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AGI vs IAG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI) vs. IAMGOLD Corporation (IAG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AGI has outperformed IAG in recent market activity, with an approximately 8% gain over the past month compared to IAG's 1.5% decline.
- Both stocks benefit from elevated gold prices, but AGI demonstrates greater stability with a lower beta of 1.35 versus IAG's 2.28.
- IAG trades at a lower price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 15.1 compared to AGI's 21.5, indicating potential value appeal.
- Year-to-date, AGI leads with returns around 15-17%, while IAG lags at 3-4%.
- IAG's Côté Gold mine ramp-up supports higher production guidance of 720,000-820,000 ounces for 2026.
- Analyst price targets suggest upside for both, with AGI at around $60 and IAG at $27.
Introduction
In the gold mining sector, where commodity prices drive performance, AGI and IAG stand out as mid-tier producers navigating volatile markets. This comparison analyzes their business models, recent stock behavior, and relative positioning amid sustained gold price strength above $4,000 per ounce. Investors seeking exposure to gold equities—whether for diversification, inflation hedging, or growth potential—can use these insights to evaluate trade-offs in momentum, valuation, and risk. Both companies operate key assets in stable jurisdictions, making them relevant for portfolios focused on precious metals amid economic uncertainty.
AGI Overview and Recent Performance
Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI) is a gold producer with operations in Canada and Mexico, including the high-grade Island Gold mine and Young-Davidson. In recent weeks, AGI shares have shown resilience, posting an 8% gain over the past month despite broader sector pullbacks, with year-to-date returns near 16%. Positive sentiment stems from strong Q4 2025 production, record cash flows, and the filing of a technical report for Island Gold expansion, signaling growth catalysts. Elevated gold prices have boosted margins, with profitability metrics like a 49% profit margin and 22% return on equity (ROE) supporting performance. Analyst upgrades, including higher price targets, reflect optimism, though shares remain below 52-week highs amid profit-taking.
IAG Overview and Recent Performance
IAMGOLD Corporation (IAG) focuses on gold production in Canada and Burkina Faso, with the flagship Côté Gold mine now at full capacity. Recent market activity has pressured IAG, with a 1.5% decline over the past month and softer year-to-date gains around 3-4%, following a strong one-year return exceeding 139%. Key drivers include robust Q4 2025 results with surging cash flows from Côté ramp-up and 2026 production guidance of 720,000-820,000 ounces. High gold prices enhance a 23% profit margin and 19% ROE, but higher debt levels and operational risks in West Africa have tempered momentum. Analyst targets indicate upside potential as production stabilizes.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both AGI and IAG are mid-tier gold miners with North American core assets, but AGI offers broader diversification across Canada and Mexico, while IAG leverages Côté Gold for scale. Growth drivers favor IAG's production ramp-up versus AGI's organic expansions like Island Gold. Recent momentum tilts to AGI, with steadier short-term gains; IAG shines longer-term but faces volatility. Risk profiles differ: AGI's low debt/equity (5%) and beta contrast IAG's 18% leverage and higher beta. Sector exposure is pure-play gold, with sentiment buoyed by prices but pressured by rates. Valuation trade-off: IAG cheaper on P/E and P/B metrics.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward AGI based on superior trend consistency, lower volatility, and stronger near-term relative performance amid gold's rally. Factors like robust margins, expansion catalysts, and analyst upside (to $60 from $45) position it favorably, though IAG's value metrics and Côté growth warrant monitoring for shifts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AGI is a Buy and IAG is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AGI’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileIAG’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- AGI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- IAG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AGI’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while IAG’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AGI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- IAG’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AGI (@Precious Metals) experienced а -0.78% price change this week, while IAG (@Precious Metals) price change was +7.98% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was +1.32%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -18.06%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.20%.
Reported Earning Dates
AGI is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
IAG is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (+1.32% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| AGI | IAG | AGI / IAG | |
| Capitalization | 14.8B | 9.61B | 154% |
| EBITDA | 1.55B | 1.96B | 79% |
| Gain YTD | -8.576 | 0.970 | -884% |
| P/E Ratio | 14.02 | 9.74 | 144% |
| Revenue | 2.07B | 3.41B | 61% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 551M | - |
| Total Debt | 220M | 651M | 34% |
AGI | IAG | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 16 | 22 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 30 Undervalued | 57 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 42 | 37 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 37 | 37 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 63 | 49 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 98 | 12 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 11 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AGI's Valuation (30) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as IAG (57). This means that AGI’s stock grew similarly to IAG’s over the last 12 months.
IAG's Profit vs Risk Rating (37) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AGI (42). This means that IAG’s stock grew similarly to AGI’s over the last 12 months.
IAG's SMR Rating (37) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AGI (37). This means that IAG’s stock grew similarly to AGI’s over the last 12 months.
IAG's Price Growth Rating (49) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AGI (63). This means that IAG’s stock grew similarly to AGI’s over the last 12 months.
IAG's P/E Growth Rating (12) in the Precious Metals industry is significantly better than the same rating for AGI (98). This means that IAG’s stock grew significantly faster than AGI’s over the last 12 months.
| AGI | IAG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 83% | 3 days ago 83% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 77% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 80% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 84% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 62% | 3 days ago 73% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 82% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 63% | 5 days ago 77% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 90% | 3 days ago 88% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 49% | 3 days ago 69% |
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AGI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AGI has been closely correlated with AEM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 87% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AGI jumps, then AEM could also see price increases.
IAG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, IAG has been closely correlated with CGAU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 87% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if IAG jumps, then CGAU could also see price increases.