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AEM vs GOLD
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM) vs. Barrick Gold Corporation (GOLD) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both AEM and GOLD have benefited from elevated gold prices near $4,700 per ounce in recent market activity, driving year-to-date gains of approximately 18-20% for AEM and 39% for GOLD.
- AEM demonstrates stronger profitability margins and lower volatility (beta of 0.71), appealing to stability-focused investors amid gold price fluctuations.
- GOLD shows superior year-to-date and one-year returns (93% over 12 months), reflecting robust momentum in a high-gold-price environment.
- Recent strategic acquisitions by AEM in Finland bolster its greenstone belt position, while GOLD faces operational challenges in regions like Mali.
- Analyst consensus rates both as buys, with average price targets implying 17-20% upside for AEM from current levels around $200.
- Upcoming Q1 2026 earnings for AEM (April 30) and GOLD (May 11) could catalyze further relative performance shifts.
Introduction
As leading gold producers, AEM and GOLD offer investors exposure to the precious metals sector amid sustained gold price strength above $4,700 per ounce. This comparison analyzes their business models, recent performance, and market positioning, helping traders evaluate relative opportunities in a volatile commodity environment. Value-oriented investors seeking stable producers and momentum traders chasing upside will find insights into sector dynamics, growth drivers, and risk trade-offs.
AEM Overview and Recent Performance
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM) is a mid-tier gold producer focused on low-risk jurisdictions, primarily Canada and Europe, with operations emphasizing high-grade deposits and cost discipline. In recent market activity, AEM shares have traded around $200, within a 52-week range of $103 to $255, reflecting a year-to-date gain of about 18% and 69% over 12 months. Sentiment has been influenced by gold's rally, offset by recent sector pullbacks tied to geopolitical tensions and profit-taking, with shares down roughly 2% in the past week but up nearly 4% over the prior month. Key developments include strategic acquisitions consolidating the Central Lapstone Greenstone Belt in Finland, enhancing long-term production potential. Q4 2025 results beat expectations with EPS of $2.70, supporting a trailing P/E (price-to-earnings ratio) of 22.6 and market cap exceeding $100 billion. Q1 2026 earnings are due April 30, with forecasts for EPS growth.
GOLD Overview and Recent Performance
Barrick Gold Corporation (GOLD) ranks among the world's largest gold and copper producers, with a diversified portfolio spanning North and South America, Africa, and Asia. Shares recently closed near $47, in a 52-week range of $19 to $67, posting stronger year-to-date returns of around 39% and 93% over the past year. Performance has tracked gold's upward trajectory, though recent weeks saw a 2% dip amid broader metals pressure from U.S.-Iran tensions and gold softening from peaks. Operational highlights include steady output, but challenges persist at sites like Loulo-Gounkoto in Mali. Financials show a forward P/E of 12.9 and quarterly revenue growth over 136% year-over-year, with a market cap around tens of billions. Q1 2026 results are scheduled for May 11, amid positive analyst outlooks for earnings expansion.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AEM and GOLD share gold price sensitivity but diverge in scale and diversification: AEM's focused, low-cost model (peer-leading margins) contrasts GOLD's global operations with copper exposure for revenue balance. Growth drivers include AEM's reserve expansions via acquisitions versus GOLD's tier-one asset optimizations. Recent momentum favors GOLD's 39% YTD surge over AEM's 18-20%, though AEM exhibits lower risk via a beta of 0.71 and stronger EPS stability. Risk factors tilt toward GOLD's geopolitical exposures in Africa, while AEM benefits from stable jurisdictions. Sector exposure is pure-play gold for both, but market sentiment leans bullish on AEM for cost control amid volatility, with comparable buy ratings and 17-40% upside targets.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward GOLD for its superior recent momentum and YTD outperformance in the gold rally, coupled with attractive forward valuations and earnings growth potential. However, AEM's trend consistency and lower volatility position it well for risk-averse strategies. Observable factors like relative strength and catalysts suggest a probabilistic edge to GOLD in the near term, subject to upcoming earnings and gold trends.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AEM is a Hold and GOLD is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AEM’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileGOLD’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- AEM’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- GOLD’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AEM’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while GOLD’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AEM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- GOLD’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
AEM (@Precious Metals) experienced а -8.19% price change this week, while GOLD (@Investment Banks/Brokers) price change was +4.67% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was -13.58%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -19.73%, and the average quarterly price growth was -7.30%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Banks/Brokers industry was -6.29%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.09%, and the average quarterly price growth was -17.08%.
Reported Earning Dates
AEM is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
GOLD is expected to report earnings on Aug 27, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (-13.58% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
@Investment Banks/Brokers (-6.29% weekly)These banks specialize in underwriting (helping companies with debt financing or equity issuances), IPOs, facilitating mergers and other corporate reorganizations and acting as a broker or financial advisor for institutions. They might also trade securities on their own accounts. Investment banks potentially thrive on expanding its network of clients, since that could help them increase profits. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and CME Group Inc are some of the largest investment banking companies.
| AEM | GOLD | AEM / GOLD | |
| Capitalization | 79.9B | 1.22B | 6,576% |
| EBITDA | 9.74B | 204M | 4,776% |
| Gain YTD | -3.969 | 24.071 | -16% |
| P/E Ratio | 15.06 | 13.64 | 110% |
| Revenue | 13.5B | 23B | 59% |
| Total Cash | 3.12B | 144M | 2,169% |
| Total Debt | 319M | 715M | 45% |
AEM | GOLD | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 66 | 72 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 92 Overvalued | 69 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 42 | 50 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 43 | 68 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 46 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 87 | 99 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 9 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
GOLD's Valuation (69) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AEM (92) in the null industry. This means that GOLD’s stock grew similarly to AEM’s over the last 12 months.
AEM's Profit vs Risk Rating (42) in the null industry is in the same range as GOLD (50) in the Precious Metals industry. This means that AEM’s stock grew similarly to GOLD’s over the last 12 months.
AEM's SMR Rating (43) in the null industry is in the same range as GOLD (68) in the Precious Metals industry. This means that AEM’s stock grew similarly to GOLD’s over the last 12 months.
GOLD's Price Growth Rating (46) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AEM (62) in the null industry. This means that GOLD’s stock grew similarly to AEM’s over the last 12 months.
AEM's P/E Growth Rating (87) in the null industry is in the same range as GOLD (99) in the Precious Metals industry. This means that AEM’s stock grew similarly to GOLD’s over the last 12 months.
| AEM | GOLD | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 80% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 74% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 80% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 78% | 19 days ago 79% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 9 days ago 76% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 68% |
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