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AEM vs CGAU
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) vs. Centerra Gold (CGAU) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AEM (Agnico Eagle Mines) is a large-scale senior gold producer with multi-million-ounce annual output and a substantially lower cost structure than CGAU (Centerra Gold).
- CGAU is a mid-tier gold and copper producer that has delivered a much larger relative share-price advance over the past year, reflecting strong re-rating momentum.
- Both companies benefit from elevated gold prices, but AEM offers greater scale and free cash flow, while CGAU adds copper and molybdenum exposure.
- AEM is funding record shareholder returns and a deep growth pipeline, while CGAU is advancing a self-funded, debt-free project pipeline.
- For additional detail on each company's developments, explore AEM Major News and AEM Today's Price Move, as well as CGAU Major News and CGAU Today's Price Move.
- To see how AI-driven systems are currently positioned across thousands of tickers, explore the curated Trending AI Robots page.
Introduction
Gold miners have drawn considerable attention in recent market activity as elevated bullion prices continue to support margins, cash flow, and shareholder returns across the sector. This stock comparison examines two Canadian-headquartered precious metals companies operating at different points on the scale spectrum: AEM, a senior producer with global-scale operations, and CGAU, a mid-tier producer with meaningful copper and molybdenum diversification. The contrast is relevant for investors weighing stability and free cash flow against momentum and re-rating potential. Traders and longer-term investors alike may find value in understanding how relative performance, cost structure, and growth catalysts differ between these two names.
AEM Overview and Recent Performance
AEM (Agnico Eagle Mines) is one of the world's largest senior gold producers, with operations concentrated in Canada, along with assets in Finland and Mexico and a growing international platform. The company has reported record quarterly free cash flow in recent periods, supported by strong realized gold prices, disciplined cost control, and solid operational performance. Management has highlighted record shareholder returns, including a dividend increase and expanded share repurchases, while maintaining a low-leverage balance sheet.
Recent market activity has been shaped by a series of growth-oriented developments, including a positive investment decision for the Hope Bay project, a consolidation of properties in Finland's Central Lapland Greenstone Belt, and continued expansion work at Detour Lake and the Odyssey mine. These moves support a stated target of 20% to 30% production growth over the next decade. Sentiment has remained constructive, with the stock advancing substantially over the past year on the strength of earnings growth and rising cash generation.
CGAU Overview and Recent Performance
CGAU (Centerra Gold) is a mid-tier mining company with a diversified portfolio spanning gold, copper, and molybdenum. Its principal operating assets are the Mount Milligan gold-copper mine in British Columbia, Canada, and the Öksüt gold mine in Turkey, complemented by the Thompson Creek molybdenum restart and development-stage projects such as Goldfield and Kemess.
In recent quarters, CGAU has reported rising revenue and net earnings, strengthened its cash position, and maintained a debt-free balance sheet while funding growth projects and returning capital through buybacks and a quarterly dividend. The company has raised its 2026 consolidated gold production guidance, reflecting stronger performance at Öksüt. The stock has experienced a notably large rally over the past year, driven by higher metals prices and improving cash generation, though its cost structure remains higher than senior producers.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron operates hundreds of AI trading bots that collectively monitor and trade thousands of different tickers, each applying distinct strategies, timeframes, performance metrics, and risk profiles. Because market conditions shift constantly, only a subset of these bots are well-suited to the current environment at any given time. Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page curates the bots whose signals and results have recently stood out, helping traders quickly identify systems aligned with today's market dynamics rather than sifting through the full catalog. Whether a trader focuses on momentum, swing trading, or longer-horizon positioning, these bots span a broad range of styles and ticker sets. Exploring the Trending AI Robots section can offer a data-driven starting point for evaluating how automated strategies are approaching names like AEM and CGAU in real time.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between the two companies is scale and diversification. AEM produces several million ounces of gold annually with an all-in sustaining cost (AISC) profile well below CGAU's, giving it broader margin headroom and larger absolute free cash flow. CGAU, by contrast, offers exposure to copper and molybdenum alongside gold, which diversifies its revenue base beyond a single metal.
