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Nov 07, 2026
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USCF SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Strategy No K-1 Fund (SDCI): Recent Moves in a Dynamic Commodity Basket

USCF SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Strategy No K-1 Fund (SDCI): Recent Moves in a Dynamic Commodity Basket

Key Takeaways

  • SDCI is a passively managed, non-diversified ETF that seeks long-term total return by tracking the SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Index Total Return.
  • The portfolio holds 14 commodity futures contracts, selected monthly from a 27-commodity universe and weighted equally by notional amount.
  • Exposure spans five sectors — petroleum, precious metals, industrial metals, grains, and a non-primary group (softs, livestock, and natural gas) — with a net expense ratio of 0.60%.
  • Over the trailing 30 days, SDCI declined roughly 5.7%, while over the trailing quarter it gained approximately 3.7%.
  • Recent weakness has been concentrated in the petroleum complex, while base metals and agricultural commodities have shown comparatively more resilience.
  • Explore additional analysis on this fund's Price Targets and Forecast for deeper market context.
  • Discover data-driven trading ideas through Tickeron's Trending AI Robots.

Understanding the SDCI Fund Structure

The USCF SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Strategy No K-1 Fund seeks investment results that closely correspond, before fees and expenses, to the SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Index Total Return. The index reflects a fully margined and collateralized portfolio of exchange-traded commodity futures contracts. Rather than maintaining static exposure, the strategy reconstitutes monthly, selecting 14 commodities from a universe of 27 based on quantitative signals tied to backwardation (when nearer-dated futures trade above later-dated contracts) and price momentum. Each selected contract is weighted equally, with the constraint that all four primary sectors — petroleum, precious metals, industrial metals, and grains — remain represented.

The fund gains commodity exposure primarily through a wholly owned Cayman Islands subsidiary and holds U.S. Treasury securities and cash as collateral. This structure generates interest income while allowing the fund to issue standard tax reporting rather than a Schedule K-1. SDCI carries a net expense ratio of 0.60% and, as a non-diversified fund, can concentrate its exposure. Its largest single theme is petroleum, which has historically represented roughly one-third of the portfolio, with positions spanning WTI and Brent crude, gasoline, and ultra-low-sulfur diesel. Industrial metals such as zinc, copper, aluminum, and tin, together with softs like coffee and livestock contracts, round out the basket.

The Broader Commodity Environment

Broad commodities have spent recent quarters responding to a mix of inflation dynamics, monetary policy expectations, and supply-side constraints. Energy markets have been particularly sensitive to geopolitical developments and shifts in global supply, while industrial metals have drawn support from structural demand tied to electrification, grid investment, and industrial activity. Precious metals have benefited from demand for inflation hedges and safe-haven positioning, and agricultural commodities remain shaped by weather patterns, planting cycles, and trade policy.

For a dynamic, backwardation-focused strategy such as SDCI, the roll yield environment matters as much as spot price direction. When markets are in backwardation, holding futures can generate positive roll returns; when they are in contango, roll costs can weigh on performance. This structural feature distinguishes SDCI from passive commodity index products that hold a fixed basket regardless of the shape of the futures curve. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the fund compares to others in the industry.

Recent Performance Trends

SDCI declined approximately 5.7% over the trailing 30 days, retreating from the low-$31 range into the upper-$29 range. Over the trailing quarter, however, the fund advanced roughly 3.7%, reflecting a broader uptrend that carried the fund from the mid-$28 level into the low-$30s before the recent pullback. The move has been trend-driven rather than sharply volatile, with much of the recent downside concentrated in the energy complex.

Petroleum and refined products have been the fund's most significant swing factor given their dominant weight. When crude oil and related liquids rallied earlier in the period, they were leading contributors; the subsequent easing of that strength has acted as the principal drag. By contrast, holdings across industrial metals and select agricultural contracts have provided a more stable offset. The Treasury-bill collateral, which historically has represented a meaningful share of assets, continues to contribute interest income that supports the fund's distribution.

Factors to Watch in 2026

Looking ahead, several structural factors are likely to shape SDCI's performance. The path of monetary policy and inflation expectations will influence both the U.S. dollar and real assets broadly, while the shape of energy supply and demand will remain pivotal given the fund's petroleum concentration. Industrial metal demand tied to electrification and infrastructure investment, along with agricultural supply conditions and trade policy, will continue to drive the non-energy segments.

The monthly reconstitution process itself is a differentiating factor worth monitoring, as shifts in backwardation and momentum can meaningfully alter sector weights over time. Investors should also track the interest-rate environment, which affects the yield generated on the fund's Treasury collateral. As with all commodity-linked strategies, SDCI carries volatility and roll-yield risks that can amplify or offset spot price moves. These themes — rather than short-term price swings — are the key variables to watch across the remainder of 2026.

Integrating AI Tools Into Commodity Analysis

In my own research process, I have found Tickeron’s AI-powered platforms helpful for quickly scanning commodity-linked ETFs and comparing their momentum signals against broader market trends. The AI Screener allows for customizable filters that highlight positioning differences, while the AI Daily Buy/Sell Signals can provide additional context on entry and exit points. These resources fit naturally alongside traditional fundamental review when evaluating funds like SDCI.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

Related Ticker: SDCI

Contributor

Allana's AvatarAllana|Expert

Financial analyst and market blogger with expertise in equity research, fundamental analysis, and macroeconomic trends. I regularly publish coverage on individual stocks, ETFs, and sector developments — combining rigorous financial analysis with clear, engaging writing for a broad investment audience.


SDCI in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026

SDCI moved below its 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 31 of 43 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SDCI as a result. In 50 of 77 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SDCI turned negative on October 26, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 35 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 69%.

The 10-day moving average for SDCI crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SDCI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +1.69% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SDCI advanced for three days, in 318 of 370 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.

SDCI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 306 of 342 cases where SDCI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 89%.

Industry description

The investment seeks to provide investment results that closely correspond, before fees and expenses, to the performance of the SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Index Total ReturnSM. The index reflects the performance of a fully margined and collateralized portfolio of commodities futures contracts. Under normal market conditions, the fund will invest 80% of its assets in futures contracts and other commodity-related derivative instruments. In determining the value of the fund’s assets for this purpose, it will value each derivative instrument using the instrument’s notional amount. The fund is non-diversified.
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General Information

Category CommoditiesBroadBasket

Category
Commodities Broad Basket
Address
USCF ETF Trust1999 Harrison Street, Suite 1530, Oakland CA 94612Oakland
Phone
(510) 522-9600
Web
www.uscfinvestments.com
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