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AEM vs IDR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) vs. Idaho Strategic Resources (IDR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) is a senior gold producer with roughly a $105 billion market capitalization and operations across Canada, Finland, Mexico, and Australia.
- Idaho Strategic Resources (IDR) is a small-cap (small-capitalization) gold producer with a market value near $330 million, plus the largest rare earth elements (REE) land package in the United States.
- Both stocks are leveraged to gold prices, which have cooled from record highs, pressuring recent share prices and short-term momentum for each.
- AEM offers scale, record free cash flow, and a dividend; IDR offers faster growth and critical-minerals optionality but with materially higher volatility.
Introduction
Gold miners have been a focal point for investors as bullion retreated from its early-2026 peak near $5,600 per ounce to levels around $4,300 in recent weeks. Within that backdrop, AEM and IDR represent two very different ways to gain exposure to precious metals. One is an established senior producer with diversified assets and steady cash generation; the other is a smaller, Idaho-focused operator pairing growing gold output with rare earth exploration. This stock comparison is relevant for traders weighing relative performance and market positioning, and for longer-term investors assessing how scale and stability compare against growth potential and resource optionality.
AEM Overview and Recent Performance
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited is one of the world's largest gold producers, operating mines in Canada, Finland, Mexico, and Australia. The company has emphasized lower-risk jurisdictions and a pipeline of growth projects, including Odyssey at Canadian Malartic, Detour Lake, Hope Bay, Upper Beaver, and San Nicolas. Recent market activity has been shaped by gold's pullback: AEM shares rallied in recent weeks on rebounding bullion prices but remain below their 200-day simple moving average (SMA), a technical indicator used to gauge longer-term trend. Fundamentals remain strong, with record second-quarter free cash flow of roughly $1.3 billion and a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio near 17, a premium to gold-industry peers. The company also continues returning capital through dividends and buybacks, supporting sentiment even as valuation runs rich.
IDR Overview and Recent Performance
Idaho Strategic Resources is an Idaho-based gold producer that also controls what it describes as the largest REE land package in the United States, with additional exposure to thorium, copper, and silver. The company reported record first-quarter 2026 results, with revenue rising roughly 99% year over year to $14.48 million and net income reaching about $6.39 million. Gold production increased, though all-in sustaining cost (AISC), a measure of the total cost to produce an ounce of gold, rose to roughly $1,868 per ounce. Unlike AEM, IDR does not pay a dividend, and its shares have been notably volatile, trading well below their 52-week high and beneath both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs in recent weeks. Analyst coverage is limited, with a single Buy rating and a $45 price target.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies occupy opposite ends of the gold-mining spectrum. AEM's business model is built on diversified, multi-jurisdiction production, which provides steadier cash flow, a dividend, and lower per-share volatility. IDR, by contrast, is a single-district producer whose growth is tied to the Golden Chest Mine and the Murray Gold Belt, paired with significant exploration upside in rare earths. Growth drivers differ sharply: AEM leans on project development and realized gold prices, while IDR combines rising gold output with a strategic position in critical minerals, a sector receiving increasing U.S. policy attention. Risk profiles also diverge—IDR carries higher operational and liquidity risk and wider price swings, whereas AEM faces valuation and gold-price sensitivity. In recent weeks, both stocks have struggled against a softer gold backdrop, but IDR's pullback has been steeper, reflecting its smaller size and higher beta, a measure of volatility relative to the broader market.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, cash-flow stability, and relative market positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely lean toward AEM in the current environment. The senior producer's record free cash flow, diversified asset base, and shareholder returns offer a more stable trend profile, while IDR's sharp drawdown and weaker technical posture introduce greater uncertainty. That said, IDR's rare earth optionality and faster revenue growth could make it a more favorable candidate if gold stabilizes and critical-minerals sentiment strengthens. The outcome is probabilistic rather than certain, reflecting the distinct risk-reward trade-offs each stock presents.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AEM is a Hold and IDR is a Hold.
AEM's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AEM turned positive on October 16, 2026. Looking at past instances where AEM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 44 of 55 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 15, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AEM as a result. In 57 of 73 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
The 50-day moving average for AEM moved above the 200-day moving average on October 06, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a +7.07% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AEM advanced for three days, in 252 of 325 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
AEM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
AEM moved below its 50-day moving average on September 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for AEM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AEM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
The Aroon Indicator for AEM entered a downward trend on October 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 63, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AEM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 88 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 100 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.317) is normal, around the industry mean (2.031). P/E Ratio (15.986) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-16.536). AEM's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (30.116) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (2.614). Dividend Yield (0.010) settles around the average of (0.341) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.766) is also within normal values, averaging (7.321).
IDR in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026
IDR moved below its 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 42 of 49 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 01, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on IDR as a result. In 71 of 93 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for IDR turned negative on September 28, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 39 of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 83%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IDR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
The Aroon Indicator for IDR entered a downward trend on October 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 9 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 15 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +5.98% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IDR advanced for three days, in 219 of 264 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
IDR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 64 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.804) is normal, around the industry mean (2.031). P/E Ratio (14.524) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-16.536). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.240) is also within normal values, averaging (2.614). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.341) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.651) is also within normal values, averaging (7.321).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 67 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. IDR’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 63, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 86 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. IDR’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
AEM | IDR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 79 | 57 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 100 Overvalued | 64 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 39 | 67 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 43 | 36 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 86 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 88 | 96 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 34 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
IDR's Valuation (64) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AEM (100). This means that IDR’s stock grew somewhat faster than AEM’s over the last 12 months.
AEM's Profit vs Risk Rating (39) in the null industry is in the same range as IDR (67). This means that AEM’s stock grew similarly to IDR’s over the last 12 months.
IDR's SMR Rating (36) in the null industry is in the same range as AEM (43). This means that IDR’s stock grew similarly to AEM’s over the last 12 months.
AEM's Price Growth Rating (47) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for IDR (86). This means that AEM’s stock grew somewhat faster than IDR’s over the last 12 months.
AEM's P/E Growth Rating (88) in the null industry is in the same range as IDR (96). This means that AEM’s stock grew similarly to IDR’s over the last 12 months.
| AEM | IDR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 76% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 83% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 82% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 78% | 7 days ago 83% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 70% | 9 days ago 80% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 69% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AEM’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while IDR’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- AEM’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- IDR’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AEM’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while IDR’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AEM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- IDR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AEM (@Precious Metals) experienced а +5.85% price change this week, while IDR (@Precious Metals) price change was +3.74% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was -5.96%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -20.25%, and the average quarterly price growth was -15.26%.
Reported Earning Dates
AEM is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
IDR is expected to report earnings on Nov 11, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (-5.96% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
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IDR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, IDR has been closely correlated with PAAS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 68% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if IDR jumps, then PAAS could also see price increases.