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Apr 28, 2026
STMicroelectronics (STM): Q1 2026 Revenue Climbs +23% YoY, Beats Estimates on AI and Automotive Momentum

STMicroelectronics (STM): Q1 2026 Revenue Climbs +23% YoY, Beats Estimates on AI and Automotive Momentum

Key Takeaways

  • STMicroelectronics reported Q1 2026 net revenues of $3.10 billion, up 23% year-over-year and beating consensus estimates of approximately $3.05 billion.
  • GAAP gross margin reached 33.8%, with non-GAAP gross margin at 34.1%, above the midpoint of guidance.
  • Non-GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) came in at $0.13, up 85.7% year-over-year but missing analyst expectations of around $0.18.
  • Q2 2026 guidance projects net revenues of $3.45 billion at the midpoint, signaling 11.6% sequential growth.
  • Strong bookings and AI-driven demand position data center revenues to exceed $500 million for full-year 2026.
  • Shares surged over 6% in premarket trading following the release, reflecting optimism despite the EPS miss.

Earnings Context: Why These Results Matter for STM Investors

STMicroelectronics (STM), a key player in semiconductors for automotive, industrial, and consumer electronics, has just shared its Q1 2026 results as the chip sector shows signs of recovery. Following a tough 2025 marked by inventory adjustments, these figures point to strengthening demand, especially in AI infrastructure and personal electronics. From what I see, investors like us are focused on whether this signals a lasting rebound, margin improvements, and smooth execution on moves like the NXP MEMS sensor acquisition. With auto production picking up globally and AI data center opportunities on the rise, this report sheds light on STM's edge over peers such as NXP and Infineon—shaping stock valuations and overall sector outlook in these uncertain times.

Breaking Down the Reported Q1 Numbers

On April 23, 2026, STMicroelectronics released its Q1 2026 results for the quarter ended March 28, 2026. Net revenues hit $3.095 billion, down 7% from the prior quarter but up 23% year-over-year, clearing both the company's guidance midpoint and consensus estimates of $3.05 billion. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how STM stacks up against industry peers, and the growth stemmed from stronger sales in personal electronics and cloud-edge computing products (CECP), though partly offset elsewhere.

GAAP gross margin improved to 33.8%, up 40 basis points year-over-year, while non-GAAP gross margin—excluding Purchase Price Allocation (PPA) effects from the NXP acquisition—was 34.1%. GAAP operating income stood at $70 million, non-GAAP at $171 million. GAAP net income was $37 million, or $0.04 diluted EPS; non-GAAP net income reached $122 million, or $0.13 per diluted share, which fell short of consensus by about $0.05.

Segment-wise, Automotive, Microcontrollers & Sensors (AM&S) delivered $1.318 billion in revenues, up 23.2% year-over-year. Personal Computers & Displays (P&D) came in at $389 million, down 1.8%. Other areas like EMP and RFOC posted solid growth. Management highlighted strong bookings and normalized distribution inventory as encouraging signs.

Market Reaction and What Investors Are Focusing On

STM shares rose more than 6% in premarket trading after the release, pushing toward recent highs. The revenue beat and positive Q2 guidance overshadowed the EPS miss, with the market latching onto robust demand indicators, bookings strength, and AI exposure as proof of sector recovery. In my view, sentiment is cautiously optimistic, though execution will be key amid macro challenges and competitive pressures.

A Tool I Rely On for Deeper Insights: Tickeron’s AI Screener

One resource I turn to regularly in my analysis is Tickeron’s AI Screener, an AI-powered tool for discovering stocks and ETFs. It lets me filter thousands of names using technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI signals—customizing by industry, market cap, indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. This streamlines finding trade ideas, breakout candidates, and opportunities far faster than manual scans, enhancing my research process. I’ve found it particularly useful for sizing up STM in context.

Forward Outlook: Q2 Guidance and Key Metrics to Track

STMicroelectronics guided Q2 2026 net revenues to $3.45 billion at the midpoint, implying 11.6% sequential growth and 24.9% year-over-year. GAAP gross margin is expected at 34.8% (including ~100 basis points of unused capacity charges), with non-GAAP at 35.2%. This reflects ongoing momentum in customer programs and better market dynamics.

One thing that stands out is the push toward full-year data center revenues over $500 million in 2026, scaling above $1 billion in 2027, fueled by AI infrastructure. I’m watching segments like Automotive & Discrete & Power (AM&S), the NXP MEMS integration and its PPA effects closely. Broader trends in semiconductor inventory normalization, auto production, and supply chain geopolitics will matter too. Strong bookings suggest upside potential, but keep an eye on margin strains from unused capacity and restructuring. Next up: Q2 results in July and AI program updates.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

Related Ticker: STM

Momentum Indicator for STM turns negative, indicating new downward trend

STM saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on June 26, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 92 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 92 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for STM turned negative on June 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

STM moved below its 50-day moving average on July 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for STM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on July 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where STM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for STM entered a downward trend on July 10, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where STM advanced for three days, in of 304 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

STM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. STM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 71, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.153) is normal, around the industry mean (16.018). P/E Ratio (392.312) is within average values for comparable stocks, (219.124). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.452) is also within normal values, averaging (1.758). Dividend Yield (0.006) settles around the average of (0.015) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.658) is also within normal values, averaging (45.459).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (NYSE:TSM), Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO), Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), Intel Corp (NASDAQ:INTC), Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN), Analog Devices (NASDAQ:ADI), QUALCOMM (NASDAQ:QCOM), Marvell Technology (NASDAQ:MRVL).

Industry description

The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Semiconductors Industry is 196.6B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 13.43K to 5.02T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 5.02T. The lowest valued company is CYBL at 13.43K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was -10%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -15%, and the average quarterly price growth was 39%. LEDS experienced the highest price growth at 58%, while ALAB experienced the biggest fall at -23%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was 43%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -30% and the average quarterly volume growth was -25%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 60
P/E Growth Rating: 51
Price Growth Rating: 49
SMR Rating: 75
Profit Risk Rating: 71
Seasonality Score: -15 (-100 ... +100)
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TSM’s upcoming earnings carry outsized importance for the semiconductor industry. As the world’s leading contract chip manufacturer, TSMC underpins AI innovation for customers such as Nvidia and Apple. Its results often serve as a bellwether for global chip demand, capacity constraints, and pricing trends.
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