Go to the list of all blogs
Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Oct 24, 2026
XME ETF Drops -10.7% Over 30 Days as Metals and Mining Sector Pulls Back

XME ETF Drops -10.7% Over 30 Days as Metals and Mining Sector Pulls Back

Key Takeaways

  • XME declined roughly 10.7% over the trailing 30 days, falling from about $107.96 to $96.37 per share.
  • Over the trailing quarter the fund slipped about 5.3%, masking a late-summer rally toward $123 before a sharp reversal.
  • The selloff was broad-based across the equal-weighted basket's steel, coal, gold, and diversified mining names.
  • Primary drivers included softer cyclical commodity demand, interest-rate expectations, and pressure on base and precious metals equities.
  • Top-weighted holdings such as Hecla Mining (HL), Newmont (NEM), Coeur Mining (CDE), and Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) weighed on performance.

State Street SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF (XME) at a Glance

The State Street SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF is a passively managed fund that seeks to track the S&P Metals & Mining Select Industry Index, an equal-weighted benchmark covering the metals and mining segment of the U.S. equity market. Rather than concentrating in the largest companies, the equal-weighted structure spreads exposure more evenly across roughly 40 constituents, giving mid- and small-cap miners outsized influence relative to market-cap-weighted peers.

The portfolio is dominated by basic materials, which represent a substantial majority of assets, with smaller allocations to energy and industrial names. Top holdings include Hecla Mining (HL), Newmont (NEM), Coeur Mining (CDE), Royal Gold (RGLD), Freeport-McMoRan (FCX), Uranium Energy (UEC), and Nucor (NUE). The fund carries a net expense ratio of 0.35% and holds several billion dollars in assets under management (AUM).

Because the index is equal-weighted and tilted toward coal, gold, steel, and diversified mining, a synchronized pullback across cyclical commodities translates directly into broad fund-level weakness.

XME Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter

Over the trailing 30 days, XME fell approximately 10.7%, retreating from about $107.96 to $96.37. The move was not a single-day shock but a steady, downward-trending grind punctuated by brief bounces, consistent with sustained selling pressure.

Zooming out to the trailing quarter, the picture is more nuanced. The fund ended the period roughly 5.3% lower, from about $101.74 to $96.37. That headline figure understates volatility, however: XME rallied through August to a peak near $123 before reversing sharply into October. From what I see, this points to a market that first rewarded cyclical strength and then rotated aggressively away from it.

What Drove XME Price in the Last 30 Days

The recent ETF price movement was primarily a function of weakness across the commodity-exposed equities that dominate the portfolio. As a basket of miners and metals producers, XME is highly sensitive to global growth expectations, the U.S. dollar, and interest rates. When those forces turn against cyclicals, steel, copper, coal, and precious metals producers tend to fall in tandem.

Among the largest holdings, gold and silver miners such as Newmont (NEM), Hecla Mining (HL), and Coeur Mining (CDE) are exposed to precious metals prices and cost inflation, while Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) tracks copper. Steel producers such as Nucor (NUE) and Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF) are tied to industrial demand. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the stock compares to others in the industry. Because the index is equal-weighted, simultaneous declines across these groups amplified the fund-level drawdown.

What Drove XME Performance Over the Last Quarter

The broader three-month trend reflected a full rotation cycle. Through August, mining equities rallied as investors favored inflation-sensitive and industrial cyclical names, lifting XME toward $123. That momentum faded as the macro environment shifted — with firmer interest-rate expectations and renewed concerns about global manufacturing demand — prompting a sustained de-rating of commodity equities into October.

Equal weighting was again a key structural factor. Rather than concentrating in diversified majors, the fund carries meaningful weight in smaller, higher-beta producers, which tend to move more sharply in both directions. This positioning explains the fund's larger drawdown relative to broader market indexes.

XME ETF Outlook: What Investors Should Watch Next

Several themes are likely to influence XME over the coming months. The trajectory of interest rates and the U.S. dollar remains central, as both shape the relative appeal of non-yielding and commodity-linked equities. Inflation trends and global manufacturing activity will similarly guide demand expectations for copper, steel, and aluminum, while precious metals miners will remain sensitive to real yields and safe-haven flows.

