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Jun 20, 2019
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Darden's (DRI, $$116.96) Q4 sales fall short of estimates

Darden's (DRI, $$116.96) Q4 sales fall short of estimates

Darden Restaurants missed fiscal fourth-quarter revenue estimates, sending its share down -4% Thursday morning,

The restaurant company’s quarterly revenue increased +4.5% year-over-year to $2.23 billion, but lagged  analysts’ estimates of $2.24 billion (based on Refinitiv poll of analysts).

Total same-store sales growth across all of Darden’s restaurants came in at +1.6% for the quarter, falling short of analysts’ estimates of +2.3%.Darden mentioned a decline of -0.4% in  foot traffic to its Olive Garden locations open at least a year.  The restaurant reported same-store sales growth of 2.4%.

However, Darden did beat earnings expectations for the quarter. It reported adjusted earnings per share of $1.76, compared to Wall Street’s estimates of $1.73.

Looking ahead, the company expects same-store sales growth of 1% to 2%, and net earnings per share of $6.30 to $6.45.

Related Ticker: DRI

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


DRI in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026

DRI moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 29 of 41 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on DRI as a result. In 58 of 89 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for DRI just turned positive on October 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where DRI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 36 of 56 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.

The 10-day moving average for DRI crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.

Following a +3.05% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DRI advanced for three days, in 188 of 319 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 159 of 253 cases where DRI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 63%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for DRI moved out of overbought territory on November 05, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 21 of the 41 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 51%.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DRI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 49%.

DRI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 16 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. DRI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 19 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 20 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 25 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 70 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (11.642) is normal, around the industry mean (-0.877). P/E Ratio (21.660) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.791). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.014) is also within normal values, averaging (7.754). Dividend Yield (0.029) settles around the average of (0.049) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.832) is also within normal values, averaging (2.618).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are McDonald's Corp (NYSE:MCD), Starbucks Corp (NASDAQ:SBUX), Yum! Brands (NYSE:YUM), Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG), Darden Restaurants (NYSE:DRI), Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC), Dominos Pizza Inc (NASDAQ:DPZ), Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK), Noodles & Co (NASDAQ:NDLS).

Industry description

The industry includes companies that operate full-service restaurants, fast food restaurants, cafeterias and snack bars. McDonald`s Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, YUM! Brands, Inc. and Restaurant Brands International Inc. are some of the largest U.S. restaurant-owning companies in terms of market capitalization. While restaurant spending could be viewed as discretionary for consumers, some companies in the business have been able to weather economic cycles by establishing strong loyalty among customers over the years. Many of them also have a strong global presence as well.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Restaurants Industry is 10.4B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.6K to 195.68B. MCD holds the highest valuation in this group at 195.68B. The lowest valued company is HLTY at 1.6K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Restaurants Industry was -6%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 4%, and the average quarterly price growth was 9%. PTLO experienced the highest price growth at 34%, while CHSN experienced the biggest fall at -30%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Restaurants Industry was -46%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -15% and the average quarterly volume growth was -29%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 49
P/E Growth Rating: 46
Price Growth Rating: 49
SMR Rating: 68
Profit Risk Rating: 83
Seasonality Score: 14 (-100 ... +100)
Real Time Patterns 3
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published General Information

General Information

an operator of casual-dining restaurants

Industry Restaurants

Industry
Restaurants
Address
1000 Darden Center Drive
Phone
+1 407 245-4000
Employees
209931
Web
https://www.darden.com
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