Go to the list of all blogs
Serhii Bondarenko's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jun 28, 2023

Swing Trader: Sector Rotation Strategy (TA&FA) Generates 17.19% for TPG

Swing Trader: Sector Rotation Strategy (TA&FA) Generates 17.19% for TPG

In the world of finance, traders and investors are constantly seeking profitable strategies to maximize their returns. One such strategy, known as the sector rotation strategy, combines both technical analysis (TA) and fundamental analysis (FA) to identify potentially lucrative investment opportunities. In the case of TPG, this strategy has generated a remarkable return of 17.19%.

Bullish Trend Analysis When analyzing the current market conditions for TPG, several indicators point towards a bullish trend that may continue in the foreseeable future.

Firstly, the Stochastic Oscillator, a popular momentum indicator, is currently in the oversold zone. This suggests that TPG may experience an upward price movement soon. Traders and investors should keep a close watch on the stock as it could potentially signal a favorable buying opportunity.

Additionally, the 10-day moving average for TPG recently crossed above the 50-day moving average on June 13, 2023. This bullish crossover indicates a shift in the trend to the upside and can be considered a buy signal by market participants. Historical data reveals that in 2 out of 4 previous instances when the 10-day moving average crossed above the 50-day moving average, the stock continued to climb higher over the following month. Thus, there is a 50% chance of a continued upward trend.

Furthermore, after experiencing a 1.87% increase over the past three days, the price of TPG is expected to grow further. Analysis of past instances where TPG advanced for three consecutive days indicates that in 55 out of 75 cases, the price continued to rise within the following month. This implies a 73% probability of a continued upward trend.

Lastly, the Aroon Indicator, which measures the strength of a trend, has entered an uptrend for TPG today. When the Aroon Indicator entered an uptrend in 28 out of 44 previous cases, the price continued to climb within the following month. Hence, the odds of a continued uptrend for TPG are estimated to be around 64%.

The sector rotation strategy combining both technical and fundamental analysis has proven to be highly profitable for TPG, generating a substantial return of 17.19%. The current bullish trend analysis, including the oversold Stochastic Oscillator, the bullish crossover of moving averages, the recent price advance, and the Aroon Indicator entering an uptrend, all point towards the possibility of further price appreciation in the near future. Traders and investors may consider these factors when evaluating their investment decisions in relation to TPG.

Related Ticker: TPG

Contributor

Serhii Bondarenko is an AI-focused trading strategist and financial markets analyst specializing in the development and application of AI trading bots and autonomous trading agents. His work combines technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and quantitative research to identify market patterns, forecast price movements, and analyze liquidity, volatility, and correlations across global stock markets. Serhii actively publishes market insights, forecasts, and trading frameworks on platforms such as Investing.com and Finextra, with a strong focus on AI-driven decision-making and next-generation algorithmic trading. His research aims to bridge the gap between traditional trading methodologies and advanced artificial intelligence, helping traders and investors navigate complex and rapidly evolving market conditions.


TPG in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on July 23, 2026

TPG moved above its 50-day moving average on July 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 34 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on August 03, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TPG as a result. In of 75 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TPG just turned positive on July 31, 2026. Looking at past instances where TPG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TPG advanced for three days, in of 302 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 229 cases where TPG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for TPG moved out of overbought territory on August 20, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 32 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 48 cases where TPG's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

TPG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.067) is normal, around the industry mean (3.525). TPG has a moderately high P/E Ratio (78.209) as compared to the industry average of (27.186). TPG's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.208). Dividend Yield (0.043) settles around the average of (0.086) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.858) is also within normal values, averaging (16.512).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TPG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TPG’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Ares Capital Corp (NASDAQ:ARCC), WisdomTree (NYSE:WT), AMTD IDEA Group (NYSE:AMTD).

Industry description

Investment Managers manage financial assets and other investments of clients. Management includes designing a short- or long-term strategy for buying/holding and selling of portfolio holdings. It can also include tax services and other aspects of financial planning as well. While it is perceived that the industry is faced with growing competition from robo-advisors/digital platforms and passive/ index-tracking funds, many investors still find value in actively managed in-person services that investment management companies often emphasize on. At the same time, many wealth managers are also incorporating digital initiatives/low cost options in addition to their in-person customized services. Their main sources of revenues are fees as a percentage of assets under management, in addition to a certain portion of clients’ gains from asset appreciation. BlackRock, Inc., Blackstone Group Inc and Brookfield Asset Management are some of the major investment management companies.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Investment Managers Industry is 9.63B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 57 to 179.11B. BLK holds the highest valuation in this group at 179.11B. The lowest valued company is RSERF at 57.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Investment Managers Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 8%, and the average quarterly price growth was 5%. ZSTK experienced the highest price growth at 143%, while AMBR experienced the biggest fall at -26%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Investment Managers Industry was -4%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 25% and the average quarterly volume growth was -53%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 33
P/E Growth Rating: 55
Price Growth Rating: 51
SMR Rating: 74
Profit Risk Rating: 78
Seasonality Score: -23 (-100 ... +100)
View a ticker or compare two or three
TPG
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
Interact to see
Advertisement
A.I.Advisor
published price charts
Last 5 trading days
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

