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Disney (DIS, $88.35) fiscal Q4 earnings missed consensus estimates

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk|Expert

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.

DIS sees its 50-day moving average cross bullishly above its 200-day moving average

The 50-day moving average for DIS moved above the 200-day moving average on September 25, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 41 of 68 cases where DIS's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.

DIS moved above its 50-day moving average on September 21, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +2.60% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DIS advanced for three days, in 156 of 269 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.

DIS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for DIS moved out of overbought territory on August 26, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 24 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 12 of the 24 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 50%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 17, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on DIS as a result. In 45 of 76 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for DIS turned negative on September 01, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 26 of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 60%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DIS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.

The Aroon Indicator for DIS entered a downward trend on September 25, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 22 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 48 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.666) is normal, around the industry mean (18.453). P/E Ratio (21.887) is within average values for comparable stocks, (96.605). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.457) is also within normal values, averaging (3.870). Dividend Yield (0.014) settles around the average of (0.005) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.925) is also within normal values, averaging (2.913).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. DIS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 77 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DIS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock worse than average.