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ALLE vs EXPO
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Allegion plc (ALLE) vs. Exponent, Inc. (EXPO) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ALLE boasts a lower trailing P/E ratio (price-to-earnings ratio) of 19.64 compared to EXPO's 31.83, suggesting relatively cheaper valuation on earnings.
- ALLE shows stronger year-to-date (YTD) performance at +7.89% versus EXPO's +4.76%, amid recent market activity.
- Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector but differ in focus: ALLE in security products and EXPO in engineering consulting services.
- ALLE offers higher ROE (return on equity) at 36.08% compared to EXPO's 26.13%, indicating better profitability from equity.
- Upcoming Q1 2026 earnings for both—ALLE on April 28 and EXPO on April 30—could drive near-term momentum.
- EXPO maintains lower debt-to-equity at 21.22% versus ALLE's 104%, highlighting a more conservative balance sheet.
Introduction
This comparison pits ALLE, a leader in security products, against EXPO, a science and engineering consulting firm—both within the Industrials sector but serving distinct niches. Investors eyeing sector-specific opportunities, such as growth in security tech or specialized consulting amid economic shifts, may find value in assessing their relative performance, valuations, and catalysts. With recent market volatility and upcoming earnings, this analysis highlights key contrasts in momentum, financial health, and positioning to aid informed stock comparisons.
ALLE Overview and Recent Performance
Allegion plc (ALLE) manufactures and sells mechanical and electronic security products, including locks, doors, and access control systems, primarily through its Americas and International segments. The stock, recently trading around $146, has delivered YTD gains of 7.89% despite pullbacks in recent weeks from March highs near $160, influenced by broader market pressures and currency headwinds. Sentiment has been bolstered by a $500 million share repurchase expansion, quarterly dividend declaration, and strategic moves like the DCI acquisition to enhance access control. The company's shift toward AI-enabled and electronic security solutions, plus showcase at Data Center World 2026, signals growth in high-demand areas. Q1 2026 earnings, due April 28, are anticipated to show $1.02 billion revenue and $1.88 EPS, with full-year guidance projecting 5-7% revenue growth.
EXPO Overview and Recent Performance
Exponent, Inc. (EXPO) delivers engineering and scientific consulting across disciplines like biomechanics, materials, and environmental sciences to sectors including energy, insurance, and technology. Shares, lately around $66, reflect YTD returns of 4.76% and stronger 1-year gains of 15.23%, though recent weeks saw modest declines amid sector rotation. Performance has been shaped by steady demand for expert analysis, tempered by CEO share sales and leadership adjustments. With a market cap of $3.2 billion and lower leverage, the firm maintains resilience. Q1 2026 results, set for April 30, loom as a key sentiment driver, supported by analyst overweight ratings and a $90 average price target.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ALLE’s product-focused model contrasts EXPO’s service-oriented consulting, with the former benefiting from recurring hardware sales and data center demand versus the latter’s project-based revenues sensitive to economic cycles. Growth drivers diverge: ALLE leverages AI security and acquisitions, while EXPO draws from regulatory and litigation consulting. Recent momentum favors ALLE on YTD basis, though EXPO edges 1-year returns. Risk profiles highlight ALLE’s higher debt (104% debt/equity) against EXPO’s conservative stance, with both showing solid ROE above 25%. Market sentiment tilts positive for both via analyst targets implying upside, but ALLE’s capital returns add appeal amid sector exposure to infrastructure versus professional services.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors ALLE over EXPO, driven by superior YTD momentum, attractive forward P/E of 16.61, elevated ROE, and near-term catalysts like earnings and electronic security expansion. While EXPO offers lower risk and consulting stability, ALLE’s trend consistency and relative valuation position it probabilistically stronger in the current environment.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ALLE is a Hold and EXPO is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ALLE’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileEXPO’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ALLE’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- EXPO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ALLE’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while EXPO’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ALLE’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- EXPO’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
ALLE (@Miscellaneous Commercial Services) experienced а +1.06% price change this week, while EXPO (@Engineering & Construction) price change was +3.03% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry was +1.54%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.92%, and the average quarterly price growth was +113.29%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Engineering & Construction industry was +1.33%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.52%, and the average quarterly price growth was +30.09%.
