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Dec 31, 2018
THE STREET: Buy IBM Stock as It Begins 2019 as the Cheapest Dow Component

THE STREET: Buy IBM Stock as It Begins 2019 as the Cheapest Dow Component

International Business Machines Corp. (IBM) has been a component of the Dow Jones Industrial Average since June 1979. The stock set its all-time intraday high of $215.90 in March 2013 and has been trading sideways to down since then, trading to a multi-year low of $105.94 on Dec. 26 as the stock is becoming "too cheap to ignore." READ MORE...

Related Ticker: IBM

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


Momentum Indicator for IBM turns positive, indicating new upward trend

IBM saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on August 19, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 78 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 78 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where IBM's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 28 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for IBM just turned positive on July 31, 2026. Looking at past instances where IBM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 37 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IBM advanced for three days, in of 372 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 263 cases where IBM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 55 cases where IBM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The 10-day moving average for IBM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on July 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IBM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.443) is normal, around the industry mean (7.110). P/E Ratio (20.931) is within average values for comparable stocks, (70.841). IBM's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.408) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.226). Dividend Yield (0.029) settles around the average of (0.025) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.246) is also within normal values, averaging (147.745).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. IBM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are International Business Machines Corp (NYSE:IBM), Accenture PLC (NYSE:ACN), Unisys Corp (NYSE:UIS).

Industry description

The industry, whose total market cap runs into trillions, makes hardware/software that allows data to be stored, retrieved, transmitted, and manipulated on computers. With the ever-increasing relevance of data, the information technology (IT) industry has gained momentous growth over the years, and continues to thrive on innovation. Some of the behemoths in the industry are International Business Machines Corporation, Accenture, and VMware, Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Information Technology Services Industry is 9.37B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 0 to 222.04B. IBM holds the highest valuation in this group at 222.04B. The lowest valued company is ARSC at 0.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Information Technology Services Industry was 7%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 10%, and the average quarterly price growth was 22%. JFU experienced the highest price growth at 30%, while WYFI experienced the biggest fall at -30%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Information Technology Services Industry was 6%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 1% and the average quarterly volume growth was -21%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 47
P/E Growth Rating: 63
Price Growth Rating: 57
SMR Rating: 72
Profit Risk Rating: 93
Seasonality Score: 0 (-100 ... +100)
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a manufacturer of various computer products through the use of advanced information technology

Industry InformationTechnologyServices

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Information Technology Services
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One New Orchard Road
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+1 914 499-1900
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