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ALV vs MGA
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Autoliv Inc. (ALV) vs. Magna International Inc. (MGA) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Autoliv (ALV) reported strong Q1 2026 earnings that beat expectations, driving a notable share price surge in recent weeks, though year-to-date performance remains near flat.
- Magna International (MGA) has delivered superior year-to-date gains of approximately 17%, significantly outperforming ALV, with robust one-year returns exceeding 80%.
- ALV trades at a lower trailing P/E ratio (price-to-earnings, a valuation multiple) of about 12.5 compared to MGA's 21.3, indicating potential relative value.
- Both stocks have gained 10-15% over recent weeks, reflecting positive auto sector sentiment amid production recovery signals.
- Analyst price targets suggest moderate upside for both, with ALV averaging around $132 and MGA at $68.
- MGA's diversification across vehicle systems provides broader exposure, potentially mitigating sector-specific risks compared to ALV's safety focus.
Introduction
Autoliv Inc. (ALV) and Magna International Inc. (MGA) are prominent players in the automotive supply chain, with ALV specializing in passive safety systems like airbags and seatbelts, and MGA offering a wider array of components including body structures and powertrains. This comparison is particularly relevant for investors tracking the auto sector's recovery from production challenges and shifting toward electrification. Traders seeking relative performance insights or value opportunities in cyclical industrials will find value in evaluating their recent momentum, valuations, and market positioning amid ongoing global vehicle demand fluctuations.
ALV Overview and Recent Performance
Autoliv Inc. (ALV) is a global leader in automotive safety solutions, producing essential components such as airbags, seatbelts, and steering wheel electronics for major original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). In recent market activity, ALV shares have climbed around 15% over the past month following a strong quarterly earnings report that exceeded internal expectations, driven by late-quarter sales strength and EPS (earnings per share) of $2.05 versus estimates of $1.83. Despite this rebound, year-to-date returns hover near flat, reflecting earlier pressures from light vehicle production slowdowns. Sentiment has improved with analyst upgrades and reaffirmed full-year guidance, tempered by geopolitical risks, positioning the stock with a market cap of about $8.7 billion and a dividend yield near 2.8%.
MGA Overview and Recent Performance
Magna International Inc. (MGA) operates as a diversified mobility technology firm, providing engineering, manufacturing, and full-vehicle assembly services across powertrain, body exteriors, seating, and vision systems. Recent weeks have seen MGA shares rise about 12%, building on year-to-date gains of 17% and one-year appreciation over 80%, fueled by positive momentum in auto production recovery and strategic divestitures of non-core assets like lighting businesses. Upcoming quarterly results are anticipated to show beats, supporting analyst optimism. With a larger market cap of roughly $17.2 billion and a forward P/E below 10, MGA benefits from broader sector exposure, though profitability margins remain pressured in a competitive landscape.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both ALV and MGA serve the automotive industry but differ in focus: ALV’s niche in passive safety offers defensive qualities with higher ROE (return on equity, a profitability measure) at 28%, while MGA’s broader portfolio spans electrification trends, potentially driving long-term growth despite lower margins. Recent momentum favors MGA on extended timeframes, but ALV shows short-term strength post-earnings. Valuation trade-offs include ALV’s cheaper TTM P/E and higher debt-to-equity at 85% versus MGA’s 52%, implying varied risk profiles. Market sentiment leans positive for both amid sector rebound, though cyclical auto exposure and geopolitical factors weigh on outlook.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI analysis would likely favor MGA in the current environment due to its consistent momentum, superior year-to-date and one-year relative performance, and diversified growth drivers amid auto sector stabilization. While ALV presents compelling value through lower multiples and recent earnings catalysts, MGA’s positioning offers higher probability of outperformance on trend strength and broader catalysts.
Disclaimer
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To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ALV is a Hold and MGA is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ALV’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileMGA’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- ALV’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MGA’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ALV’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MGA’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ALV’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- MGA’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
ALV (@Auto Parts: OEM) experienced а -8.48% price change this week, while MGA (@Auto Parts: OEM) price change was -0.64% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Auto Parts: OEM industry was -0.93%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +7.61%, and the average quarterly price growth was +12.21%.
Reported Earning Dates
ALV is expected to report earnings on Jul 17, 2026.
MGA is expected to report earnings on Jul 31, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Auto Parts: OEM (-0.93% weekly)OEM or Original Equipment Manufacturer of auto parts refers to the original producer of a vehicles components, and so OEM car parts are usually identical to the parts used in producing the vehicle in the first place. OEM parts tend to fit the specifications of a particular model, and their compatibility is often guaranteed by the automaker itself. OEM parts could be more expensive to buy (compared to other vendors’ products) when a consumer goes for replacement. However, increased competition from aftermarket parts/third-party vendors could, in some cases, keep EOM prices in check. The industry might progress further in adopting newer technologies like 3D printing to boost supply chain performance and quality. Aptiv PLC, Magna International Inc. and BorgWarner Inc. are major OEMs for autos.
| ALV | MGA | ALV / MGA | |
| Capitalization | 8.85B | 17.7B | 50% |
| EBITDA | 1.48B | 3.38B | 44% |
| Gain YTD | 1.146 | 24.535 | 5% |
| P/E Ratio | 12.73 | 27.57 | 46% |
| Revenue | 11B | 42.3B | 26% |
| Total Cash | 342M | 1.61B | 21% |
| Total Debt | 2.25B | 6.7B | 34% |
ALV | MGA | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 63 | 25 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 9 Undervalued | 8 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 64 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 34 | 84 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 49 | 41 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 53 | 5 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 4 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MGA's Valuation (8) in the Auto Parts OEM industry is in the same range as ALV (9). This means that MGA’s stock grew similarly to ALV’s over the last 12 months.
ALV's Profit vs Risk Rating (64) in the Auto Parts OEM industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MGA (100). This means that ALV’s stock grew somewhat faster than MGA’s over the last 12 months.
ALV's SMR Rating (34) in the Auto Parts OEM industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MGA (84). This means that ALV’s stock grew somewhat faster than MGA’s over the last 12 months.
MGA's Price Growth Rating (41) in the Auto Parts OEM industry is in the same range as ALV (49). This means that MGA’s stock grew similarly to ALV’s over the last 12 months.
MGA's P/E Growth Rating (5) in the Auto Parts OEM industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ALV (53). This means that MGA’s stock grew somewhat faster than ALV’s over the last 12 months.
| ALV | MGA | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 62% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 77% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 72% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 69% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 18 days ago 64% | 5 days ago 63% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 69% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 66% |
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