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AGL vs BKD
Which Stock Would AI Choose? agilon health (AGL) vs. Brookdale Senior Living (BKD) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AGL has delivered stronger year-to-date (YTD) gains of approximately 40%, outperforming BKD's 25% amid healthcare sector volatility.
- Both companies operate in the medical care facilities industry but face profitability challenges, with negative earnings per share (EPS).
- AGL recently implemented a 1-for-25 reverse stock split to maintain NYSE listing compliance, signaling heightened risk.
- BKD showed revenue per available room (RevPAR) growth in its latest quarterly results, supporting operational resilience.
- AGL's lower beta of 0.33 indicates less market sensitivity compared to BKD's 0.73.
- Market caps differ significantly, with BKD at $3.22 billion versus AGL's $401 million.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines AGL and BKD, two players in the medical care facilities sector focused on senior healthcare services. Investors interested in healthcare exposure, particularly amid aging population trends and value-based care shifts, may find value in understanding their relative performance. Recent market activity highlights contrasts in momentum, operational strategies, and risk profiles, offering insights for traders eyeing sector rotation or long-term positioning in this defensive yet evolving industry.
AGL Overview and Recent Performance
agilon health (NYSE: AGL) is a physician enablement platform partnering with primary care physicians to deliver total care for senior patients under Medicare Advantage plans. The company emphasizes value-based care models to manage costs and improve outcomes. In recent weeks, AGL stock has exhibited volatility, boosted by YTD gains around 40% despite ongoing losses, with trailing twelve-month (TTM) revenue at $5.93 billion but negative net income of -$405 million. Key influences include a 1-for-25 reverse stock split to meet NYSE requirements and anticipation for first-quarter 2026 earnings on May 6. Sentiment reflects caution due to cash burn and negative return on equity (ROE) of -135%, though low beta (0.33) suggests relative stability versus broader markets.
BKD Overview and Recent Performance
Brookdale Senior Living (NYSE: BKD) operates independent living, assisted living, and memory care communities across the U.S., serving the growing senior housing demand. Recent market activity has seen BKD deliver solid YTD performance of about 25%, with TTM revenue of $3.05 billion offset by net losses of -$263 million. Developments include Q4 2025 results with 5.7% RevPAR growth at the high end of guidance, alongside portfolio streamlining efforts. Analyst coverage, such as Stephens & Co.'s Overweight initiation with an $18 target, has supported sentiment. Higher beta (0.73) exposes it more to market swings, but operational metrics signal resilience in a challenging occupancy environment.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AGL and BKD share sector exposure in medical care facilities but diverge in business models: AGL's tech-enabled platform drives physician partnerships and risk-sharing, while BKD's asset-heavy operations focus on community management and occupancy. Growth drivers differ, with AGL leveraging Medicare expansion versus BKD's RevPAR improvements. Recent momentum favors AGL's higher YTD returns, but BKD offers larger scale and analyst backing. Risk factors include profitability woes for both, amplified by AGL's compliance actions and BKD's debt load. Market sentiment tilts toward BKD for operational steadiness amid healthcare reimbursement pressures.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI models currently lean toward BKD due to its trend consistency, larger market cap, recent RevPAR gains, and fresh analyst support, positioning it better for sustained healthcare tailwinds. While AGL exhibits stronger short-term momentum post-split, its elevated volatility and cash concerns introduce higher uncertainty. This probabilistic edge favors BKD for relative stability without guaranteeing outcomes.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AGL is a Hold and BKD is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AGL’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileBKD’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- AGL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- BKD’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AGL’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while BKD’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AGL’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- BKD’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
AGL (@Hospital/Nursing Management) experienced а -1.08% price change this week, while BKD (@Hospital/Nursing Management) price change was +2.79% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Hospital/Nursing Management industry was -0.10%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.78%, and the average quarterly price growth was +27.33%.
Reported Earning Dates
AGL is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
BKD is expected to report earnings on Aug 10, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Hospital/Nursing Management (-0.10% weekly)Hospital/Nursing Management companies own and operate health care facilities. Their operations include nursing homes, acute care facilities, retirement centers and outpatient surgery centers. HCA Healthcare Inc., Alcon Inc. and Universal Health Services, Inc. are some major companies in this industry. Technology has been at the forefront of development of advanced solutions, including quicker diagnoses of complex conditions. Investments in new diagnostics, healthcare IoT, and other healthcare technologies continue to gather momentum in this industry.
| AGL | BKD | AGL / BKD | |
| Capitalization | 1.89B | 3.34B | 56% |
| EBITDA | -337.02M | 382M | -88% |
| Gain YTD | 556.948 | 29.657 | 1,878% |
| P/E Ratio | N/A | N/A | - |
| Revenue | 5.82B | 3.15B | 185% |
| Total Cash | 231M | 270M | 86% |
| Total Debt | 33.4M | 5.52B | 1% |
BKD | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 27 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 55 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 45 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 100 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 43 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 3 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| AGL | BKD | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 79% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 85% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 76% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 89% | 2 days ago 71% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 77% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 80% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 19 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 79% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 88% | 22 days ago 74% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 85% | 2 days ago 85% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 75% |
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BKD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BKD has been loosely correlated with SNDA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 36% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BKD jumps, then SNDA could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BKD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BKD | 100% | +2.49% | ||
| SNDA - BKD | 36% Loosely correlated | +1.67% | ||
| ENSG - BKD | 25% Poorly correlated | +2.04% | ||
| AGL - BKD | 24% Poorly correlated | -0.61% | ||
| AVAH - BKD | 24% Poorly correlated | +1.54% | ||
| CMPS - BKD | 24% Poorly correlated | +0.88% | ||
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