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AFG vs HRTG
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AFG is a Buy and HRTG is a Hold.
AFG in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026
The 10-day moving average for AFG crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AFG as a result. In 61 of 112 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AFG just turned positive on October 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where AFG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 28 of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.
AFG moved above its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +4.07% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AFG advanced for three days, in 152 of 337 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 45%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 121 of 248 cases where AFG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 49%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AFG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 47%.
AFG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 10, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 12 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 50, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AFG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 63 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.658) is normal, around the industry mean (-2.070). P/E Ratio (13.510) is within average values for comparable stocks, (9.942). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.010) is also within normal values, averaging (3.303). Dividend Yield (0.025) settles around the average of (0.027) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.456) is also within normal values, averaging (1.594).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 72 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
HRTG sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
HRTG saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 28, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 37 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 30 of the 37 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 81%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for HRTG moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 31 of the 42 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 74%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 03, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on HRTG as a result. In 64 of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
HRTG moved below its 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for HRTG crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 10, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HRTG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +1.95% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HRTG advanced for three days, in 241 of 295 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
HRTG may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 185 of 228 cases where HRTG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 81%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 50, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 39 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.740) is normal, around the industry mean (-2.070). P/E Ratio (4.725) is within average values for comparable stocks, (9.942). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.150) is also within normal values, averaging (3.303). Dividend Yield (0.007) settles around the average of (0.027) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.373) is also within normal values, averaging (1.594).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. HRTG’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 73 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
AFG | HRTG | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 44 | 84 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 63 Fair valued | 39 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 12 | 11 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 72 | 23 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 41 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 58 | 73 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
HRTG's Valuation (39) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry is in the same range as AFG (63). This means that HRTG’s stock grew similarly to AFG’s over the last 12 months.
HRTG's Profit vs Risk Rating (11) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry is in the same range as AFG (12). This means that HRTG’s stock grew similarly to AFG’s over the last 12 months.
HRTG's SMR Rating (23) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AFG (72). This means that HRTG’s stock grew somewhat faster than AFG’s over the last 12 months.
AFG's Price Growth Rating (41) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry is in the same range as HRTG (45). This means that AFG’s stock grew similarly to HRTG’s over the last 12 months.
AFG's P/E Growth Rating (58) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry is in the same range as HRTG (73). This means that AFG’s stock grew similarly to HRTG’s over the last 12 months.
| AFG | HRTG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 85% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 74% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 81% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 78% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 48% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 45% | 21 days ago 82% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 17 days ago 47% | 3 days ago 80% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 81% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AFG’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while HRTG’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- AFG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- HRTG’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AFG’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while HRTG’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AFG’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- HRTG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
AFG (@Property/Casualty Insurance) experienced а +5.12% price change this week, while HRTG (@Property/Casualty Insurance) price change was -6.19% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Property/Casualty Insurance industry was -0.68%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +7.44%, and the average quarterly price growth was +23.32%.
Reported Earning Dates
AFG is expected to report earnings on Feb 09, 2027.
HRTG is expected to report earnings on Mar 15, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Property/Casualty Insurance (-0.68% weekly)Property and casualty companies insure against accidents of non-physical harm, such as lawsuits, damage to personal assets, car crashes and more. Progressive Corporation, Travelers Companies, Inc. and Allstate Corporation are some of the biggest providers of such products.
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HRTG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HRTG has been loosely correlated with UVE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if HRTG jumps, then UVE could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To HRTG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HRTG | 100% | +1.64% | ||
| UVE - HRTG | 61% Loosely correlated | +3.64% | ||
| AFG - HRTG | 45% Loosely correlated | +1.87% | ||
| KINS - HRTG | 44% Loosely correlated | +4.12% | ||
| AII - HRTG | 44% Loosely correlated | +1.37% | ||
| ALL - HRTG | 43% Loosely correlated | +2.89% | ||
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