JPMorgan Chase has admitted wrongdoing and agreed to pay more than $920 million to settle market-manipulation investigations.
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission said in a statement that this was the biggest monetary penalty it has ever imposed. Charges include a $436.4 million fine, $311.7 million in restitution and more than $172 million in disgorgement.
The malpractice under investigation, known as spoofing, typically involves flooding derivatives markets with orders that traders don’t intend to execute. The intention is to wrongfully influence others into moving prices in a desired direction.
Tickeron's analysis shows:
JPM's RSI Indicator ascending out of oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for JPM moved out of oversold territory on September 25, 2020. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 23 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 17 of the 23 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 74%.
Current price $95.36 crossed the resistance line at $96.28 and is trading between $96.28 resistance and $91.65 support lines. Throughout the month of 08/26/20 - 09/28/20, the price experienced a -3% Downtrend, while the week of 09/21/20 - 09/28/20 shows a +0.89% Uptrend.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +3.78% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where JPM advanced for three days, in 167 of 320 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 52%.
JPM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 149 of 266 cases where JPM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 56%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 11, 2020. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on JPM as a result. In 42 of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 51%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for JPM turned negative on September 09, 2020. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 23 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 50%.
JPM moved below its 50-day Moving Average on September 17, 2020 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day Moving Average for JPM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 22, 2020. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 6 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 40%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where Apple declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 46%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
Tickeron has a negative outlook on this ticker and predicts a further decline by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 57%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1 to 1.51.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 47 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. JPM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 69 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: JPM's P/B Ratio (1.25) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.77). P/E Ratio (12.96) is within average values for comparable stocks, (10.37). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.68) is also within normal values, averaging (4.45). Dividend Yield (2.44) settles around the average of (2.75) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.08) is also within normal values, averaging (1.59).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 90 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where JPM declined for three days, in of 283 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 5 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where JPM's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 32 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 26, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on JPM as a result. In of 85 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for JPM just turned positive on April 25, 2024. Looking at past instances where JPM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
JPM moved above its 50-day moving average on April 22, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for JPM crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 01, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where JPM advanced for three days, in of 333 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
JPM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 286 cases where JPM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 58, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. JPM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: JPM's P/B Ratio (1.907) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.945). P/E Ratio (12.258) is within average values for comparable stocks, (8.857). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.448) is also within normal values, averaging (2.584). Dividend Yield (0.021) settles around the average of (0.100) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.779) is also within normal values, averaging (2.430).
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a major bank
Industry MajorBanks