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Nov 11, 2026
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EZCORP (EZPW) Posts Q4 Beat with +33% Revenue Growth

EZCORP (EZPW) Posts Q4 Beat with +33% Revenue Growth

Key Takeaways

  • EZCORP reported fourth quarter fiscal 2026 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.43, narrowly beating the $0.42 consensus estimate.
  • Revenue of $447.1 million topped the $427.2 million estimate, rising 33% year over year.
  • Pawn loans outstanding (PLO), the total value of outstanding customer loans, climbed 31% to $402.8 million, with same-store growth of 13% in the U.S. and 25% in Latin America.
  • Full-year fiscal 2026 adjusted diluted EPS rose 43% to $2.02, while total revenue grew 33% to $1.69 billion.
  • Jewelry scrap sales surged 86% on higher gold prices, though scrap margins narrowed as gold pulled back from third-quarter levels.
  • Shares jumped as much as 11% in after-hours trading following the report.

Earnings Context and Significance

EZPW operates one of the largest pawn networks in the United States and Latin America, so its quarterly results provide a useful window into consumer credit demand and secondhand retail trends. The fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, which ended September 30, 2026, closed out a year of aggressive expansion through acquisitions and new store openings, including full ownership of Simple Management Group. Elevated gold prices have supported both pawn loan values and jewelry scrap sales, while steady consumer demand for short-term credit has driven loan growth. From what I see, this report helps clarify whether that momentum held through the end of the year and how management is handling rapid growth alongside cost discipline and integration challenges. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the stock compares to others in the industry.

Reported Results

For the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, EZPW posted adjusted diluted EPS of $0.43, modestly above the $0.42 analyst consensus. Total revenue reached $447.1 million, exceeding the $427.2 million estimate and rising 33% from $336.8 million in the prior-year quarter. Adjusted net income grew 27% to $34.1 million, while adjusted EBITDA increased 33% to $64.0 million.

Core pawn revenue rose 27% to $383.4 million, driven by a 31% increase in pawn loans outstanding to $402.8 million. Same-store loan growth was strong across geographies, up 13% in the U.S. and 25% in Latin America. Merchandise sales gross margin improved to 37% from 35% a year earlier. Jewelry scrap sales climbed 86% for the quarter on higher gold prices, though scrap gross margin fell to 19% from 29% as gold declined from third-quarter levels.

For the full fiscal year, adjusted diluted EPS increased 43% to $2.02, total revenue grew 33% to $1.69 billion, and adjusted EBITDA rose 47% to $276.7 million. The company expanded its footprint by 230 stores during the year to 1,590 locations across 15 countries.

Market Reaction and Investor Sentiment

Investors responded favorably to the results, sending EZPW shares up as much as 11% in after-hours trading. The positive reaction reflected a clean beat on both the top and bottom lines, along with sustained double-digit growth in pawn loans outstanding and same-store metrics across both core geographies. Sentiment was also supported by the company’s full-year performance, which showed meaningful margin expansion and a sharp rise in adjusted EBITDA. That said, the narrowing of jewelry scrap margins, a consequence of gold prices cooling from third-quarter peaks, served as a reminder that a portion of recent growth remains tied to commodity price swings rather than core operational performance.

Forward Outlook and Key Factors to Monitor

Looking ahead, investors will watch several themes that could shape EZPW’s trajectory. First is the sustainability of loan demand. The company has now posted strong same-store pawn loan growth for multiple quarters, and any slowdown in consumer borrowing would quickly flow through to pawn service charges and merchandise sales.

Second, gold prices remain a double-edged sword. Higher prices have boosted loan values and scrap sales, but the fourth quarter showed how quickly scrap margins compress when gold retreats. A continued decline could temper a key contributor to recent profit growth.

Third, integration and expansion carry their own risks. The company added 230 stores over the year and completed the full acquisition of SMG, bringing its network to 1,590 locations across 15 countries. Managing costs, store productivity, and cultural integration across a rapidly growing footprint will be an important test of operating discipline.

Finally, investors should monitor merchandise margins, which improved to 37%, and inventory management. A larger inventory base can support sales but also raises the risk of aged goods if retail demand softens. How management balances growth with expense control across the U.S. and Latin America will likely set the tone for fiscal 2027.

AI Tools in My Research Process

I’ve found Tickeron’s AI Screener helpful when reviewing companies like this one. It lets me quickly filter stocks by fundamentals, technical patterns, and performance metrics across industries, which saves time compared with manual checks and helps surface comparable ideas in consumer finance and retail. The tool has become a regular part of how I organize research and compare candidates before digging deeper into individual reports.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

Related Ticker: EZPW

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


EZPW sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line

EZPW saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 22, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 29 of the 43 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 67%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 10, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on EZPW as a result. In 54 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.

EZPW moved below its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for EZPW crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 27, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 47%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EZPW declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.

The Aroon Indicator for EZPW entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where EZPW's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 10 of 16 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 41 of 55 cases where EZPW's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.

Following a +3.34% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EZPW advanced for three days, in 223 of 307 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.

EZPW may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 13 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 29 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.506) is normal, around the industry mean (3.902). P/E Ratio (11.066) is within average values for comparable stocks, (6.401). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.276) is also within normal values, averaging (3.918). Dividend Yield (0.001) settles around the average of (0.189) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.622) is also within normal values, averaging (5.901).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. EZPW’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 71 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are VISA (NYSE:V), Mastercard (NYSE:MA), American Express Company (NYSE:AXP), Capital One Financial (NYSE:COF), PayPal Holdings (NASDAQ:PYPL), Synchrony Financial (NYSE:SYF), Bread Financial Holdings (NYSE:BFH), SLM Corp (NASDAQ:SLM), LexinFintech Holdings Ltd (NASDAQ:LX).

Industry description

A savings bank primary function is to take deposits and paying interest on those deposits. Originating in Europe during the 18th century, these banks were generally introduced to incentivize people of all stripes to save money and park them with banks. By the 1990s, the internet ushered in online savings banks that allowed savers to deposit/transact with banks digitally, without requiring to visit a branch office. Savings banks have potentially encouraged lower-income population to save and have access to a financial institution to earn interest on their money. New York Community Bancorp, Inc, Webster Financial Corporation, Washington Federal, Inc. are examples of savings banks.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Savings Banks Industry is 36.75B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 831.64K to 793.46B. V holds the highest valuation in this group at 793.46B. The lowest valued company is DXF at 831.64K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Savings Banks Industry was -5%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -7%, and the average quarterly price growth was -10%. SEZL experienced the highest price growth at 22%, while PRAA experienced the biggest fall at -40%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Savings Banks Industry was 9%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 36% and the average quarterly volume growth was -63%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 41
P/E Growth Rating: 58
Price Growth Rating: 61
SMR Rating: 46
Profit Risk Rating: 79
Seasonality Score: 20 (-100 ... +100)
Real Time Patterns 3
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General Information

a provider of pawn loans and consumer loans

Industry SavingsBanks

Industry
Finance Or Rental Or Leasing
Address
2500 Bee Cave Road
Phone
+1 512 314-3400
Employees
8500
Web
https://www.ezcorp.com
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