GET DAILY SIGNALSVishay Precision Group (VPG): Assessing the Path Back to the $81 Target
Key Takeaways
- The central stock price target used here is $81, the arithmetic mean of the two most recent, attributable analyst price targets: $75 (B. Riley) and $87 (Lake Street).
- With shares recently trading near $48.66, reaching $81 would require roughly a 66% advance — a very large move.
- The current analyst range is narrow at $75 to $87, but both firms cut their targets after VPG's November 4, 2026 fiscal third-quarter report.
- The strongest support comes from record sensor bookings, an eighth straight quarter of book-to-bill at or above 1.0, and management's 10%–12% revenue growth outlook for 2027.
- The biggest risks are foreign-exchange headwinds, compressed margins, a sharply higher effective tax rate, and the stock's steep decline from its 2026 high.
- You can dig deeper into this ticker's Major News, Today's Price Move, Forecast, and Earnings on dedicated pages.
- For a data-driven view of market momentum across thousands of stocks and ETFs, explore Trending AI Robots.
Analyst Targets and the Updated Consensus
Coverage of VPG remains limited, as is common for companies under the $700 million market-cap threshold. Before the fiscal third-quarter report, the average target sat near $93. Following the November 4, 2026 release, B. Riley lowered its target to $75 from $105 while keeping a Buy rating, and Lake Street moved to $87 from $98, also retaining Buy. The mean of the two current targets is $81, with a tight range of $75 to $87. Both analysts stay constructive, yet the revisions indicate the rebound story now requires a steadier earnings recovery rather than a rapid re-rating.
Current Price Level and Required Upside
VPG shares recently closed near $48.66, toward the lower end of the 52-week range of roughly $29 to $151.78. Reaching the $81 target from here implies about a 66% gain. That magnitude exceeds typical broad-market annual returns and would most likely need sustained earnings improvement rather than multiple expansion alone. In fiscal Q3 2026, the company posted GAAP net revenues of $85.1 million and adjusted revenue of $87.4 million, with adjusted diluted EPS of $0.14 versus $0.30 a year earlier. GAAP operating margin narrowed to 3.2% from 12.7%, reflecting currency pressures and a higher tax rate.
Supportive Fundamentals Behind the Target
Demand trends provide the main foundation. Total orders topped $100 million, yielding an adjusted book-to-bill of 1.17 and marking the eighth straight quarter at or above 1.0. Sensor bookings reached a record $51.7 million with a book-to-bill of 1.35, supported by precision resistors for test and measurement plus ongoing strength in AI infrastructure and aerospace and defense. Management highlighted a $151 million backlog and guided 2027 revenue growth of 10% to 12%. The balance sheet offers flexibility, with roughly $80.9 million in cash against $15.7 million in long-term debt, leaving about $65 million in net cash.
Key Risks That Could Limit Upside
Profitability remains the primary hurdle. Unfavorable foreign-exchange rates trimmed adjusted operating profit by $3.4 million in the quarter and $8.1 million year-to-date, while the GAAP effective tax rate rose to about 48%, with management expecting roughly 45% for full-year 2026. Weighing Solutions adjusted revenue declined 2.2% year over year amid softer industrial and transportation demand. The stock’s own trajectory serves as a reminder: after climbing above $150 in mid-2026, shares have given back roughly two-thirds of that value. A stronger dollar, softer AI orders, or any weakness in the Sensors segment could keep the $81 level distant.
Technical Context and Levels to Watch
Technically, VPG trades well below its 2026 peak of $151.78 and near recent lows. The $44 area tested in early November offers near-term support, while the October consolidation zone around $52 to $54 sits as initial resistance. A sustained recovery would likely require reclaiming the $59 to $64 region before the $70 psychological level becomes relevant. The $81 target lies roughly midway between recent lows and the prior high.
Monitoring Points Over the Coming Quarters
Analyst targets generally look out about 12 months. Investors should track the next earnings release and guidance, the book-to-bill trajectory, currency movements versus the euro and other currencies, and any further target revisions. Commentary on AI-related orders, progress on sensor capacity expansion, and margin recovery toward prior levels will be the clearest signals.
AI Daily Buy/Sell Signals
I often check Tickeron's AI Daily Buy/Sell Signals when following names like this. The tool applies artificial intelligence to scan thousands of stocks and ETFs, producing Buy, Sell, or Hold signals that reflect shifting technical conditions and market dynamics. It helps surface opportunities and track momentum changes more efficiently than manual review alone.
Final Assessment
The $81 target for Vishay Precision Group represents the average of the two post-earnings analyst targets and sits about 66% above the recent price near $48.66. The narrow $75–$87 range shows analysts largely agree on direction even while the market prices in more caution. The constructive case centers on record sensor demand, a solid backlog, AI and defense exposure, and guided double-digit 2027 revenue growth. Offsetting factors include currency headwinds, thin margins, an elevated tax rate, and the stock’s demonstrated volatility. Reaching the target will most likely depend on margin improvement and sustained order momentum. The figure serves as a directional benchmark rather than a certainty.
Disclaimer
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Contributor
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VPG's RSI Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for VPG moved out of oversold territory on November 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 24 of the 32 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 75%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +18.05% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VPG advanced for three days, in 191 of 294 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
VPG may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on VPG as a result. In 69 of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for VPG turned negative on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 39 of the 52 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 75%.
VPG moved below its 50-day moving average on October 13, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for VPG crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 14 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VPG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.
The Aroon Indicator for VPG entered a downward trend on November 09, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 4 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. VPG’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 89 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 90 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.770) is normal, around the industry mean (1.448). VPG has a moderately high P/E Ratio (147.367) as compared to the industry average of (5.350). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.753) is also within normal values, averaging (5.470). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.012) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.475) is also within normal values, averaging (32.028).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 90 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. VPG’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock worse than average.
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
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General Information
a manufacturer of foil technology products
Industry ElectronicEquipmentInstruments
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