GET DAILY SIGNALSHuntsman Corporation (HUN) Advances +19.9% in 30 Days on Q3 Strength and Olin Merger Progress
Key Takeaways
- Huntsman Corporation (HUN) shares climbed about 19.9% over the trailing 30 days, rising from roughly $8.16 to a recent close near $9.78.
- The advance was driven by stronger third-quarter revenue, improved adjusted EBITDA, and continued progress toward the planned merger of equals with Olin Corporation.
- Third-quarter 2026 revenue of $1.72 billion beat consensus estimates, rising 17.6% year over year, while adjusted EBITDA grew roughly 40% to $132 million.
- The stock rebounded from oversold levels after sliding through September and into mid-October amid soft housing demand, elevated European energy costs, and new MDI capacity.
- Investors are monitoring the Olin combination, expected to close early in 2027, with management targeting roughly $300 million in synergies plus additional savings from expiring chlorine contracts.
Huntsman Corporation (HUN): Company Snapshot
Huntsman Corporation is a global manufacturer and marketer of differentiated chemical products, generating approximately $6 billion in revenue in 2025 from continuing operations. The company operates through three primary segments: Polyurethanes, Performance Products, and Advanced Materials. Its product portfolio spans MDI, polyols, amines, surfactants, maleic anhydride, and epoxy-based formulations, serving end markets including construction, automotive, aerospace, coatings, adhesives, electronics, and industrial applications.
Headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas, Huntsman operates more than 55 manufacturing, R&D, and operations facilities across roughly 25 countries. I follow the stock closely because of its exposure to cyclical construction and industrial demand, its specialty materials growth in aerospace and power-grid applications, and its pending combination with Olin Corporation, which management expects to create a more vertically integrated industry leader.
Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter
Over the trailing 30 days, HUN shares advanced approximately 19.9%, moving from a close near $8.16 in mid-October to a recent close around $9.78. The rally was not a straight line: the stock bottomed near $8.07 in mid-October before trending higher into November, supported by third-quarter results and merger momentum.
The broader quarterly picture has been more volatile. From a mid-August level near $10.30, shares declined through September and into mid-October, pressured by weak housing starts, high European energy prices, and industrywide MDI capacity additions. The subsequent recovery has left the stock modestly below its mid-August level on a three-month basis, illustrating a choppy, sentiment-driven trading range rather than a sustained breakout. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the stock compares to others in the industry.
What Drove the Recent 30-Day Advance
The sharp 30-day rebound coincided with Huntsman's third-quarter 2026 earnings, released on November 2, 2026. The company reported revenue of $1.72 billion, exceeding consensus estimates of roughly $1.61 billion and rising 17.6% year over year. Adjusted EBITDA increased about 40% to $132 million, reflecting higher selling prices, improved volumes, and cost discipline across its segments. Although adjusted earnings per share of $0.04 came in below some consensus estimates, the revenue beat and margin improvement signaled an underlying operational recovery.
Progress on the planned merger of equals with Olin Corporation also supported sentiment. Huntsman shareholders approved the transaction in August 2026, and regulatory clearances were obtained in several jurisdictions, including the United States in September. Management reaffirmed that the deal is on track to close early in 2027, with roughly $300 million in targeted synergies plus an additional $100 million expected as chlorine contracts expire.
Fundamentally, Advanced Materials delivered 12% volume growth driven by aerospace, automotive, and power-market demand, while MDI pricing improved across regions. The stock also benefited from a technical rebound after reaching levels near its 52-week low, as investors reassessed the company's improving profitability outlook.
Quarterly Headwinds and Supporting Factors
The multi-month trend was defined by two competing forces. On one side, cyclical headwinds weighed on shares: high mortgage rates and sluggish housing starts dampened polyurethane demand, near-record European energy prices pressured margins, and new MDI capacity threatened pricing. These factors contributed to the stock's decline from roughly $10.30 in mid-August toward $8.07 by mid-October.
On the other side, strategic and operational catalysts provided support. The June 2026 announcement of the merger of equals with Olin Corporation gave investors a tangible value-creation thesis, while management's cost, pricing, and operating discipline drove a better-than-$100 million expected improvement in 2026 EBITDA versus 2025. The combination of cyclical pressure and merger-driven optimism produced a wide but ultimately range-bound trading pattern over the quarter.
Key Factors to Watch Going Forward
Looking ahead, the completion and integration of the Olin merger is the central catalyst, with management expecting the transaction to close early in 2027. Investors will track synergy execution, balance-sheet metrics, and the combined company's portfolio strategy. Macroeconomic factors remain important: housing starts, mortgage rates, and European energy costs will influence polyurethane demand and margins, while new MDI capacity could pressure pricing into 2027.
Within the portfolio, Advanced Materials growth in aerospace, power-grid, and electric-vehicle battery applications is a key watch item, along with pricing discipline across the Polyurethanes and Performance Products segments. Management has also flagged fourth-quarter seasonality and potential inventory destocking tied to elevated raw-material costs, which could shape near-term cash flow. These factors will collectively determine whether the recent momentum in HUN shares can be sustained.
Integrating Tickeron’s AI Trading Bots Into My Process
In my own research, I often turn to Tickeron’s AI Trading Bots to test automated strategies across various timeframes and market conditions. The platform highlights top-performing bots that align with specific objectives, which helps me evaluate data-driven approaches without replacing my fundamental analysis. It’s a useful complement when assessing opportunities like the recent rebound in HUN.
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HUN's RSI Indicator peaks and leaves overbought zone
The 10-day RSI Oscillator for HUN moved out of overbought territory on November 03, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 19 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In 17 of the 19 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at 89%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 45 of 56 cases where HUN's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HUN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
HUN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on HUN as a result. In 59 of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for HUN just turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where HUN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
HUN moved above its 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for HUN crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 02, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
Following a +10.93% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HUN advanced for three days, in 163 of 254 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 106 of 147 cases where HUN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 72%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 18 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.616) is normal, around the industry mean (1.147). P/E Ratio (-9.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (3.243). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.080) is also within normal values, averaging (3.769). Dividend Yield (0.037) settles around the average of (0.195) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.269) is also within normal values, averaging (0.578).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 20 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 48 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. HUN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. HUN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.
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a manufacturer of chemicals for the plastics, automotive and construction industries
Industry ChemicalsMajorDiversified
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