Industry InvestmentManagers

Profile
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
301 Commerce Street
Phone
+1 817 871-4000
Employees
1850
Web
https://www.tpg.com
Interact to see
Advertisement
ERII shares have remained resilient, trading near $15.47 ahead of Q4 and full-year 2025 earnings scheduled for February 25, 2026. Q3 2025 results exceeded expectations, with revenue of $32 million and EPS of $0.07, despite year-over-year declines tied to project timing.
Liberty Broadband Corporation (LBRDA) has experienced pronounced swings in recent weeks, touching multiyear lows before staging a sharp recovery. The stock continues to trade within a wide 52-week range, closely tied to the value of its Charter Communications stake and investor expectations around the proposed merger.
Arm Holdings (ARM) shares have demonstrated resilience in recent sessions, rebounding after an initial earnings-related pullback and stabilizing near technical support levels. While smartphone-related headwinds tied to memory shortages pressured sentiment, momentum in AI-driven data center royalties helped restore confidence.
Shell plc (SHEL) reported Q4 2025 adjusted earnings of $3.3 billion, below expectations due to weaker oil prices and non-cash tax charges. Full-year adjusted earnings reached $18.5 billion, supported by strong LNG and upstream operations. A 4% dividend increase to $0.372 per share and a new $3.5 billion buyback program reinforce capital return commitments.
Linde (LIN) reported Q4 2025 adjusted EPS of $4.20, topping estimates, with full-year revenue reaching $34 billion. 2026 EPS guidance of $17.40–$17.90 implies 6–9% growth, supported by a record $10 billion project backlog.
ConocoPhillips (COP) reported Q4 2025 adjusted EPS of $1.02, missing estimates due to weaker oil prices. Full-year adjusted earnings totaled $7.7 billion, with $19.9 billion in operating cash flow. Shares have gained more than 10% in recent weeks, supported by analyst upgrades and sector momentum.
Verisk Analytics (VRSK) delivered Q4 2025 revenue of $779 million, up 5.9% year over year, with adjusted EPS of $1.82, beating expectations. Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH) reported Q3 FY2026 revenue of $2.62 billion, down 10.2% year over year, but adjusted diluted EPS climbed 14% to $1.77, well above estimates.
(OMC) Omnicom’s fourth-quarter report, released February 18, 2026, marked its first earnings update incorporating results from Interpublic Group (IPG), acquired on November 26, 2025. The combination created the world’s largest marketing services firm by revenue, a significant milestone as the advertising industry consolidates and adapts to digital transformation.
Copart (CPRT) is set to report fiscal Q2 2026 earnings on February 19, 2026, after market close. Consensus calls for EPS of $0.39–$0.40 and revenue of $1.15–$1.18 billion. Global Payments (GPN) posted Q4 2025 adjusted EPS of $3.18, in line with expectations, and adjusted net revenue of $2.32 billion, up 6% in constant currency (excluding dispositions). Thomson Reuters (TRI) delivered Q4 2025 adjusted EPS of $1.07 and revenue of $2.01 billion, up 5% year over year, supported by recurring subscription growth.
Unilever PLC (UL) leads year-to-date performance with a 12.61% gain, ahead of Diageo plc (DEO) at 9.90% and Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) at 4.27%. DEO offers the highest dividend yield at 4.35%, compared with KDP (3.16%) and UL (2.97%). All three stocks carry low betas—DEO (0.18), UL (0.24), and KDP (0.35)—highlighting their defensive characteristics.
Q1 Fiscal 2026 Results: Revenue of $333M and adjusted EBITDA of $50M (15% margin), exceeding analyst expectations. FY2026 Guidance Raised: Adjusted EBITDA now projected at $225M, with revenue reaffirmed near $1.5B. EV Backlog Growth: 855 electric buses worth $277M, highlighting robust demand supported by EPA clean bus funding.
IBM fell over 10% today mainly because a new AI tool from Anthropic is seen as a direct threat to IBM’s lucrative COBOL modernization and consulting business, triggering worries that key legacy‑modernization revenue will be automated away.
Today’s drop is mainly about competitive positioning and future growth expectations, not an immediate collapse of current Wegovy/Ozempic sales, but it signals that Novo may not have the strongest next‑wave obesity drug versus Eli Lilly, which is why the stock sold off so sharply.
RNG (RingCentral) dropped over 12% today mainly as a sharp pullback after a very steep recent run‑up driven by upbeat Q4 results, guidance, and capital‑return news, with profit‑taking amplified by valuation concerns and a weak broader tech tap
Fundamentally, the latest public guidance is still for rapid growth and profitability, but today’s drop reflects a reset of sentiment and valuation rather than a brand‑new deterioration in those targets. For investors, the key question is whether the current price appropriately reflects execution risk, competition in diagnostics, and macro volatility after the guidance‑driven rally and subsequent reversal.
TNC (Tennant Company) is down more than 25% today because it reported a very large earnings and revenue miss for Q4 2025, blamed on serious ERP rollout problems and weaker demand, and guided to a slower‑than‑hoped recovery in 2026.
XMTR (Xometry) is down more than 21% today because, despite reporting record growth and an earnings beat, the company announced a CEO transition and investors used the news to take profits after a big prior run‑up, with heavy short interest amplifying the drop.
EDSA (Edesa Biotech) is up more than 21% today largely on speculative trading in a very illiquid penny stock with no clear, company‑specific news catalyst, likely driven by technical factors, retail flows, and short‑term trading rather than fundamentals.
Q4 2025 revenue came in strong at about 214–215 million, up mid‑30s percent year over year and a few percent above estimates, but GAAP EPS was only 0.08 versus expectations around 0.31, a roughly 70–75% miss and down from 0.13 a year earlier.
Estée Lauder Companies Inc. (EL) has rebounded with ~12% YTD gains and 50%+ one-year returns, supported by margin improvements and strong skincare/fragrance demand despite broader prestige beauty challenges.