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Nov 13, 2026
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Defiance Long Pure Quantum ETF (QTUP) Slides -17% in 30 Days as Quantum Sector Faces Pressure

Defiance Long Pure Quantum ETF (QTUP) Slides -17% in 30 Days as Quantum Sector Faces Pressure

Key Takeaways

  • QTUP has declined roughly 17% over the last 30 days and approximately 48% over the trailing three months, extending a steep drawdown from its post-launch high.
  • The slide reflects a broad selloff across speculative quantum computing stocks, which remain highly sensitive to interest-rate expectations and risk appetite.
  • Concentrated positions in IONQ, QNT, and QBTS — together roughly half of fund assets — have amplified the move.
  • Mixed third-quarter earnings, analyst price-target cuts, and weakness in AI-adjacent technology names intensified the pressure.
  • QTUP is a non-diversified, actively managed fund with a 0.77% expense ratio and a near-100% allocation to quantum-computing technology.
  • For deeper detail on this fund, explore its Price Targets and Forecast pages, which offer additional signals and projected scenarios.
  • Investors seeking broader ideas can also explore Trending AI Robots for automated trading strategies.

QTUP ETF Overview and Its Concentrated Portfolio

QTUP is an actively managed exchange-traded fund that aims for long-term capital appreciation through investments in pure quantum companies. These are firms that generate at least 50% of revenue or devote at least 50% of operating activity to quantum computing or machine learning. The fund is non-diversified and quite concentrated, typically holding around a dozen core positions while using options and swaps for additional synthetic exposure.

The largest holdings center on quantum pure-plays such as IonQ, Quantinuum, and D-Wave Quantum, with smaller allocations to names like Rigetti Computing, Quantum Computing Inc., Arqit Quantum, and others including Infleqtion, Xanadu Quantum Technologies, and IQM Quantum Computers. Sector exposure sits near 100% in information technology, with some assets in cash and short-term instruments to support derivatives. The expense ratio stands at 0.77%, and assets under management remain modest in the low-to-mid tens of millions given the fund’s recent launch. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the holdings line up against peers in the space.

QTUP Price Performance Over the Past 30 Days and Quarter

Over the last 30 days, QTUP has fallen approximately 16.6%, moving from a closing level near $11.78 down to around $9.83. The decline unfolded gradually amid elevated volatility, with notable intraday swings and a sharper drop in early November.

Looking back three months, the fund traded near $18.84, so QTUP has declined close to 48% over that period. This leaves the ETF well below its post-launch peak and firmly in correction territory, as the underlying quantum names have seen larger drawdowns than the broader technology sector.

Factors Behind the Recent 30-Day Decline

The main driver has been a risk-off shift in speculative technology. Rising Treasury yields, with the 10-year approaching 5%, and a hotter-than-expected inflation print raised the chance of further Federal Reserve tightening. That environment puts direct pressure on pre-profit, long-duration growth assets like quantum stocks, whose cash flows lie years ahead.

Earnings season brought company-specific details into play. Rigetti Computing showed a sharp revenue drop and wider operating loss, while D-Wave Quantum reported higher revenue but a 19% decline in quarterly bookings. Even IonQ, which posted solid revenue growth and raised guidance, moved lower with the group amid profit-taking and dilution concerns. Weakness in NVIDIA and other AI-linked names spilled over, and several analysts cut price targets. Because QTUP maintains high concentration in these names, the fund felt the full impact of the sector move. From what I see, this kind of concentration makes the fund especially sensitive to sector swings.

Drivers of the Three-Month Performance Trend

The quarterly decline points to a broader reduction in investor appetite for unprofitable, high-valuation themes. Quantum computing is still largely in the research-and-development stage, with commercialization timelines stretching further out. That becomes a bigger vulnerability when discount rates rise. Persistent outflows of risk appetite, along with funding and dilution issues at several pure-plays, led to a multi-month de-rating across the group.

QTUP’s concentrated, non-diversified structure magnified the effect. With the top three holdings representing roughly half of assets and the entire portfolio focused on one emerging industry, the fund offers little buffer against sector-wide repricing, passing the quantum selloff straight through to fund-level results.

QTUP Outlook and Key Items to Monitor

Near-term direction for QTUP will likely stay linked to the same pressures that have weighed on it so far. Interest-rate expectations and inflation data will remain central, given how quickly long-duration, pre-revenue technology names react to changes in discount rates. Federal Reserve commentary and the path of the 10-year Treasury yield are important signals to follow.

At the company level, progress on commercial milestones, revenue stability, and any funding or dilution updates at the largest holdings—especially IonQ, Quantinuum, and D-Wave Quantum—will matter. Large hardware order wins and continued bookings growth will draw attention. Broader AI sentiment and any regulatory or federal-funding developments in quantum technology could also influence the fund. Given the concentration and volatility, careful risk management and position sizing stay relevant for anyone considering the ETF. I’m watching this closely as rate and earnings data continue to evolve.

Exploring Tickeron AI Tools in My Research

When analyzing concentrated themes like quantum computing, I often turn to Tickeron’s AI Screener to scan technical indicators, fundamentals, and performance metrics across similar names. It helps surface comparisons and shifting conditions more efficiently than manual checks alone. The platform has become a regular part of how I review fast-moving sectors and refine ideas before making decisions.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

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Related Ticker: QTUP

QTUP saw its Stochastic Oscillator recovers from the overbought zone

The Stochastic Oscillator for QTUP moved out of overbought territory on November 12, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock and investors may want to consider selling or taking a defensive position. A.I.dvisor looked at 1 similar instances where the indicator exited the overbought zone. In 1 of the 1 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 10, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on QTUP as a result. In 8 of 8 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where QTUP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

The Aroon Indicator for QTUP entered a downward trend on November 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for QTUP's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for QTUP just turned positive on November 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where QTUP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 2 of 2 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Following a +25.76% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where QTUP advanced for three days, in 7 of 8 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.

QTUP may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Industry description

The investment seeks long-term capital appreciation. The fund is an actively managed exchange-traded fund (“ETF”) that seeks long term capital appreciation by investing, directly or indirectly, in a portfolio of equity securities of “Pure Quantum Companies” defined as companies with at least 50% of their (i) annual revenue derived from, or (ii) operating activity engaged in, the development of quantum computing or machine learning. The fund is non-diversified.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Defiance Long Pure Quantum ETF (QTUP) ETF is 2.98B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 617.44M to 13.22B. IONQ holds the highest valuation in this group at 13.22B. The lowest valued company is HQ at 617.44M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Defiance Long Pure Quantum ETF (QTUP) ETF was 4%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was 7%, and the average quarterly price growth was 7%. QNT experienced the highest price growth at 26%, while IQMX experienced the biggest fall at -5%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Defiance Long Pure Quantum ETF (QTUP) ETF was -39%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was 0% and the average quarterly volume growth was -65%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 59
P/E Growth Rating: 31
Price Growth Rating: 76
SMR Rating: 96
Profit Risk Rating: 96
Seasonality Score: 22 (-100 ... +100)
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