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AEM vs CGAU
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM) vs. Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AEM is a larger-scale gold producer with diversified operations across multiple jurisdictions, while CGAU operates a more concentrated portfolio focused on key assets in Central Asia and North America.
- Recent market activity shows AEM experiencing a modest pullback amid broader sector rotation, whereas CGAU has maintained relatively stable pricing with positive year-to-date momentum.
- Both companies benefit from elevated gold prices, but AEM reports stronger historical free cash flow generation and shareholder returns through dividends and buybacks.
- Upcoming quarterly results—AEM on July 29 and CGAU on July 28—represent near-term catalysts that could influence sentiment in the gold mining sector.
- AEM exhibits lower volatility relative to its peer group, while CGAU has delivered higher percentage gains over the trailing twelve months.
- Market positioning favors AEM for scale and consistency, with CGAU offering greater upside potential tied to operational execution and cost management.
Introduction
Investors and traders seeking exposure to the gold mining sector often compare established producers to evaluate differences in scale, operational efficiency, and risk profiles. AEM and CGAU represent two distinct approaches within the same industry: one a large-cap leader with extensive international operations and another a mid-cap player with focused asset development. This comparison provides relevant insights for portfolio managers assessing relative performance, growth drivers, and sector positioning amid fluctuating commodity prices and macroeconomic conditions. Both stocks appeal to those monitoring precious metals trends and earnings catalysts over the coming weeks.
AEM Overview and Recent Performance
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited operates as one of the world’s largest gold producers, with mines spanning Canada, Australia, Finland, and Mexico. The company emphasizes low all-in sustaining costs and consistent production growth through brownfield expansions. In recent weeks, AEM shares have traded lower amid sector-wide adjustments following a period of strong gains earlier in the year. Performance has been influenced by profit-taking and anticipation of second-quarter results scheduled for July 29. Broader market activity reflects solid underlying fundamentals from prior periods, including record operating margins driven by higher realized gold prices, though near-term sentiment remains tempered by macroeconomic uncertainty and upcoming earnings disclosure.
CGAU Overview and Recent Performance
Centerra Gold Inc. focuses on gold and copper production primarily through its Mount Milligan operation in Canada and the Öksüt mine in Turkey. The mid-cap miner has pursued cost discipline and asset optimization in recent periods. In recent market activity, CGAU has shown relative resilience with positive year-to-date returns, supported by favorable gold price environments and operational execution. Recent weeks have featured steady trading volumes and limited downside volatility compared with larger peers. Sentiment has been shaped by the company’s upcoming second-quarter results release on July 28, alongside ongoing efforts to maintain production guidance and manage geopolitical and operational risks inherent to its asset base.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
In terms of business model, AEM benefits from greater geographic diversification and production scale, reducing single-asset concentration risk relative to CGAU’s more focused operations. Growth drivers for AEM center on large-scale expansions and consistent reserve replacement, while CGAU emphasizes cost optimization and targeted development at existing sites. Recent momentum favors CGAU on a percentage basis over the trailing year, though AEM has delivered more stable absolute returns with lower beta exposure. Risk factors include regulatory and labor considerations for AEM’s multi-jurisdictional footprint versus potential currency and regional exposure for CGAU. Sector exposure remains similar for both as gold producers, yet market sentiment currently reflects a preference for larger, more liquid names amid earnings season.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, operational scale, and relative positioning within the gold sector, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to AEM. Its larger production base and track record of free cash flow generation provide a buffer against short-term volatility, while upcoming results offer a clear catalyst for reassessment. CGAU presents attractive upside in a continued gold bull environment but carries comparatively higher execution risk tied to its asset concentration.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AEM is a Buy and CGAU is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AEM’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileCGAU’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- AEM’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- CGAU’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AEM’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while CGAU’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AEM’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- CGAU’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
AEM (@Precious Metals) experienced а +4.27% price change this week, while CGAU (@Precious Metals) price change was +1.27% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was +2.53%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +20.56%, and the average quarterly price growth was -18.31%.
Reported Earning Dates
AEM is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
CGAU is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (+2.53% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| AEM | CGAU | AEM / CGAU | |
| Capitalization | 94.1B | 4.2B | 2,243% |
| EBITDA | 10.5B | 1B | 1,046% |
| Gain YTD | 10.455 | 49.687 | 21% |
| P/E Ratio | 15.96 | 6.87 | 232% |
| Revenue | 14.5B | 1.72B | 841% |
| Total Cash | 3.48B | 457M | 761% |
| Total Debt | 320M | 45.8M | 699% |
AEM | CGAU | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 47 | 45 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 94 Overvalued | 22 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 45 | 21 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 43 | 31 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | 36 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 82 | 98 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CGAU's Valuation (22) in the null industry is significantly better than the same rating for AEM (94). This means that CGAU’s stock grew significantly faster than AEM’s over the last 12 months.
CGAU's Profit vs Risk Rating (21) in the null industry is in the same range as AEM (45). This means that CGAU’s stock grew similarly to AEM’s over the last 12 months.
CGAU's SMR Rating (31) in the null industry is in the same range as AEM (43). This means that CGAU’s stock grew similarly to AEM’s over the last 12 months.
CGAU's Price Growth Rating (36) in the null industry is in the same range as AEM (42). This means that CGAU’s stock grew similarly to AEM’s over the last 12 months.
AEM's P/E Growth Rating (82) in the null industry is in the same range as CGAU (98). This means that AEM’s stock grew similarly to CGAU’s over the last 12 months.
| AEM | CGAU | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 72% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 83% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 77% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 80% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 77% | 4 days ago 77% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 27 days ago 71% | 23 days ago 70% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 78% |
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