GET DAILY SIGNALSEnerpac Tool Group (EPAC) Prepares to Close Out Fiscal 2026 With Key Earnings Release
Key Takeaways
- Enerpac Tool Group (EPAC) is scheduled to report fourth-quarter and full-year fiscal 2026 results on October 20, 2026, closing out the fiscal year ended August 31, 2026.
- Wall Street consensus points to fourth-quarter revenue of roughly $173 million and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) near $0.52.
- Management narrowed its full-year outlook in July to adjusted EPS of $1.84 to $1.89 and net sales of $635 million to $645 million.
- The pending SFE Group acquisition, expected to close in the first quarter of fiscal 2027, is set to add about $1 billion to the company's addressable market.
- Investors will be watching margin pressure, organic sales growth of 1% to 2%, and fourth-quarter adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) margins of 23% to 24%.
Why This Earnings Report Matters
Enerpac Tool Group is a global industrial tools company that provides high-pressure hydraulic tools, controlled force products, and heavy lifting solutions for industrial and infrastructure applications. Because the company operates on a non-standard fiscal calendar that ends on August 31, this report serves a dual purpose: it closes out both the fourth quarter and the full fiscal 2026 year. The results will test whether the momentum from the third quarter, when adjusted EPS handily beat expectations, carried into the final stretch. They will also set the tone for fiscal 2027, a period in which the company is expected to integrate the SFE Group acquisition while managing pressure on services margins tied to the Middle East conflict. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the stock compares to others in the industry.
What Analysts Are Expecting
Heading into the release, analysts expect fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 revenue of approximately $173 million and adjusted EPS near $0.52, according to consensus data. For context, Enerpac generated $167.6 million in revenue and $0.60 in adjusted EPS in the third quarter, and posted $167.5 million in revenue and $0.52 in EPS in the fourth quarter a year earlier. That implies consensus is modeling low-single-digit revenue growth year over year alongside roughly flat EPS.
On the guidance side, management narrowed its full-year fiscal 2026 outlook in July, lowering the top end of its net sales range to $645 million and trimming its adjusted EBITDA range to $151 million to $156 million and adjusted diluted EPS range to $1.84 to $1.89. The company cited Middle East conflict impacts on its services business and margin pressure from product mix. For the fourth quarter specifically, management indicated results would be similar to the third quarter, with low-single-digit growth and adjusted EBITDA margins of 23% to 24%.
How the Market Might React
Sentiment into this report is cautious but constructive. Enerpac's stock rose roughly 3.5% following its third-quarter results, which featured a better-than-expected bottom line, though investors weighed the lowered full-year guidance. The key risk heading into the fourth-quarter release is margin durability: management has flagged that services revenue tied to the Middle East remains under pressure and that product mix is squeezing profitability. A beat on revenue without a corresponding improvement in margins could temper the market's enthusiasm, while confirmation that cash generation and share buybacks remain on track would likely be viewed favorably. From what I see, monitoring these margin trends closely will be essential.
Looking Ahead: Acquisition and Beyond
The most significant item on the horizon is the SFE Group acquisition. Management announced the deal in the third quarter and expects it to close in the first quarter of fiscal 2027, expanding Enerpac's addressable market by roughly $1 billion and being accretive to EPS in fiscal 2027. Post-acquisition leverage is projected at about 2.8 times, so investors will want to see how quickly the company integrates the new assets and reduces that debt level.
Beyond the acquisition, watch for signs that organic growth can stabilize at the guided 1% to 2% range and whether margin pressure from product mix begins to ease. Free cash flow remains a bright spot, with the company generating about $60 million in the first nine months of fiscal 2026, up from the prior year, and buybacks continuing under its repurchase program.
Finally, the first fiscal 2027 guidance will be closely parsed. Any commentary on end-market demand in industrial and infrastructure verticals, the trajectory of services revenue, and the expected contribution from SFE Group will help investors gauge whether the company can sustain its earnings momentum through the next fiscal year. I’m watching this closely as it unfolds.
Using AI Tools in My Research Process
When preparing for reports like this one from EPAC, I often rely on Tickeron’s AI Screener to quickly scan for comparable names in the industrial sector and review technical setups alongside fundamentals. It helps me put single-stock analysis into broader context without spending hours on manual screens. The platform’s customizable filters for patterns, trends, and performance metrics make it a practical addition to my routine when evaluating earnings candidates and potential peers.
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Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
EPAC's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for EPAC turned positive on October 16, 2026. Looking at past instances where EPAC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where EPAC's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 13 of 20 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
Following a +1.18% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EPAC advanced for three days, in 216 of 325 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
EPAC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 16, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on EPAC as a result. In 67 of 105 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.
EPAC moved below its 50-day moving average on September 10, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for EPAC crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 15, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EPAC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. EPAC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 59 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.241) is normal, around the industry mean (4.583). P/E Ratio (19.758) is within average values for comparable stocks, (38.005). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.344) is also within normal values, averaging (1.879). Dividend Yield (0.005) settles around the average of (0.032) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.983) is also within normal values, averaging (186.943).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 66 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
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General Information
a diversified industrial company, which engages in the designing, manufacturing, and distribution of a broad range of industrial products and systems to various end markets
Industry IndustrialMachinery
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