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Oct 29, 2026
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FTAI Aviation (FTAI) Delivers Q3 Results with +46.6% Revenue Growth and Record Aerospace Output

FTAI Aviation (FTAI) Delivers Q3 Results with +46.6% Revenue Growth and Record Aerospace Output

Key Takeaways

  • Total revenue reached $977.7 million, up 46.6% year over year from $667.1 million in the same quarter last year.
  • Diluted earnings per share (EPS) came in at $1.43, up from $1.10 a year earlier and roughly in line with consensus estimates.
  • Adjusted EBITDA rose 17% to $348.3 million, beating analyst expectations.
  • Aerospace Products delivered a record quarter, generating $282.4 million of adjusted EBITDA on 76% revenue growth and a record 311 CFM56 engine modules produced.
  • The company announced a $500 million accelerated share repurchase, doubled its buyback authorization to $1.0 billion, and declared a $0.50 quarterly dividend.

Why This Quarter Matters

FTAI Aviation has positioned itself as a key provider of aftermarket power solutions for the CFM56 and V2500 engines that dominate narrow-body commercial aircraft. With new aircraft deliveries sold out well into the 2030s, airlines continue to extend the life of their existing fleets, which in turn drives steady demand for the company’s maintenance, repair, and exchange services. The latest results offer a useful checkpoint on whether the Aerospace Products segment can maintain its scaling trajectory, how the Strategic Capital Initiative partnerships are translating into revenue, and whether investments in the FTAI Power business are beginning to show results without pressuring margins.

The Quarter in Detail

For the third quarter ended September 30, 2026, FTAI Aviation reported total revenue of $977.7 million, a 46.6% increase from $667.1 million in the prior-year period. Net income attributable to shareholders reached $149.1 million, or $1.45 per basic share and $1.43 per diluted share, compared with $114.0 million, or $1.10 per diluted share, a year earlier.

Adjusted EBITDA climbed to $348.3 million, up 17% from $297.4 million in Q3 2025 and ahead of consensus expectations near $319 million. Aerospace Products stood out with $910 million of segment revenue (up 76%) and $282.4 million of adjusted EBITDA, a 57% year-over-year gain at a 31% margin. Aviation Leasing contributed $104 million of adjusted EBITDA. Management reaffirmed its 2026 and 2027 adjusted EBITDA guidance across all business lines. To cross-check the sector backdrop, I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener.

Market Reaction

Shares of FTAI Aviation moved higher after the release, reportedly gaining around 8% as investors focused on the EBITDA beat and the capital-return announcements even though revenue came in slightly below some consensus figures. Attention centered on the strength in Aerospace Products, the record CFM56 module production, and the initial deployment of capital from the SCI II vehicle. The accelerated share repurchase and doubled authorization underscored management confidence and helped balance concerns about lower Aviation Leasing EBITDA year over year and continued investment in the FTAI Power platform.

What Investors Should Watch Next

Attention will now turn to whether FTAI Aviation can sustain Aerospace Products momentum. Management has guided to a roughly 30% adjusted EBITDA margin in the near term and has outlined an ambition to expand margins toward 40% as lower-cost parts and in-house repair capabilities scale. Continued growth in CFM56 module output remains a central lever.

The ramp of the Strategic Capital Initiative will also be important. With SCI II now active and a combined pipeline of 410 aircraft closed or under letter of intent across SCI I and SCI II, the pace at which commitments convert into servicing fees and co-investment returns will influence leasing-segment results.

Finally, the FTAI Power business is approaching a key inflection point. The Mod-1 aeroderivative turbine has cleared critical testing, producing 25 megawatts at peak output, and the company reports more than 100 units under contract for 2027 and 2028. Execution on first deliveries, production costs, and the associated free-cash-flow impact will be closely monitored.

Integrating AI into Earnings Analysis

In my research process I occasionally use Tickeron’s AI Screener to quickly filter peers and spot comparable patterns across the aerospace aftermarket space. It helps surface ideas that might otherwise take hours to identify manually and serves as a useful complement when reviewing quarterly results like these.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

Related Ticker: FTAI

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


Momentum Indicator for FTAI turns positive, indicating new upward trend

FTAI saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 28, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 84 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 75 of the 84 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 89%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FTAI just turned positive on October 27, 2026. Looking at past instances where FTAI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 50 of 59 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

FTAI moved above its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +23.53% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FTAI advanced for three days, in 308 of 348 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FTAI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.

FTAI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for FTAI entered a downward trend on October 28, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FTAI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 91 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: FTAI's P/B Ratio (47.613) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (5.121). P/E Ratio (40.187) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.235). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.040) is also within normal values, averaging (2.564). Dividend Yield (0.011) settles around the average of (0.060) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.361) is also within normal values, averaging (18.330).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are GE Aerospace (NYSE:GE), Lockheed Martin Corp (NYSE:LMT), Boeing Company (NYSE:BA), Northrop Grumman Corp (NYSE:NOC), Virgin Galactic Holdings (NYSE:SPCE).

Industry description

Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Aerospace & Defense Industry is 38.75B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 4.49 to 1.78T. SPCX holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.78T. The lowest valued company is BDRPF at 4.49.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Aerospace & Defense Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -10%, and the average quarterly price growth was -17%. XTIA experienced the highest price growth at 31%, while DFNS experienced the biggest fall at -28%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Aerospace & Defense Industry was -27%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -7% and the average quarterly volume growth was 1%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 49
P/E Growth Rating: 54
Price Growth Rating: 66
SMR Rating: 78
Profit Risk Rating: 76
Seasonality Score: 14 (-100 ... +100)
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a private equity fund

Industry AerospaceDefense

Industry
Investment Managers
Address
405 West 13th Street
Phone
+1 332 239-7600
Employees
985
Web
https://www.ftaiaviation.com
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