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Jun 29, 2023

Swing Trader: Sector Rotation Strategy Generates 7.38% for PFG

Swing Trader: Sector Rotation Strategy (TA&FA) Generates 7.38% for PFG

Introduction: In the world of finance, traders and investors employ various strategies to capitalize on market trends and generate profitable returns. One such strategy is the sector rotation strategy, which combines technical analysis (TA) and fundamental analysis (FA) to identify potential opportunities. In the case of PFG (placeholder for the company name), this strategy has proven to be successful, yielding a substantial return of 7.38%.

Analyzing PFG's Upward Trend:
The recent performance of PFG indicates a promising upward trend, suggesting that the stock's price may continue to rise. On May 31, 2023, PFG broke its lower Bollinger Band, a technical indicator used to assess volatility and potential price movements. This breakout from the lower band signifies a potential shift in the stock's price dynamics.

Expectations for PFG's Price Movement:
Based on historical data, when PFG's price has broken its lower Bollinger Band in the past, it has often resulted in a subsequent price increase. Out of 37 instances where this occurred, the price of PFG rose further in 32 cases during the following month. This trend highlights a significant probability of continued upward movement in the stock's price.

Opportunities for Traders:
Considering the potential for PFG's price to ascend, traders may find it advantageous to explore investment opportunities related to the stock. One option is to purchase the stock itself, anticipating further appreciation. Another strategy is to investigate call options, which provide the right to buy the underlying stock at a predetermined price within a specified timeframe.

The sector rotation strategy, combining both technical and fundamental analysis, has yielded positive results for PFG, generating a notable return of 7.38%. The recent breakout of PFG's price from its lower Bollinger Band indicates the potential for an upward trend. Considering historical data and the high probability (86%) of continued price appreciation, traders may find it opportune to invest in PFG or explore call options. As with any investment, it is essential to conduct thorough research and consider individual risk tolerance and financial goals.

Related Ticker: PFG

PFG in -3.27% downward trend, sliding for three consecutive days on September 22, 2023

Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where PFG declined for three days, in of 282 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 22, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PFG as a result. In of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PFG turned negative on September 22, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

PFG moved below its 50-day moving average on September 05, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for PFG crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 21, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where PFG's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 23 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PFG advanced for three days, in of 325 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

PFG may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 287 cases where PFG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.741) is normal, around the industry mean (3.488). P/E Ratio (11.364) is within average values for comparable stocks, (30.596). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (4.613). Dividend Yield (0.034) settles around the average of (0.071) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.314) is also within normal values, averaging (78.137).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PFG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. PFG’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Bank of New York Mellon Corp (NYSE:BK), Ares Capital Corp (NASDAQ:ARCC), WisdomTree (NYSE:WT), AMTD IDEA Group (NYSE:AMTD).

Industry description

Investment Managers manage financial assets and other investments of clients. Management includes designing a short- or long-term strategy for buying/holding and selling of portfolio holdings. It can also include tax services and other aspects of financial planning as well. While it is perceived that the industry is faced with growing competition from robo-advisors/digital platforms and passive/ index-tracking funds, many investors still find value in actively managed in-person services that investment management companies often emphasize on. At the same time, many wealth managers are also incorporating digital initiatives/low cost options in addition to their in-person customized services. Their main sources of revenues are fees as a percentage of assets under management, in addition to a certain portion of clients’ gains from asset appreciation. BlackRock, Inc., Blackstone Group Inc and Brookfield Asset Management are some of the major investment management companies.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Investment Managers Industry is 5.17B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 57 to 108.81B. FDLPF holds the highest valuation in this group at 108.81B. The lowest valued company is RSERF at 57.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Investment Managers Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 8%, and the average quarterly price growth was 12%. GLAE experienced the highest price growth at 22%, while PIAC experienced the biggest fall at -63%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Investment Managers Industry was -13%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 38% and the average quarterly volume growth was -22%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 36
P/E Growth Rating: 50
Price Growth Rating: 57
SMR Rating: 69
Profit Risk Rating: 80
Seasonality Score: -23 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a provider of retirement plans, asset management and insurance services

Industry InvestmentManagers

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Life Or Health Insurance
Address
711 High Street
Phone
+1 515 247-5111
Employees
19300
Web
https://www.principal.com
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PFG and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PFG has been closely correlated with AMP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PFG jumps, then AMP could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To PFG
1D Price
Change %
PFG100%
+0.55%
AMP - PFG
77%
Closely correlated
+0.65%
BK - PFG
68%
Closely correlated
+0.44%
CRBG - PFG
67%
Closely correlated
+3.81%
SEIC - PFG
65%
Loosely correlated
+0.83%
STT - PFG
64%
Loosely correlated
-0.29%
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