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AMAT vs NVDA
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Applied Materials (AMAT) vs. NVIDIA (NVDA) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Different positions in the same value chain: AMAT (Applied Materials) builds the equipment that manufactures chips, while NVDA (NVIDIA) designs the artificial intelligence accelerators and graphics processing units (GPUs) those tools help produce.
- Both posted record results: AMAT reported record fiscal Q3 revenue up roughly 25% year over year, while NVDA grew quarterly revenue by more than 100% year over year.
- Shared sell-off catalyst: Both stocks pulled back sharply from recent highs in recent weeks as investors reassessed AI data-center spending and post-election policy risk.
- Relative performance differs: AMAT carries a richer valuation multiple after its run, while NVDA trades at a comparatively modest forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio following its decline.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: Based on observable trend consistency, market positioning, and near-term catalysts, Tickeron's AI currently favors NVDA over AMAT.
- For additional detail on each name, explore AMAT Major News, AMAT Today's Price Move, NVDA Major News, and NVDA Today's Price Move.
- To see how automated strategies are positioned across the market, explore Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Applied Materials and NVIDIA occupy two distinct but tightly linked layers of the semiconductor industry, and both are central to the artificial intelligence infrastructure buildout that has reshaped markets over the past several years. This stock comparison is relevant for investors who want to understand how a chip-equipment supplier and a chip designer respond differently to the same demand drivers — and how their relative performance, valuation, and risk profiles diverge even when they share a common catalyst. By examining recent momentum, business models, and market positioning, traders and long-term investors can better assess which exposure aligns with their view of the current market environment.
AMAT Overview and Recent Performance
AMAT (Applied Materials) is one of the world's largest suppliers of semiconductor manufacturing equipment, providing the deposition, etching, and packaging systems used to fabricate advanced chips. Its Semiconductor Systems segment accounts for roughly three-quarters of revenue, making the company a direct beneficiary of wafer-fab equipment spending.
Recent market activity has been defined by accelerating fundamentals alongside sharp price swings. In its latest reported quarter, the company posted record revenue with growth of about 25% year over year, driven by strength in DRAM (dynamic random-access memory), leading-edge logic, and advanced packaging. Management guided the following quarter to roughly 51% year-over-year growth, and the company has cited multi-year visibility from customer forecasts. Despite this momentum, shares have fallen well below their 52-week high in recent weeks as concerns about a potential slowdown in AI data-center spending and U.S. export controls on China weighed on the broader semiconductor-equipment group. Sentiment has shifted from a focus on top-line strength toward questions about valuation and execution risk.
NVDA Overview and Recent Performance
NVDA (NVIDIA) designs the AI accelerators and GPUs that power data centers, and it has become the defining company of the AI computing era. Its data-center segment drives the vast majority of revenue, supported by expanding networking sales and a broad base of hyperscale, enterprise, and sovereign customers.
In its most recent quarter, NVIDIA reported revenue of roughly $96 billion, more than double the prior-year period, and guided the current quarter to about $108 billion. Demand continues to outpace supply, with the company's next-generation platform ramping production. However, recent stock behavior has diverged from these strong fundamentals. Shares dropped sharply in a single session — the largest one-day decline in roughly a year — as investors repriced the outlook for AI infrastructure spending following U.S. midterm elections, and the stock now sits well below its recent highs. Additional watch items include a modest near-term gross-margin decline tied to rising memory prices and the company's substantial forward supply commitments. The market appears focused less on NVIDIA's reported results and more on whether its customer spending can sustain current growth rates.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron operates hundreds of AI trading bots that trade thousands of different tickers, but only a curated selection earns a place in the Trending AI Robots section. These are the strategies judged most suitable for current market conditions, spanning a wide range of trading styles, timeframes, performance histories, and statistics — from short-term momentum systems to longer-horizon trend followers. Because each bot trades a distinct set of tickers using its own rules, the page offers a practical way to compare automated approaches rather than relying on a single strategy. For readers who want to see how algorithmic systems are navigating names like AMAT and NVDA right now, the Trending AI Robots page is a useful starting point.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between the two is their place in the AI supply chain. NVDA is a chip designer with direct exposure to AI accelerator demand, a dominant market share, and a large installed software ecosystem. AMAT is a capital-equipment supplier whose revenue depends on how much chipmakers invest in new and upgraded fabrication plants, giving it indirect but broadly diversified exposure across logic, memory, and packaging.
Growth drivers also differ. NVIDIA's expansion is tied to hyperscale and enterprise compute demand, while Applied Materials benefits from rising wafer-fab equipment spending and the growing complexity of advanced packaging. On risk, NVIDIA faces customer concentration, margin pressure from memory costs, and large supply commitments; Applied Materials faces export-control restrictions, customer-concentration risk, and sensitivity to any pause in fabrication capacity expansion.
