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May 23, 2019
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The US tariffs on China have been paid almost entirely by US importers: IMF study - CNBC

The US tariffs on China have been paid almost entirely by US importers: IMF study - CNBC

U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods are hurting an unintended target as the trade war rages, an International Monetary Fund study found.

The study, released Thursday, said that tariff revenue collected from levies on Chinese goods “has been borne almost entirely” by U.S. importers.

Related Ticker: SPY

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


SPY in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026

SPY moved below its 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 35 of 40 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 51 of 70 cases where SPY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SPY as a result. In 56 of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SPY turned negative on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 37 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 73%.

The 10-day moving average for SPY crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a +0.91% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPY advanced for three days, in 295 of 356 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.

SPY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 361 of 419 cases where SPY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 86%.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL), Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG), Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN), Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META), Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO), Eli Lilly & Co (NYSE:LLY).

Industry description

The investment seeks to provide investment results that, before expenses, correspond generally to the price and yield performance of the S&P 500® Index. The trust seeks to achieve its investment objective by holding a portfolio of the common stocks that are included in the index (the “Portfolio”), with the weight of each stock in the Portfolio substantially corresponding to the weight of such stock in the index.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) ETF is 152.94B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 6.05B to 4.94T. AAPL holds the highest valuation in this group at 4.94T. The lowest valued company is MOS at 6.05B.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) ETF was -2%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was -2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 3%. PNR experienced the highest price growth at 28%, while RDDT experienced the biggest fall at -34%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) ETF was 27%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was 14% and the average quarterly volume growth was -25%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 70
P/E Growth Rating: 51
Price Growth Rating: 41
SMR Rating: 50
Profit Risk Rating: 57
Seasonality Score: 18 (-100 ... +100)
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