Reported Earning Dates
ALLE is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
EXPO is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Miscellaneous Commercial Services (+1.54% weekly)The sector produces general business services, and are not classified elsewhere. For example, FleetCor Technologies provides fuel cards and workforce payment products and services; Copart, Inc. provides online vehicle auction and remarketing services across various nations; Equifax Inc. collects and aggregates credit information on consumers and businesses worldwide, along with selling credit monitoring and fraud-prevention services. Many of the companies in this category have multi-billion market capitalizations.
@Engineering & Construction (+1.33% weekly)Engineering & Construction includes companies that engage in non-residential construction and contract services, including ventilation, heating and air conditioning (HVAC) services. The level/value of construction & engineering activity is one of the potentially relevant indicators of the health of businesses, and hence of the overall economy. Some of the large-cap U.S. companies in this industry include Jacobs Engineering Group Inc,, AECOM and Quanta Services, Inc.
| ALLE | EXPO | ALLE / EXPO | |
| Capitalization | 11.5B | 2.76B | 417% |
| EBITDA | 1B | 127M | 791% |
| Gain YTD | -17.591 | -17.090 | 103% |
| P/E Ratio | 18.25 | 26.57 | 69% |
| Revenue | 4.16B | 603M | 690% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 119M | - |
| Total Debt | 2.03B | 81M | 2,507% |
ALLE | EXPO | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 19 | 12 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 48 Fair valued | 30 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 94 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 57 | 61 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 77 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
EXPO's Valuation (30) in the Engineering And Construction industry is in the same range as ALLE (48) in the Building Products industry. This means that EXPO’s stock grew similarly to ALLE’s over the last 12 months.
ALLE's Profit vs Risk Rating (94) in the Building Products industry is in the same range as EXPO (100) in the Engineering And Construction industry. This means that ALLE’s stock grew similarly to EXPO’s over the last 12 months.
ALLE's SMR Rating (100) in the Building Products industry is in the same range as EXPO (100) in the Engineering And Construction industry. This means that ALLE’s stock grew similarly to EXPO’s over the last 12 months.
ALLE's Price Growth Rating (57) in the Building Products industry is in the same range as EXPO (61) in the Engineering And Construction industry. This means that ALLE’s stock grew similarly to EXPO’s over the last 12 months.
ALLE's P/E Growth Rating (59) in the Building Products industry is in the same range as EXPO (77) in the Engineering And Construction industry. This means that ALLE’s stock grew similarly to EXPO’s over the last 12 months.
| ALLE | EXPO | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 48% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 59% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 55% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 55% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 53% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 52% | 3 days ago 57% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 57% | 9 days ago 59% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 57% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| DIPS | 40.33 | 0.71 | +1.78% |
| YieldMax Short NVDA Option Inc Strgy ETF | |||
| DIVL | 24.71 | N/A | N/A |
| Madison Dividend Value ETF | |||
| CPNM | 26.73 | -0.05 | -0.19% |
| Calamos Nasdaq-100 Str Alt Prt ETF-Mar | |||
| GTO | 46.88 | -0.19 | -0.39% |
| Invesco Total Return Bond ETF | |||
| PICB | 23.25 | -0.29 | -1.23% |
| Invesco International Corporate Bond ETF | |||
EXPO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EXPO has been loosely correlated with CTAS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if EXPO jumps, then CTAS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To EXPO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EXPO | 100% | -0.51% | ||
| CTAS - EXPO | 62% Loosely correlated | -4.00% | ||
| ALLE - EXPO | 61% Loosely correlated | -3.48% | ||
| CBZ - EXPO | 59% Loosely correlated | -3.67% | ||
| DLB - EXPO | 58% Loosely correlated | -3.05% | ||
| TRI - EXPO | 55% Loosely correlated | -2.29% | ||
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