On the supply side, capital expenditures, production costs, and inventory levels across major producers will factor into earnings cycles for holdings such as Freeport-McMoRan, Nucor, and Newmont. Regulatory and trade-policy developments affecting mining, coal, and energy could also shift the outlook for the fund's coal and energy exposures. Investors should monitor fund flows and sector rotation signals for evidence of whether the recent risk-off move in metals and mining persists or reverses.

Using Tickeron’s AI Screener for Sector Analysis

In my view, Tickeron’s AI Screener has become a useful part of my routine when I want to quickly scan metals and mining names for technical setups, volatility patterns, and relative strength shifts. It surfaces candidates across the sector more efficiently than manual work, which helps me stay on top of how individual holdings are moving within the broader XME basket.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

Related Ticker: XME

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


XME sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line

XME saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 13, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 42 of the 46 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

XME moved below its 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for XME crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XME declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.

The Aroon Indicator for XME entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a +2.36% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XME advanced for three days, in 337 of 363 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

XME may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Newmont Corp (NYSE:NEM), Nucor Corp (NYSE:NUE), Alcoa Corp (NYSE:AA), Cleveland-Cliffs (NYSE:CLF).

Industry description

The investment seeks to provide investment results that, before fees and expenses, correspond generally to the total return performance of an index derived from the metals and mining segment of a U.S. total market composite index. In seeking to track the performance of the S&P Metals & Mining Select Industry Index (the "index"), the fund employs a sampling strategy. It generally invests substantially all, but at least 80%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index. The index represents the metals and mining segment of the S&P Total Market Index ("S&P TMI"). The fund is non-diversified.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the State Street SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF (XME) ETF is 14.22B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 192.48M to 114.72B. NEM holds the highest valuation in this group at 114.72B. The lowest valued company is ABAT at 192.48M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the State Street SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF (XME) ETF was -5%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was -12%, and the average quarterly price growth was -18%. CLF experienced the highest price growth at 15%, while KALU experienced the biggest fall at -27%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the State Street SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF (XME) ETF was -4%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was 9% and the average quarterly volume growth was 33%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 56
P/E Growth Rating: 61
Price Growth Rating: 57
SMR Rating: 68
Profit Risk Rating: 64
Seasonality Score: 27 (-100 ... +100)
View a ticker or compare two or three
XME
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
Interact to see
Advertisement
A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

