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Jan 30, 2020
TickeronGET DAILY SIGNALS
Microsoft (MSFT, $168.04) beats fiscal Q2 earnings and revenue

Microsoft (MSFT, $168.04) beats fiscal Q2 earnings and revenue

Microsoft  reported fiscal second-quarter results that surpassed analyst expectations.

The tech behemoth’s earnings for the quarter came in at $1.51 per share, compared to analysts’ estimate of  $1.32.

Revenue increased +14% year-over-year to $36.9 billion, also exceeding analysts’ forecast of $36.67 billion.

Microsoft’s personal computing segment raked in $13.2 billion in revenue in the quarter.

In late October, Microsoft won the 10-year $10 billion contract – Joint Enterprise Defense Infrastructure - from the Pentagon . It did so after beating cloud competitor Amazon Web Services.

 

Related Ticker: MSFT

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


Aroon Indicator for MSFT shows an upward move is likely

MSFT's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on October 22, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 267 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 185 of the 267 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 69%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 39 of 57 cases where MSFT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 04, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MSFT as a result. In 59 of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.

MSFT moved above its 50-day moving average on November 03, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +9.60% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MSFT advanced for three days, in 208 of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for MSFT moved out of overbought territory on October 14, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 7 of the 40 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 17%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MSFT turned negative on October 19, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 25 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 50%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MSFT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 55%.

MSFT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 6 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 30 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 30 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 33 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. MSFT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 69 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 76 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.996) is normal, around the industry mean (16.313). P/E Ratio (29.774) is within average values for comparable stocks, (57.744). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.654) is also within normal values, averaging (3.696). Dividend Yield (0.007) settles around the average of (0.312) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (11.013) is also within normal values, averaging (104.492).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Palo Alto Networks Inc (NASDAQ:PANW), Crowdstrike Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:CRWD), Block Inc (NYSE:XYZ), NetApp (NASDAQ:NTAP), Zscaler (NASDAQ:ZS), Twilio (NYSE:TWLO), Okta (NASDAQ:OKTA), MongoDB (NASDAQ:MDB).

Industry description

Computer communications industry develops technology that allows computing devices to exchange data with each other using connections/data links between nodes. Common types of computer network include Cloud (IAN), Internet, Wide (WAN, Local (LAN)/Wireless(WLAN) etc. The industry is an ever-more important part of technology, and is set to become even bigger as the Internet of Things (IoT) rapidly forays into the various aspects of our lives. Cisco Systems, Inc., Palo Alto Networks, Inc. and Arista Networks, Inc., Fortinet, Inc. are some of the major computer communications companies.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Computer Communications Industry is 36.65B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 48.8K to 3.98T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.98T. The lowest valued company is WMHI at 48.8K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Computer Communications Industry was -12%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -17%, and the average quarterly price growth was -11%. CHOW experienced the highest price growth at 42%, while RZAI experienced the biggest fall at -75%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Computer Communications Industry was -15%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 31% and the average quarterly volume growth was -54%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 49
P/E Growth Rating: 51
Price Growth Rating: 64
SMR Rating: 78
Profit Risk Rating: 91
Seasonality Score: 12 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a developer of software and harware products

Industry ComputerCommunications

Industry
Packaged Software
Address
One Microsoft Way
Phone
+1 425 882-8080
Employees
223000
Web
https://www.microsoft.com
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Microsoft (MSFT, $168.04) beats fiscal Q2 earnings and revenue