Palantir is an artificial intelligence, analytics, and automated decision-making company that leverages data to drive efficiency across its clients' organizations... Show more
Palantir Technologies has been one of the most closely followed names in the artificial-intelligence software trade, and its shares have traded near record highs after a powerful multi-month rally. Over the trailing 30 days, the stock advanced from about $177.64 to $194.15, a gain of roughly 9%, but the path was not linear. After peaking at a record close of $209.05 on October 9, shares pulled back, including a 7.2% single-session decline on October 16 that briefly put the stock more than 10% below its high. The volatility reflected broader pressure on high-multiple software and AI names amid valuation anxiety and hotter-than-expected inflation data, rather than any deterioration in Palantir's operating results.
Palantir Technologies builds data analytics and artificial-intelligence software used by government agencies and large enterprises. Its core platforms—Foundry, Gotham, Apollo, and the Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP)—help organizations integrate disparate data sources, apply AI models to operational workflows, and deploy decisions at scale. The company is known for its forward-deployed engineer model, in which technical staff work directly with customers, and for "boot camps" that demonstrate results within days. Palantir has deep roots in defense and intelligence and is increasingly positioned around the "sovereign AI" theme, where governments and enterprises seek to control their own data and models. Its high margins, accelerating U.S. commercial growth, and strong net dollar retention distinguish it from many software peers, though it competes with larger platforms from Microsoft and IBM, among others.
The dominant catalyst remains the company's second-quarter earnings report released in early August, when revenue grew 93% year over year to $1.935 billion, adjusted operating margin reached about 62%, and U.S. commercial revenue surged 149%. Management delivered its largest-ever guidance increase, lifting full-year 2026 revenue to roughly $8.15 billion and signaling 82% growth, supported by record U.S. commercial bookings and net dollar retention of 157%. The strength continued into October as several Wall Street firms turned more positive: Goldman Sachs upgraded the stock to Buy with a $230 target, Barclays initiated coverage with an Overweight rating and a $265 target, Mizuho raised its target to $245, and Robert W. Baird set a $250 target. On the product and partnership front, Customers Bank, the subsidiary of Customers Bancorp, announced it would deploy Palantir's Foundry and AIP platforms, and Knox Systems disclosed a partnership focused on FedRAMP and IL5 environments. The pullback from the October high was driven primarily by valuation concerns, profit-taking that included a reported sale of roughly $6.3 million in shares by ARK Invest, and a sector-wide software selloff.
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Looking ahead, the most immediate catalyst is Palantir's third-quarter report, expected around November 2, against management's guidance for roughly $2.16 billion in revenue. Investors will be watching whether U.S. commercial growth, net dollar retention, and remaining deal value continue to support further upward guidance revisions. The broader sovereign AI theme, including partnerships in government and regulated industries, remains a key demand driver, while competitive pressure from larger enterprise-AI platforms and any slowdown in near-100% growth rates would test the stock's premium valuation. Macroeconomic factors such as interest-rate expectations and sector rotation in and out of high-multiple technology names will also influence price action, as the October pullback demonstrated. Government budget timing and appropriations cycles add a further layer of uncertainty for the company's public-sector business.
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PLTR saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 16, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 37 of the 47 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 79%.
The 10-day RSI Indicator for PLTR moved out of overbought territory on October 14, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 34 of the 45 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 76%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PLTR as a result. In 65 of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PLTR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.
PLTR broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 53 of 65 cases where PLTR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
Following a +7.69% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PLTR advanced for three days, in 284 of 329 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 240 of 278 cases where PLTR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 86%.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 26 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 27 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PLTR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (48.372) is normal, around the industry mean (16.524). P/E Ratio (154.921) is within average values for comparable stocks, (59.084). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.805) is also within normal values, averaging (3.648). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.210) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (72.993) is also within normal values, averaging (103.889).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 95 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Industry ComputerCommunications