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Nov 13, 2026
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Franklin XRP ETF (XRPZ) Falls -23% in 30 Days: Key Factors Behind the Move

Franklin XRP ETF (XRPZ) Falls -23% in 30 Days: Key Factors Behind the Move

Key Takeaways

  • Franklin XRP ETF (XRPZ) declined roughly 23% over the trailing 30 days as spot XRP fell from about $1.40 to near $1.00.
  • The fund is a single-asset spot XRP product, meaning its performance moves almost one-for-one with XRP's price rather than with a diversified basket of securities.
  • The decline was concentrated in early-to-mid November, driven by a broad crypto-market sell-off, rising Treasury yields, and a stronger U.S. dollar.
  • Over the trailing quarter the fund is essentially flat, having surged to a September peak near $17.23 per share before giving back those gains.
  • Leveraged long-position liquidations and spot XRP ETF outflows amplified the recent drawdown.
  • For additional detail on valuation levels and projections, explore the Price Targets and Forecast pages for XRPZ.
  • Investors seeking broader idea generation can also explore Trending AI Robots.

Franklin XRP ETF (XRPZ) and Its Portfolio Setup

XRPZ is a spot XRP exchange-traded product listed on NYSE Arca that seeks to reflect the performance of the price of XRP, before fees and expenses. The fund is structured as a grantor trust rather than a traditional 1940 Act ETF, and it is passively managed: it holds XRP directly and tracks the CME CF XRP-Dollar Reference Rate (New York Variant).

Because it is a single-asset vehicle, XRPZ does not have a conventional sector allocation or a diversified roster of stock holdings. Its portfolio is effectively 100% XRP, with the token custodied by Coinbase Custody Trust Company and cash administration handled by BNY Mellon. The sponsor fee is 0.19% annually, which Franklin Templeton waived on the first $5 billion of assets through May 31, 2026. The fund held roughly $365 million in assets and more than 310 million XRP tokens as of early November 2026, ranking it among the larger U.S. spot XRP funds.

This concentrated structure is the key to understanding XRPZ's price action: every move in the fund traces directly to spot XRP, with no offsetting exposure to equities, bonds, or other crypto assets. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the fund compares to others in the industry.

Performance Snapshot: Last 30 Days and the Quarter

Over the last 30 days, XRPZ fell from a closing price near $14.36 to roughly $11.04, a decline of approximately 23%. The move was not gradual across the entire period; much of the drawdown was compressed into the first two weeks of November, when the fund broke decisively below prior support levels on elevated volume.

The quarterly picture is materially different. About three months earlier, XRPZ traded near $10.96. After a sharp August rally, the fund climbed to a September peak around $17.23 per share before reversing. Measured from mid-August to the current level near $11.04, the fund is essentially flat over the quarter despite substantial intra-period volatility, illustrating a round-trip in price rather than a sustained directional trend.

Drivers of the Recent 30-Day Drop

The recent decline reflects a combination of macro, regulatory, and market-structure pressures concentrated in the digital-asset complex. A broad crypto sell-off pulled major tokens lower, and XRP underperformed peers such as Bitcoin and Ethereum over the same window. Rising U.S. Treasury yields — with the 10-year yield moving above 5% — and a U.S. dollar trading near multi-month highs weighed on high-beta, risk-sensitive assets generally, and on altcoins in particular.

Regulatory sentiment also shifted. Following U.S. midterm elections, expectations that market-structure legislation favorable to crypto compliance would advance quickly cooled, tempering the policy optimism that had supported XRP earlier in the year. At the same time, sticky inflation data reduced expectations for near-term Federal Reserve rate cuts, reinforcing a risk-off tone.

Market structure amplified the move. XRP had accumulated significant leveraged long positioning, and as price fell through support, forced liquidations of long positions added to selling pressure in a cascading fashion. Spot XRP ETF flows also turned negative, with the broader category recording its largest single-day outflow in roughly a year in early November. For a single-asset fund such as XRPZ, these forces translated directly into share-price declines.

The Quarter in Review: Rotation and Reversal

The trailing three months tell a story of rotation and reversal rather than a single catalyst. During the late summer and early fall, institutional interest in regulated XRP exposure supported spot ETF inflows, and the fund's third quarter featured meaningful net inflows. That demand, together with a broader risk-on phase across digital assets, helped lift XRPZ toward its September highs.

The reversal that followed reflected a shift in the macroeconomic backdrop — firmer bond yields, a stronger dollar, and a recalibration of rate expectations — as well as profit-taking after a rapid run-up. Because XRPZ holds only XRP, it could not cushion the move through diversification; the fund simply tracked the underlying token lower as sentiment turned. The result was a full round-trip over the quarter, leaving the fund near its starting point despite sharp swings in both directions.

What to Watch Going Forward

The near-term path for XRPZ is likely to remain tied to the same forces that drove its recent decline. Interest-rate expectations and inflation data will matter most, since higher-for-longer rates and a strong dollar have historically pressured digital assets. Any signal that the Federal Reserve is pivoting — or, conversely, that rates remain elevated — could shift sentiment quickly.

Regulatory developments also carry weight. The trajectory of crypto market-structure legislation and the posture of securities regulators will influence institutional demand for products like XRPZ. Spot ETF flows remain a useful gauge: renewed creation activity would suggest returning institutional conviction, while persistent outflows could keep pressure on the underlying token.

Finally, investors should monitor leveraged positioning and derivative-market activity, which can amplify moves in either direction. XRPZ offers a pure, low-friction way to express a view on XRP, but that same concentration means the fund will continue to reflect the token's full volatility — including the risk of further drawdowns as well as the potential for sharp recoveries if sentiment stabilizes.

Using Tickeron’s AI Screener in Practice

In my research process, I often turn to Tickeron’s AI Screener to quickly scan thousands of securities with technical indicators, fundamentals, and performance filters. It helps surface comparable ETFs and identify shifting patterns more efficiently than manual methods, giving a clearer view of where XRPZ stands relative to peers.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

Related Ticker: XRPZ

Momentum Indicator for XRPZ turns negative, indicating new downward trend

XRPZ saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 29, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 16 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 16 of the 16 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

XRPZ moved below its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for XRPZ crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 2 of 2 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XRPZ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

The Aroon Indicator for XRPZ entered a downward trend on November 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +4.74% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XRPZ advanced for three days, in 34 of 39 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.

XRPZ may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Industry description

The investment seeks to reflect generally the performance of the price of XRP before payment of the fund’s expenses and liabilities. The fund is a passive investment vehicle and is not a leveraged product. The Sponsor does not actively manage the XRP held by the fund. This means that the Sponsor does not sell XRP at times when its price is high or acquire XRP at low prices with the expectation of future price increases. The management will not utilize leverage, derivatives or similar instruments or transactions in seeking to meet its investment objective.
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Franklin XRP ETF (XRPZ) Falls -23% in 30 Days: Key Factors Behind the Move