GET DAILY SIGNALSWhy Is BrightView Holdings (BV) Stock Down -14.17% Today?
Key Takeaways
- Shares of BrightView Holdings fell roughly 14.17% in Wednesday's session after the company's fiscal fourth-quarter results and fiscal 2027 guidance both missed Wall Street expectations.
- The primary catalyst was an earnings miss: adjusted EPS of $0.18 versus a $0.26 consensus estimate, and revenue of $677.3 million versus roughly $724 million expected.
- Fiscal 2027 guidance came in below forecasts, with revenue projected at $2.54 billion–$2.72 billion compared with a roughly $2.76 billion consensus.
- Weakness was concentrated in the cyclical Development Services segment, pressured by softening residential construction, project delays, and macro uncertainty.
- Traders are watching whether elevated selling volume and a break below prior support levels signal further downside or a potential stabilization.
- For additional detail on Price Targets, Earnings, and Forecast data, explore Tickeron's dedicated pages for this ticker.
- To discover top-performing strategies across the market, explore Tickeron's Trending AI Robots.
Opening Summary
BrightView Holdings, Inc. (BV), the largest commercial landscaping services company in the United States, saw its shares plunge in Wednesday's trading session after reporting disappointing fiscal fourth-quarter results the prior evening. The stock traded around $9.81, down from a prior close of $11.43, a decline of approximately 14.17%. The selloff was driven by an earnings miss on both the top and bottom lines, compounded by fiscal 2027 guidance that fell short of analyst expectations amid ongoing softness in the company's development business.
Earnings Results Miss Expectations
BrightView reported fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 revenue of $677.3 million, down 3.6% year over year and well below the consensus estimate of roughly $724 million. Profitability also deteriorated, with adjusted earnings per share of $0.18 missing the $0.26 analysts had projected. On a GAAP basis, the company posted a net loss attributable to common shareholders of approximately $0.6 million, or a loss of $0.01 per diluted share, compared with a profit in the year-ago period. The earnings-driven move reflected investor disappointment that the company's recurring maintenance growth was not enough to offset weakness in its more cyclical development operations.
Soft Fiscal 2027 Guidance Weighed on Sentiment
Beyond the quarterly miss, the market reacted sharply to BrightView's forward outlook. Management introduced fiscal 2027 revenue guidance of $2.54 billion to $2.72 billion, below the roughly $2.76 billion consensus, and guided adjusted EBITDA to $335 million–$355 million versus expectations near $373 million. The below-consensus forecast signaled that the macro-related headwinds pressuring the development business are expected to persist into the new fiscal year, tempering hopes for a near-term rebound in profitability and free cash flow.
Development Segment Drags Results
The biggest source of weakness was the Development Services segment, where revenue fell 17.8% year over year in the quarter. Management cited a sharpening decline in residential construction end markets, delays on several large projects, and postponed bid awards as customers navigate a volatile macro environment characterized by higher interest rates and inflation. By contrast, the recurring Land Maintenance business delivered its third consecutive quarter of revenue growth, accelerating to 3.3% in the fourth quarter — a positive signal that was nonetheless overshadowed by the development shortfall.
Market Context and Trading Activity
Trading volume was elevated relative to the stock's average, consistent with heavy selling pressure following the after-hours earnings release. The move pushed BV toward the lower end of its 52-week range and below widely watched technical levels, with the stock trading near its 52-week low and under its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. The decline was company-specific, driven by the earnings and guidance shock rather than a broad market selloff, though it underscored investor caution toward cyclical, economically sensitive service businesses amid persistent macro uncertainty.
What Comes Next for BV
Looking ahead, investors will focus on whether BrightView's recurring Land business can sustain its growth trajectory while the development segment stabilizes. Key items to watch include progress on the company's backlog conversion, any shift in residential construction trends, and management's ability to expand adjusted EBITDA margins as guided for fiscal 2027. The company's balance sheet also bears monitoring, with total net financial debt to adjusted EBITDA rising to 3.1x and adjusted free cash flow turning negative in fiscal 2026. Risks include further project delays, elevated labor and material costs, and ongoing macro volatility, while the resilience of the maintenance segment and management's cost-discipline initiatives remain potential offsets.
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Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
BV in downward trend: price expected to drop as it breaks its higher Bollinger Band on October 29, 2026
BV broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In 37 of the 44 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at 84%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for BV moved out of overbought territory on November 05, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 26 of the 32 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 81%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 43 of 63 cases where BV's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BV declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 27, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on BV as a result. In 67 of 94 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
BV moved above its 50-day moving average on October 27, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for BV crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 7 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.
Following a +4.49% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BV advanced for three days, in 195 of 290 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 152 of 206 cases where BV Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 74%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 5 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.875) is normal, around the industry mean (5.887). BV has a moderately low P/E Ratio (-48.625) as compared to the industry average of (33.618). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.140) is also within normal values, averaging (1.946). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.025) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.376) is also within normal values, averaging (9.907).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. BV’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 91 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BV’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock worse than average.
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
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General Information
a holding company through its subsidiaries provides tree care, water management and landscape design and maintenance services
Industry OfficeEquipmentSupplies
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