along with a track record of dividends and asset sales.
Price Action: 30-Day Drop Versus Quarterly Round Trip
From a September 25, 2026 close of $12.71, CRESY fell to roughly $10.56 recently, marking a decline of about 17%. That move erased gains from a late-September push that reached an intraday high near $12.89. The quarterly picture shows similar volatility: after trading near $11.60 in late July, the stock climbed into September before giving back those advances, ending the period about 9% lower than three months earlier.
Factors Behind the Recent 30-Day Move
Technical momentum shifted after the September peak, with steady selling pressure through October. On October 2, 2026, Weiss Ratings moved to a “Hold (C-)” rating, which appeared to dampen sentiment. Insider trades were mixed, with purchases by the CEO in late September and mid-October offset by smaller sales from another family director. On October 22, 2026, shareholders approved a dividend of up to ARS 116 billion—about ARS 81.2 billion in cash plus in-kind IRSA shares—with a record date of October 27, 2026. The broader decline seems driven more by the reversal of the prior rally than by any single event.
Quarterly Drivers and Market Context
August and September gains reflected improving sentiment toward Argentine equities and agriculture. Policy steps to ease foreign-exchange rules and cut export taxes on grains and beef supported the rally, as did stronger farmland demand and cattle margins. Those positives faded in October even as the large dividend was confirmed and the diversified business mix remained intact, leaving the stock only modestly lower over the full quarter despite the sharp peak.
Key Items to Watch Going Forward
Earnings updates on crop yields, Brazilian sugarcane, and Argentine cattle margins will matter, as will soybean, corn, and beef prices plus broader macroeconomic and currency policy developments. The IRSA real-estate portfolio’s rental performance and any further capital decisions around the approved dividend also warrant attention. I’m watching this closely with an eye on how these elements interact.
Exploring AI-Driven Trading Approaches
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Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
CRESY sees its 50-day moving average cross bullishly above its 200-day moving average
The 50-day moving average for CRESY moved above the 200-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 23, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CRESY as a result. In 74 of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
Following a +3.23% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CRESY advanced for three days, in 257 of 306 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CRESY turned negative on September 28, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 35 of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 80%.
CRESY moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for CRESY crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CRESY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
The Aroon Indicator for CRESY entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 22 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.001) is normal, around the industry mean (-0.898). P/E Ratio (0.004) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.688). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.220) is also within normal values, averaging (0.772). Dividend Yield (0.220) settles around the average of (601.488) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.119) is also within normal values, averaging (2.059).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 29 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 32 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 52 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CRESY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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a producer of grains, meat and milk
Industry IndustrialConglomerates
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