On momentum, CGAU has delivered a more dramatic relative share-price advance over the past year, a classic re-rating as its profitability improved and its balance sheet strengthened. AEM has also risen strongly but from a larger, more established base. Risk profiles differ as well: AEM carries the operational risks of a multi-asset senior producer, while CGAU faces higher per-ounce costs and concentration around fewer operating assets, offset by a debt-free balance sheet and strong liquidity. Market sentiment favors both, but for different reasons—stability and scale for AEM, and turnaround and growth re-rating for CGAU.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, cost structure, free cash flow stability, and catalyst visibility, Tickeron's AI would likely favor AEM at present. The company's larger scale, lower AISC, record shareholder returns, and a well-defined multi-year growth pipeline provide a steadier trend profile that quantitative systems often reward. CGAU has shown stronger relative momentum and an attractive debt-free balance sheet, but its higher cost base and greater reliance on fewer assets introduce more variability. The assessment is probabilistic rather than definitive, and the relative picture can shift as metals prices and individual catalysts evolve.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AEM is a StrongBuy and CGAU is a Hold.
AEM in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on November 06, 2026
AEM moved above its 50-day moving average on November 06, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 35 of 40 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 05, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AEM as a result. In 59 of 74 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AEM just turned positive on November 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where AEM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 38 of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Following a +4.43% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AEM advanced for three days, in 252 of 323 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
AEM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
The 10-day moving average for AEM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 7 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 44%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AEM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
The Aroon Indicator for AEM entered a downward trend on October 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 62, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AEM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 81 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 100 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.391) is normal, around the industry mean (2.041). P/E Ratio (16.346) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-11.985). AEM's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (30.116) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (2.614). Dividend Yield (0.009) settles around the average of (0.331) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.766) is also within normal values, averaging (7.321).
CGAU's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CGAU turned positive on November 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where CGAU's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 41 of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 05, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CGAU as a result. In 63 of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
Following a +4.13% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CGAU advanced for three days, in 238 of 315 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
CGAU may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
CGAU moved below its 50-day moving average on October 13, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for CGAU crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CGAU declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
The Aroon Indicator for CGAU entered a downward trend on November 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 15 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 62, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 39 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.966) is normal, around the industry mean (2.041). P/E Ratio (6.958) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-11.985). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.010) is also within normal values, averaging (2.614). Dividend Yield (0.009) settles around the average of (0.331) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.544) is also within normal values, averaging (7.321).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CGAU’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 51 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
AEM | CGAU | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 30 | 18 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 100 Overvalued | 39 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 35 | 15 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 43 | 31 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 40 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 81 | 51 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CGAU's Valuation (39) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AEM (100). This means that CGAU’s stock grew somewhat faster than AEM’s over the last 12 months.
CGAU's Profit vs Risk Rating (15) in the null industry is in the same range as AEM (35). This means that CGAU’s stock grew similarly to AEM’s over the last 12 months.
CGAU's SMR Rating (31) in the null industry is in the same range as AEM (43). This means that CGAU’s stock grew similarly to AEM’s over the last 12 months.
CGAU's Price Growth Rating (40) in the null industry is in the same range as AEM (47). This means that CGAU’s stock grew similarly to AEM’s over the last 12 months.
CGAU's P/E Growth Rating (51) in the null industry is in the same range as AEM (81). This means that CGAU’s stock grew similarly to AEM’s over the last 12 months.
| AEM | CGAU | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 66% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 72% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 80% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 76% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 79% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 11 days ago 76% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 70% | 9 days ago 69% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 80% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 71% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AEM’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while CGAU’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- AEM’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- CGAU’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AEM’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while CGAU’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AEM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- CGAU’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AEM (@Precious Metals) experienced а +15.84% price change this week, while CGAU (@Precious Metals) price change was +7.82% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was +11.18%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.35%, and the average quarterly price growth was -12.03%.
Reported Earning Dates
AEM is expected to report earnings on Feb 18, 2027.
CGAU is expected to report earnings on Feb 25, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (+11.18% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
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CGAU and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CGAU has been closely correlated with WPM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CGAU jumps, then WPM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CGAU | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGAU | 100% | +2.35% | ||
| WPM - CGAU | 88% Closely correlated | +2.91% | ||
| AEM - CGAU | 88% Closely correlated | +1.33% | ||
| IAG - CGAU | 88% Closely correlated | +7.20% | ||
| NEM - CGAU | 86% Closely correlated | +1.00% | ||
| PAAS - CGAU | 86% Closely correlated | +1.45% | ||
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