GET DAILY SIGNALSGrupo Aeroportuario del Sureste (ASR) Advances +10.3% Over 30 Days in Recovery Phase
Key Takeaways
- ASR shares climbed roughly 10.3% over the trailing 30 days, from about $240.79 to near $265.66.
- The advance marks a sharp recovery from an early-October trough near $226, even as the stock remains slightly below its levels of three months ago.
- Third-quarter 2026 results showed revenue growth of about 13% and the completed acquisition of CPC Aeroportos, expanding ASUR's network to 36 airports across seven countries.
- Operating signals remain mixed: total passenger traffic fell 1.2% year over year, pressured by weaker Cancún and Puerto Rico volumes, while Colombia continued to grow.
- Shareholders approved two extraordinary dividends of MXN 10 per share, payable in late November and late December 2026.
Company Overview and Market Position
Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S.A.B. de C.V. (ASR) stands as one of the leading private airport operators globally, listed on the NYSE. The firm manages concessions for nine airports in southeastern Mexico, with Cancún International Airport serving as the primary hub for regional tourism. Its holdings extend to six airports in northern Colombia, a 60% stake in Aerostar Airport Holdings operating San Juan’s Luis Muñoz Marín International Airport in Puerto Rico, and, after the September 2026 acquisition of CPC Aeroportos, an additional 20 airports including 17 in Brazil plus one each in Ecuador, Costa Rica, and Curaçao.
ASR also maintains a growing U.S. commercial presence with retail operations at JFK, Los Angeles International, and Chicago O’Hare. Revenue comes from aeronautical charges such as passenger and landing fees alongside non-aeronautical sources including retail, dining, parking, and commercial space. I follow the stock for its diversified network, mixed peso- and dollar-denominated cash flows, and exposure to travel demand across the Americas.
Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days Versus the Quarter
Over the last 30 days, ASR rose approximately 10.3%, moving from a closing price near $240.79 to roughly $265.66. This formed part of a broader rebound from a low around $226 in early October, with steady gains through the rest of the month and into November. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the stock compares to others in the industry.
The three-month view appears more modest. From a level near $272.93 in early August, ASR is down roughly 2.7%, reflecting a summer decline into the early-October low followed by the recent recovery. The 30-day gain has largely offset the late-summer drop but has not yet returned the stock to its higher levels from earlier in the quarter.
Factors Behind the Recent 30-Day Advance
The main catalyst came with the third-quarter 2026 results released on October 22. ASUR reported revenue up about 13% year over year to approximately MXN 7.8 billion, excluding construction revenue, while non-aeronautical revenue increased nearly 27%. Consolidated EBITDA rose 1.7%, though the adjusted EBITDA margin slipped to 60.3% amid softer Mexican traffic and the addition of lower-margin Brazilian and U.S. operations. Earnings per ADS missed consensus estimates, yet solid top-line growth and strategic progress supported the positive reaction.
Investors also responded to the completed acquisition of CPC Aeroportos from Motiva, finalized September 1, which added 20 airports and broadened the geographic footprint. The company refinanced acquisition bridge loans with about $1.8 billion in senior notes, extending maturities and securing investment-grade ratings. Two extraordinary dividends of MXN 10 per share were approved as well, payable in late November and late December 2026.
Operationally, Cancún airport ended a 69-day streak of fewer than 400 daily flight operations in late October, aligning with the reactivation of winter flights and new international routes. This early sign of traffic recovery helped reinforce the stock’s rebound.
Influences on Performance Over the Past Quarter
The broader three-month trend reflected softening Mexican travel demand. Passenger traffic at Cancún declined through much of the quarter due to reduced airline capacity, aircraft availability constraints from engine inspections, and route restructuring in the U.S. market. These pressures weighed on Mexican operations and contributed to the decline into early October.
Offsetting this was meaningful strategic diversification. The CPC Aeroportos acquisition added scale across Brazil and other markets, while ASUR continued expanding its non-aeronautical and U.S. commercial businesses. Colombia remained a positive area with solid traffic and commercial revenue growth. The quarter overall balanced near-term traffic headwinds against a larger, more diversified asset base and ongoing investment programs at Cancún, JFK, and the newly acquired airports.
Key Drivers to Watch Going Forward
Looking ahead, attention will likely center on the winter high season at Cancún and whether airline seat capacity and flight operations sustain the late-October recovery. The opening of Cancún’s remodeled Terminal 1 and the new JFK Terminal 1, both targeted around late 2026 and early 2027, represent additional potential catalysts for traffic and commercial revenue.
Integration of the Brazilian airport portfolio and execution of the roughly MXN 11 billion 2027 capital investment plan will be monitored closely, along with the pace of adjusted EBITDA margin recovery. Macroeconomic variables such as tourism demand from the U.S. and Canada, jet fuel costs, and peso-dollar exchange-rate movements remain important. Regulatory and operating cost changes in Mexico, including reduced working hours, could also affect margins in the year ahead.
Incorporating AI Tools Into My Analysis
I often turn to Tickeron’s AI tools to supplement fundamental research, particularly when reviewing automated trading strategies across a range of market conditions. The Trending AI Robots section offers a practical overview of top-performing bots and their positioning, helping me cross-check signals alongside the operational and financial details outlined above.
Disclaimer
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ASR's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ASR turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where ASR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 36 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 15, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ASR as a result. In 54 of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
ASR moved above its 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for ASR crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 53%.
Following a +3.99% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ASR advanced for three days, in 202 of 310 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 11 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ASR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.
ASR broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for ASR entered a downward trend on October 19, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 33 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.248) is normal, around the industry mean (0.838). P/E Ratio (0.802) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-6.448). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.920) is also within normal values, averaging (0.572). Dividend Yield (0.082) settles around the average of (0.052) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.352) is also within normal values, averaging (8.002).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 51 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 65, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ASR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
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General Information
a holding company, which operates airports
Industry AirFreightCouriers
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