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Mar 25, 2022

Luckin Coffee (LKNCY, $10.90) Q4 revenue climbs more than 80% year-over-year

Luckin Coffee posted its fourth quarter net revenues that climbed more than +80%.

The company’s net new store openings during the fourth quarter was 353, implying a quarter-over-quarter store unit growth of 6.2%. The quarter ended with 6,024 stores of which 4,397 self-operated stores and 1,627 partnership stores.

Luckin’s average monthly transacting customers in the fourth quarter rose +67% from the year-ago quarter to 16.2 million. Same-store sales growth for self-operated stores in the fourth quarter was 43.6%, compared to 9.2% in the year-ago quarter.

Related Ticker: LKNCY

LKNCY in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on April 15, 2024

LKNCY moved below its 50-day moving average on April 15, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 38 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 12, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on LKNCY as a result. In of 96 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for LKNCY turned negative on April 11, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 55 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 55 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LKNCY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

The 10-day moving average for LKNCY crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on March 21, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LKNCY advanced for three days, in of 286 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

LKNCY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.408) is normal, around the industry mean (4.081). P/E Ratio (17.490) is within average values for comparable stocks, (55.490). LKNCY's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (1.975). LKNCY has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.035). P/S Ratio (1.992) is also within normal values, averaging (3.253).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. LKNCY’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. LKNCY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are McDonald's Corp (NYSE:MCD), Starbucks Corp (NASDAQ:SBUX), Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG), Yum! Brands (NYSE:YUM), Darden Restaurants (NYSE:DRI), Domino's Pizza (NYSE:DPZ), Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC), Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK), Noodles & Company (NASDAQ:NDLS).

Industry description

The industry includes companies that operate full-service restaurants, fast food restaurants, cafeterias and snack bars. McDonald`s Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, YUM! Brands, Inc. and Restaurant Brands International Inc. are some of the largest U.S. restaurant-owning companies in terms of market capitalization. While restaurant spending could be viewed as discretionary for consumers, some companies in the business have been able to weather economic cycles by establishing strong loyalty among customers over the years. Many of them also have a strong global presence as well.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Restaurants Industry is 7.25B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 6.73K to 195.38B. MCD holds the highest valuation in this group at 195.38B. The lowest valued company is AMHG at 6.73K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Restaurants Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 3%. REBN experienced the highest price growth at 31%, while WBBAD experienced the biggest fall at -91%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Restaurants Industry was 59%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 21% and the average quarterly volume growth was 64%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 46
P/E Growth Rating: 65
Price Growth Rating: 61
SMR Rating: 65
Profit Risk Rating: 83
Seasonality Score: 5 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

Industry Restaurants

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
1-3 Taibei Road
Phone
+86 5923386666
Employees
74590
Web
https://www.lkcoffee.com
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