Palantir is an artificial intelligence, analytics, and automated decision-making company that leverages data to drive efficiency across its clients' organizations... Show more
Palantir Technologies Inc. builds data analytics and enterprise artificial intelligence software used by government agencies and large commercial organizations. Its principal platforms include Foundry, serving commercial customers; Gotham, serving government and defense agencies; and the Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP), which lets organizations run AI models on their own data without handing that data to outside model providers. This "sovereign AI" approach, rooted in Palantir's national-security heritage, has become central to its growth story. Investors follow the stock closely because U.S. commercial revenue has accelerated dramatically, recently surpassing government revenue for the first time in the company's history.
Over the last 30 days, PLTR fell approximately 23%, retreating from a closing price of $209.05 in early October to $160.38 in early November. The shares set an intraday 52-week high around $212.94 in mid-October before reversing sharply, posting eight consecutive down sessions into early November and touching an intraday low near $152.60.
The longer three-month picture is far more balanced. The stock entered the quarter around the mid-$150s, rallied strongly into early October, and then gave back most of those gains, leaving it little changed — up only a low single-digit percentage — over the trailing quarter despite substantial volatility.
The decline was largely a reaction to Palantir's third-quarter report on November 2. The headline results were strong: revenue rose 96% to $2.31 billion, adjusted EPS of $0.44 beat the $0.41 consensus, and U.S. commercial revenue climbed 148% to $984 million, overtaking U.S. government revenue for the first time. Management raised full-year guidance to roughly $8.53 billion.
Yet the stock sold off anyway because investors zeroed in on slowing bookings. Total contract value grew only 6% year over year to $2.918 billion, down sharply from 49% growth in the prior quarter, while U.S. commercial contract value grew 11% versus 153% in the second quarter. Remaining performance obligations were roughly flat at about $4.9 billion. Management attributed the slowdown partly to shorter-duration "Sovereign AI" contracts, but the weaker forward-looking metrics renewed concerns about whether the company's rapid revenue growth can persist.
A valuation reset compounded the pressure. At roughly 51 to 53 times trailing sales and a triple-digit price-to-earnings multiple, PLTR is highly sensitive to any growth deceleration. The selling also coincided with a broader rotation out of expensive AI and technology stocks; on November 5 the Nasdaq fell more than 5% and the S&P 500 dropped 4.4% as investors reassessed AI capital spending. Peers such as Snowflake and Microsoft also declined in the same sessions. Analysts remained broadly constructive — Bank of America reiterated a Buy rating with a $255 price target after the report — but short-term sentiment stayed negative.
The quarterly trend was defined by a powerful AI-driven rally followed by a sharp pullback. In early August, shares surged roughly 30% in a single session after second-quarter results, when the company reported a record $2.13 billion in U.S. commercial total contract value and raised its full-year outlook by about $500 million. That momentum carried PLTR to a 52-week high by early October as investors priced in accelerating enterprise adoption of AI.
The reversal that followed reflected a re-rating rather than a collapse in fundamentals. As forward bookings decelerated and broader AI sentiment cooled, the stock's stretched valuation left it vulnerable to profit-taking. The result was a round trip that erased most of the quarter's earlier gains, leaving the shares near where they began the period.
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Looking ahead, investors are likely to monitor several factors. The next earnings report, expected in February 2027, will be a key test — particularly whether U.S. commercial revenue tracks toward management's target of more than $3.56 billion for 2026 and whether total contract value growth reaccelerates. Bookings and remaining performance obligations will remain closely watched given the market's recent sensitivity to those metrics.
Broader macro conditions matter as well. Sentiment around AI capital spending, interest-rate expectations, and the valuation of high-multiple technology stocks could continue to influence PLTR's price swings. Government budget and defense-spending dynamics are also relevant to the company's public-sector business. Finally, the stock's elevated valuation means that any unexpected slowdown in growth or margins could trigger further volatility. These are areas to watch rather than signals to buy or sell.
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The Aroon Indicator for PLTR entered a downward trend on November 13, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 120 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 100 of the 120 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 83%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PLTR as a result. In 61 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PLTR turned negative on October 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 34 of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 72%.
PLTR moved below its 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for PLTR crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PLTR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where PLTR's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 20 of 25 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 53 of 65 cases where PLTR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
Following a +9.17% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PLTR advanced for three days, in 290 of 333 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.
PLTR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 27 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 30 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PLTR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (39.431) is normal, around the industry mean (16.188). P/E Ratio (126.283) is within average values for comparable stocks, (45.064). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.805) is also within normal values, averaging (3.648). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.427) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (72.993) is also within normal values, averaging (103.301).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Industry ComputerCommunications