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ALGT vs ULCC
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ALGT is a Buy and ULCC is a Buy.
ALGT in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on October 16, 2026
ALGT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 34 of 41 cases where ALGT's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ALGT's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 35 of 44 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 46 of 63 cases where ALGT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
Following a +1.93% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ALGT advanced for three days, in 207 of 276 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 28, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ALGT as a result. In 52 of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ALGT turned negative on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 40 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 87%.
The 50-day moving average for ALGT moved below the 200-day moving average on September 18, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ALGT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.
The Aroon Indicator for ALGT entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. ALGT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 81 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 86 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.041) is normal, around the industry mean (1.823). ALGT's P/E Ratio (58.336) is considerably higher than the industry average of (5.550). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.340) is also within normal values, averaging (2.252). Dividend Yield (0.035) settles around the average of (0.027) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.527) is also within normal values, averaging (0.529).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 89 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ALGT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock worse than average.
ULCC in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on October 12, 2026
ULCC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 32 of 39 cases where ULCC's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ULCC's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 28 of 37 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 40 of 53 cases where ULCC's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Following a +8.16% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ULCC advanced for three days, in 200 of 252 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 175 of 217 cases where ULCC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 81%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 09, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ULCC as a result. In 64 of 76 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ULCC turned negative on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 36 of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 82%.
ULCC moved below its 50-day moving average on October 07, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ULCC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 14 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: ULCC's P/B Ratio (8.362) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.823). P/E Ratio (-2.940) is within average values for comparable stocks, (5.550). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.252). ULCC has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.027). P/S Ratio (0.310) is also within normal values, averaging (0.529).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 21 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ULCC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 99 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ULCC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock worse than average.
ALGT | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 86 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 89 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 63 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 81 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| ALGT | ULCC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 80% | 4 days ago 76% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 73% | 4 days ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 61% | 4 days ago 84% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 87% | 4 days ago 82% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 76% | 4 days ago 82% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 82% | 4 days ago 81% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 75% | 5 days ago 79% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 84% | 8 days ago 85% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 83% | 4 days ago 82% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 81% | 4 days ago 81% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ALGT’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while ULCC’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- ALGT’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- ULCC’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ALGT’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ULCC’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ALGT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- ULCC’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ALGT (@Airlines) experienced а +1.03% price change this week, while ULCC (@Airlines) price change was +4.66% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Airlines industry was -1.89%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -14.95%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.29%.
Reported Earning Dates
ALGT is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
ULCC is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Airlines (-1.89% weekly)Airlines industry comprises passenger air transportation, including scheduled and non-scheduled routes. This can include charter airlines, as well as regular commuter ones. Discount pricing and the rise of low-cost carriers over recent decades have expanded the industry by making its services accessible to a much larger global population, compared to the older days when airline travel was a relative luxury for many people in the world. Delta Air Lines Inc., Southwest Airlines Co and United Continental Holdings, Inc. are some of the airlines with the largest stock market capitalizations in the U.S.
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ALGT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ALGT has been closely correlated with UAL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ALGT jumps, then UAL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ALGT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALGT | 100% | -3.82% | ||
| UAL - ALGT | 77% Closely correlated | -3.99% | ||
| AAL - ALGT | 75% Closely correlated | -3.89% | ||
| SKYW - ALGT | 69% Closely correlated | -2.82% | ||
| ULCC - ALGT | 69% Closely correlated | -6.79% | ||
| JBLU - ALGT | 68% Closely correlated | -0.94% | ||
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