In terms of market sentiment, both have been repriced lower on the same macro concern — a potential slowdown in AI data-center buildout — but their valuations reflect different expectations. NVIDIA trades at a comparatively low forward multiple relative to its growth, while Applied Materials carries a richer multiple that leaves less room for execution missteps. This valuation gap is a central trade-off in the stock comparison.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, relative positioning, and near-term catalysts, Tickeron's AI currently favors NVDA over AMAT. NVIDIA's dominant market position, supply-constrained demand with multi-year visibility, and comparatively moderate forward valuation after its recent decline suggest a more favorable risk-reward profile in the current environment. Applied Materials' accelerating fundamentals and diversified exposure are notable strengths, but its richer multiple and indirect exposure to AI demand introduce greater sensitivity to shifts in equipment-spending expectations. This verdict reflects a probabilistic assessment of current conditions rather than a definitive prediction, and the relative outlook could shift as new earnings, policy developments, and demand signals emerge.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AMAT is a Hold and NVDA is a Buy.
AMAT in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on November 05, 2026
AMAT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 31 of 34 cases where AMAT's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where AMAT's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 24 of 29 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 43 of 55 cases where AMAT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AMAT just turned positive on November 11, 2026. Looking at past instances where AMAT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 38 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
Following a +6.62% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMAT advanced for three days, in 250 of 315 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AMAT as a result. In 56 of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
AMAT moved below its 50-day moving average on October 13, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for AMAT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.
The 50-day moving average for AMAT moved below the 200-day moving average on November 09, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMAT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
The Aroon Indicator for AMAT entered a downward trend on November 11, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 25 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AMAT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 74 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (10.304) is normal, around the industry mean (5.670). P/E Ratio (28.486) is within average values for comparable stocks, (68.795). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.967) is also within normal values, averaging (0.801). Dividend Yield (0.006) settles around the average of (0.009) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (10.764) is also within normal values, averaging (27.897).
NVDA's RSI Oscillator is sitting in oversold zone for 4 days
The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +3.31% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NVDA advanced for three days, in 295 of 355 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
NVDA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NVDA as a result. In 56 of 82 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NVDA turned negative on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 32 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 67%.
NVDA moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for NVDA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 15 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NVDA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
The Aroon Indicator for NVDA entered a downward trend on November 11, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 13 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 16 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. NVDA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 79 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: NVDA's P/B Ratio (19.682) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (5.443). P/E Ratio (23.477) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.640). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.478) is also within normal values, averaging (3.803). Dividend Yield (0.005) settles around the average of (0.014) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (17.212) is also within normal values, averaging (46.468).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
AMAT | NVDA | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 14 | 53 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 74 Overvalued | 79 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 58 | 16 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 25 | 13 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 63 | 65 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 39 | 92 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AMAT's Valuation (74) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NVDA (79) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that AMAT’s stock grew similarly to NVDA’s over the last 12 months.
NVDA's Profit vs Risk Rating (16) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AMAT (58) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that NVDA’s stock grew somewhat faster than AMAT’s over the last 12 months.
NVDA's SMR Rating (13) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as AMAT (25) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that NVDA’s stock grew similarly to AMAT’s over the last 12 months.
AMAT's Price Growth Rating (63) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NVDA (65) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that AMAT’s stock grew similarly to NVDA’s over the last 12 months.
AMAT's P/E Growth Rating (39) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NVDA (92) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that AMAT’s stock grew somewhat faster than NVDA’s over the last 12 months.
| AMAT | NVDA | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 68% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 71% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 74% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 16 days ago 83% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 69% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 84% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 81% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AMAT’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while NVDA’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- AMAT’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- NVDA’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AMAT’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NVDA’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AMAT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 6 bearish.
- NVDA’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
AMAT (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а +6.95% price change this week, while NVDA (@Semiconductors) price change was -18.33% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +6.88%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -17.35%, and the average quarterly price growth was -31.42%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +6.13%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -11.41%, and the average quarterly price growth was -25.58%.
Reported Earning Dates
AMAT is expected to report earnings on Nov 12, 2026.
NVDA is expected to report earnings on Nov 17, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (+6.88% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
@Semiconductors (+6.13% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
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AMAT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AMAT has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 91% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AMAT jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AMAT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMAT | 100% | +6.05% | ||
| LRCX - AMAT | 91% Closely correlated | +6.07% | ||
| KLAC - AMAT | 89% Closely correlated | +5.24% | ||
| ONTO - AMAT | 86% Closely correlated | +8.89% | ||
| ASML - AMAT | 83% Closely correlated | +1.76% | ||
| NVMI - AMAT | 80% Closely correlated | +4.58% | ||
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NVDA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NVDA has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NVDA jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NVDA | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | 100% | +2.92% | ||
| LRCX - NVDA | 70% Closely correlated | +6.07% | ||
| KLAC - NVDA | 69% Closely correlated | +5.24% | ||
| AMAT - NVDA | 66% Closely correlated | +6.05% | ||
| AMKR - NVDA | 63% Loosely correlated | +10.53% | ||
| CAMT - NVDA | 63% Loosely correlated | +4.76% | ||
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