GET DAILY SIGNALSHonda Motor (HMC) Earnings: Analysts Forecast +59% EPS Growth
Key Takeaways
- Honda Motor (HMC) is scheduled to report results for its fiscal second quarter ended September 30, 2026, on November 10, 2026 (Tokyo time), with U.S. investors reacting on November 11.
- Wall Street consensus projects earnings per share (EPS) of about $0.95 on revenue of roughly $36.68 billion, according to analyst estimates tracked by MarketBeat and MarketWatch.
- Those figures imply a sharp year-over-year rebound from the $0.60 EPS and $34.71 billion in revenue reported in the same quarter a year earlier.
- Honda exceeded EPS estimates in five of its last eight quarters, most recently posting $2.18 per share in Q1 FY2027 against a $1.22 consensus.
- Key themes to watch include global auto demand, currency effects from the weaker yen, motorcycle sales strength, and progress in the company's electric-vehicle (EV) strategy.
Earnings Context and Why It Matters
Honda Motor Co., Ltd. is one of the world's largest automakers, with a diversified portfolio spanning automobiles, motorcycles, and power products. Its quarterly earnings serve as a broad gauge of global consumer demand, supply-chain health, and competitive positioning in the rapidly shifting auto industry. The fiscal second quarter is particularly important because it captures the tail end of the company's key selling season and offers a mid-year checkpoint on full-year guidance. Investors will also watch how Honda navigates currency volatility, rising competition from Chinese EV manufacturers, and ongoing cost pressures, all of which can meaningfully influence profitability even when unit sales remain steady.
Earnings Expectations
Analysts expect Honda to report a meaningful year-over-year profit improvement. Consensus estimates point to EPS of approximately $0.95 on revenue near $36.68 billion, compared with $0.60 per share and $34.71 billion in the prior-year quarter — implying EPS growth of roughly 59% and revenue growth of about 5.7%. In yen terms, some forecasts project revenue around 5.8 trillion yen, up from 5.29 trillion yen a year ago. Honda has a history of mixed reactions to earnings, having beaten EPS consensus in five of the last eight quarters. In Q1 FY2027, the company reported $2.18 per share, far above the $1.22 estimate. Investors will be watching whether this momentum carries into the second quarter and whether management reaffirms or adjusts its full-year outlook. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the stock compares to others in the industry.
Market Reaction and Investor Sentiment
Sentiment heading into the report is cautiously optimistic, supported by rising consensus estimates and Honda's strong Q1 beat. However, several risk factors could temper the market's response. Currency movements remain a wildcard, as a weaker yen can boost translated earnings while a strengthening yen creates headwinds. Competition in the EV space, particularly from lower-cost Chinese rivals, continues to pressure pricing and market share in key regions. Additionally, the stock has historically shown notable post-earnings volatility, so investors will likely focus on the quality of results and forward guidance rather than the headline figures alone.
Forward Outlook and Key Factors to Monitor
After the earnings release, investors should focus on the company's full-year guidance and any revisions to its sales, operating income, and unit-volume targets. Guidance commentary will be especially telling given the mixed signals in the global auto market.
Another area to watch is Honda's EV and hybrid roadmap. The pace of new model launches, battery-cost management, and progress in North America and Asia will influence how the market views the company's longer-term competitive position.
Cost and margin trends also matter. Supply-chain conditions, raw material prices, and promotional activity can shift profitability even when revenue is growing. Finally, currency assumptions and dividend or capital-return signals will round out the picture, giving investors a clearer sense of Honda's financial health into the second half of its fiscal year.
AI Tools in My Research Workflow
I often turn to Tickeron’s AI Screener when preparing for earnings season. The tool lets me quickly filter stocks by industry, technical patterns, and performance metrics, which helps put Honda’s numbers in broader context without spending hours on manual screens. It has become a regular part of how I cross-check consensus views ahead of reports like this one.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
HMC in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026
HMC moved above its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 24 of 36 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 04, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on HMC as a result. In 56 of 94 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for HMC just turned positive on November 04, 2026. Looking at past instances where HMC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 27 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
Following a +6.68% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HMC advanced for three days, in 168 of 306 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 157 of 254 cases where HMC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 62%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for HMC moved out of overbought territory on November 06, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 39 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 21 of the 39 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 54%.
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HMC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.
HMC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. HMC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 86 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 91 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.004) is normal, around the industry mean (1.980). P/E Ratio (-0.322) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.300). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.454) is also within normal values, averaging (2.450). Dividend Yield (0.084) settles around the average of (0.149) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.299) is also within normal values, averaging (2.648).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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General Information
Manufactures automobiles and related components, engages in lawnmowers and generator production
Industry MotorVehicles
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