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ALK vs ULCC
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ALK is a Buy and ULCC is a Hold.
ALK's RSI Indicator ascending out of oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for ALK moved out of oversold territory on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 22 of the 28 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 79%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 30, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ALK as a result. In 56 of 74 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ALK just turned positive on October 28, 2026. Looking at past instances where ALK's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 38 of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Following a +4.39% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ALK advanced for three days, in 218 of 287 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
ALK may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ALK declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
The Aroon Indicator for ALK entered a downward trend on October 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 6 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.086) is normal, around the industry mean (2.022). ALK has a moderately low P/E Ratio (-22.459) as compared to the industry average of (5.747). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.310) is also within normal values, averaging (2.252). Dividend Yield (0.042) settles around the average of (0.028) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.308) is also within normal values, averaging (0.529).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 73 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. ALK’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ALK’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock worse than average.
ULCC in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 28, 2026
ULCC moved above its 50-day moving average on October 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 28 of 33 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ULCC's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 22 of 37 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 28, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ULCC as a result. In 53 of 76 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ULCC just turned positive on October 27, 2026. Looking at past instances where ULCC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 32 of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Following a +17.18% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ULCC advanced for three days, in 201 of 253 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 163 of 217 cases where ULCC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 75%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ULCC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.
ULCC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 28, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 14 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: ULCC's P/B Ratio (10.918) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (2.022). P/E Ratio (-3.839) is within average values for comparable stocks, (5.747). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.252). ULCC has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.028). P/S Ratio (0.310) is also within normal values, averaging (0.529).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ULCC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 99 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ULCC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock worse than average.
ALK | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 11 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 6 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 92 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 73 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 98 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| ALK | ULCC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 85% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 70% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 74% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 82% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 79% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 74% | 6 days ago 85% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 80% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 75% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ALK’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while ULCC’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ALK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- ULCC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ALK’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ULCC’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ALK’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- ULCC’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
ALK (@Airlines) experienced а +3.81% price change this week, while ULCC (@Airlines) price change was +30.57% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Airlines industry was +1.98%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -9.95%, and the average quarterly price growth was -3.69%.
Reported Earning Dates
ALK is expected to report earnings on Jan 28, 2027.
ULCC is expected to report earnings on Feb 10, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Airlines (+1.98% weekly)Airlines industry comprises passenger air transportation, including scheduled and non-scheduled routes. This can include charter airlines, as well as regular commuter ones. Discount pricing and the rise of low-cost carriers over recent decades have expanded the industry by making its services accessible to a much larger global population, compared to the older days when airline travel was a relative luxury for many people in the world. Delta Air Lines Inc., Southwest Airlines Co and United Continental Holdings, Inc. are some of the airlines with the largest stock market capitalizations in the U.S.
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ALK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ALK has been closely correlated with AAL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ALK jumps, then AAL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ALK | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALK | 100% | -1.22% | ||
| AAL - ALK | 78% Closely correlated | -1.41% | ||
| ULCC - ALK | 66% Loosely correlated | -0.46% | ||
| LTM - ALK | 61% Loosely correlated | -3.59% | ||
| VLRS - ALK | 55% Loosely correlated | +3.39% | ||
| CPA - ALK | 36% Loosely correlated | -1.78% | ||
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