Category NaturalResources

Category
Natural Resources
Address
SPDR Series TrustOne Lincoln Street Cph0326Boston
Phone
N/A
Web
www.spdrs.com
Interact to see
Advertisement
The Bitwise Solana Staking ETF (BSOL) advanced roughly 18% over the trailing 30 days, closely tracking a sharp rally in Solana (SOL). The move extends a broader recovery, with BSOL up approximately 77% over the past three months from its mid-2026 trough.
MSTY is an actively managed single-stock option income ETF (exchange-traded fund) that writes call options on Strategy (MSTR), formerly MicroStrategy, to generate current income. The portfolio is anchored by U.S. Treasury bills and MSTR option contracts rather than a diversified basket of equities, concentrating exposure in one volatile underlying.
AMDL has surged roughly +64% over the past 30 days, from about $47.59 to $78.10, mirroring a powerful rally in its sole underlying stock, AMD . The fund is a leveraged single-stock ETF (exchange-traded fund) designed to deliver 2x the daily return of AMD, amplifying both gains and losses.
TSMX, a 2x daily leveraged single-stock ETF (exchange-traded fund), rose roughly +19% over the trailing 30 days, rebounding sharply from mid-September lows. The fund seeks 200% of the daily return of TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing), meaning its moves are roughly double the underlying stock's daily swings.
Contracted revenue anchor: A roughly $3.2 billion, seven-year LNG (liquefied natural gas) supply agreement with Puerto Rico has received final approval, providing multi-year cash-flow visibility if execution stays on track. Project pipeline inflection: Upcoming milestones include the Barcarena and PortoCem power plants in Brazil, a potential Gás Sul terminal restart, and optimization of the company's modular "Fast LNG" (FLNG) liquefaction fleet.
AMD (Advanced Micro Devices) designs central processing units (CPUs), graphics processing units (GPUs), and AI accelerators, while LRCX (Lam Research) supplies the wafer-fabrication equipment used to build advanced chips. AMD has delivered strong double-digit revenue growth on AI data-center demand, but its shares trade with elevated expectations that can trigger sharp reactions around earnings.
Origination momentum: Velocity Financial enters 2026 off record annual originations of roughly $2.7 billion (up about 48%), positioning it to keep gaining share in a fragmented investor-loan market. Credit normalization is the central watch item: Nonperforming loans fell toward the 8.5% range of portfolio unpaid principal balance (UPB), but asset quality remains the primary swing factor for earnings.
Turnaround milestone ahead: Management has pointed to reaching cash generation in 2027, making the pace of cost discipline and margin recovery the central question for the stock forecast. Fresh capital supports execution: A recently announced $45.5 million equity financing, with participation from management and a single institutional investor, strengthens the balance sheet as the company funds its transformation.
NFE closed at $5.51, down -6.13% during Tuesday's regular session, extending a slide that has pushed shares near a 52-week low. Primary catalyst: the company disclosed its Fast LNG unit is offline after a gas-turbine mechanical failure, with return to service not expected until Q4.
The central $11 target is the arithmetic mean of four verified analyst price targets, rounded from roughly $10.75. With the stock near $2.06, reaching $11 would require an upside of more than 400%, an extremely large move.
The $23 central target is the rounded arithmetic mean of four verified analyst price targets, which average $23.25. The latest verified price is around $9.57, meaning the target implies roughly 140% upside—a very large move.
NXH closed down -11.17% (-$0.23) to $1.83 on Oct 6, the most recent regular session, extending a steep two-day decline. Selling continued as investors digested the mutual termination of the Fathom Holdings merger and a dilutive $45.5M registered direct offering of ~16.5M shares at $2.76.
AMD is a large-cap designer of CPUs (central processing units) and GPUs (graphics processing units) competing directly with Nvidia in the AI accelerator market, while FORM is a small-cap provider of semiconductor test and measurement equipment, primarily probe cards. AMD's narrative has been driven by multi-billion-dollar hyperscaler deals, while FORM's has been powered by record revenue and sharp margin expansion tied to high-bandwidth memory (HBM) demand.
AMD has surged roughly 200% year to date, crossing a $1 trillion market capitalization on AI data-center demand and a "CPU renaissance" narrative. KLAC has gained about 71% year to date, supported by record process-control revenue and rapid growth in advanced packaging for AI chips.
AMD is a large-cap semiconductor designer riding explosive AI compute demand, while ENTG is a mid-cap supplier of materials and purity solutions that feed the same AI-driven chip cycle. AMD recently crossed a $1 trillion market capitalization on surging data center revenue, whereas ENTG operates at a far smaller scale (roughly $23 billion) with steadier, double-digit growth.
VELO closed Tuesday at $9.57, unchanged (+0.00%) from the prior session, with the move occurring during regular market hours. The flat close marked stabilization after Monday's -14.5% plunge, when shares fell to $9.57 from $11.20 following disclosure of CFO James Suva's departure.
The $8 target used here is a technical, publicly discussed recovery objective — not an analyst consensus — because legacy analyst price targets were set before NFE's restructuring and reverse stock split. New Fortress Energy Inc. ( NFE ) trades near $5.51, so reaching $8 implies a roughly 45% advance.
AVBP plunged -46.98% during Tuesday's regular session, closing at $15.09 versus $28.46, marking its worst single-day decline on record. The catalyst was the Phase 3 FURVENT trial of firmonertinib failing its primary endpoint—progression-free survival—in first-line EGFR exon 20 insertion non-small cell lung cancer.
Upcoming catalyst: The company's next earnings release is estimated for November 6, 2026, which should offer fresh detail on its SKY token holdings, staking rewards, and treasury strategy. Strategic positioning: SDEV is an on-chain holding company providing public-market exposure to the Sky protocol ecosystem, with SKY as its core digital asset and a stated focus on the stablecoin economy.
Different roles in the chip ecosystem: AMAT is a materials-engineering and deposition leader, while KLAC dominates process control, inspection, and yield management. Momentum favors AMAT: AMAT shares have more than doubled this year, while KLAC has recently pulled back roughly 9% in a month on margin and execution concerns.