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AMAT vs NVDA
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Applied Materials (AMAT) vs. NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Revenue Momentum: Applied Materials posted record Q2 revenue of $7.91 bn, driven by AI‑related equipment demand, while NVIDIA’s recent price surge reflects robust AI chip sales despite a short‑term pull‑back.
- Margin Profiles: AMAT’s non‑GAAP gross margin sits near 50 % after cost‑base improvements; NVDA enjoys higher gross margins (>70 %) from its high‑value AI silicon.
- Catalyst Landscape: AMAT benefits from EPIC Center partnerships and AI‑driven foundry upgrades; NVIDIA’s catalysts are new Blackwell chips, potential share‑buyback expansions, and continued data‑center spend.
- Risk Outlook: AMAT faces exposure to semiconductor equipment cycles and geopolitical supply‑chain constraints; NVDA is sensitive to AI‑capex cycles of hyperscalers and valuation compression risk.
- AI‑Bot Preference: Current trend consistency and diversified catalyst mix give Tickeron’s AI a modest edge toward AMAT, though NVDA remains a strong secondary pick.
Introduction
Investors seeking exposure to the artificial‑intelligence (AI) supply chain often compare AMAT and NVDA. Both companies sit at critical points of the AI ecosystem—AMAT supplies the equipment that builds advanced chips, while NVIDIA designs the chips that power AI workloads. This comparison is relevant for growth‑oriented traders, sector‑focused portfolio managers, and risk‑aware investors evaluating how each stock may perform in the current market environment.
AMAT Overview and Recent Performance
Applied Materials (AMAT) is the world’s largest supplier of semiconductor‑manufacturing equipment. In its most recent quarter (fiscal Q2 2026), the company reported record revenue of $7.91 bn, up 11 % year‑over‑year, and a non‑GAAP earnings per share (EPS) of $2.86, a 20 % increase. The earnings beat was anchored by strong demand for AI‑related manufacturing tools—particularly in logic, DRAM, and advanced packaging. Management highlighted the rapid global build‑out of AI computing infrastructure as a primary driver, noting expanding orders from leading foundries and memory makers.
Margins expanded to a non‑GAAP gross margin of 50 % and an operating margin of 32 %, reflecting value‑based pricing on differentiated equipment and ongoing cost‑saving initiatives. The balance sheet remains robust, with $6.3 bn of cash and short‑term investments and debt below $6 bn, providing flexibility for inventory builds and strategic partnerships. Recent EPIC Center collaborations with TSMC, Samsung, Micron and SK Hynix aim to shorten the time‑to‑volume for next‑generation AI chips, reinforcing AMAT’s long‑term growth narrative.
NVDA Overview and Recent Performance
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) leads the market for AI accelerators, supplying GPUs that power data‑center training and inference workloads. Over the past few weeks the stock rallied to a record high above $219, driven by bullish analyst revisions and optimism around the upcoming Blackwell architecture. Prior to a brief pull‑back, UBS raised its price target to $275, citing durable AI demand and a potential $150 bn share‑repurchase program.
For the quarter ending March 2026, Wall Street expects first‑quarter revenue of $78.6 bn—up roughly 78 % YoY—while EPS is projected near $1.77. NVIDIA’s non‑GAAP gross margin remains above 70 %, reflecting the high‑value nature of its AI chips. The company’s market capitalization exceeds $5 trillion, underscoring its mega‑cap status. Recent concerns over a possible slowdown in hyperscale AI spend have prompted short‑term price volatility, but the firm’s pipeline (Blackwell, Vera Rubin, and AI software ecosystem) continues to deliver strong growth momentum.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
- Business Model: AMAT sells capital‑intensive equipment and services; NVDA sells high‑margin semiconductor products and software licenses.
- Growth Drivers: AMAT’s growth stems from AI‑related fab expansions and advanced packaging demand; NVDA’s growth is powered by AI chip adoption, data‑center spend, and expanding software ecosystem.
- Recent Momentum: AMAT showed solid sequential revenue and margin expansion; NVDA exhibited rapid price appreciation backed by upgraded analyst targets, yet faced a short‑term correction.
- Risk Factors: AMAT is vulnerable to cyclical equipment demand, supply‑chain constraints, and geopolitical trade issues (e.g., China sales exposure). NVDA faces valuation compression risk, reliance on hyperscaler capex cycles, and competitive pressure from AMD and Intel.
- Sector Exposure: Both reside in the broader semiconductor sector, but AMAT is classified under “Semiconductor Equipment & Materials,” while NVDA falls under “Semiconductor – Integrated Circuits.”
- Market Sentiment: Analyst coverage remains bullish for both; however, NVDA’s mega‑cap status invites higher volatility, whereas AMAT’s more moderate valuation invites a steadier investor base.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on current trend consistency, margin health, and the breadth of near‑term catalysts, Tickeron’s AI would slightly favor AMAT. The equipment supplier shows steady revenue acceleration, expanding gross margins, and concrete partnership momentum that mitigates cyclicality. NVIDIA remains a strong secondary choice, especially for investors comfortable with higher valuation risk and seeking exposure to the fastest‑growing AI chip segment.
Disclaimer
“The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.” Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AMAT is a StrongBuy and NVDA is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AMAT’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileNVDA’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- AMAT’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- NVDA’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AMAT’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NVDA’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AMAT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- NVDA’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
AMAT (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а +1.87% price change this week, while NVDA (@Semiconductors) price change was -6.45% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was -5.88%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.32%, and the average quarterly price growth was +104.94%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was -14.22%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.45%, and the average quarterly price growth was +76.28%.
Reported Earning Dates
AMAT is expected to report earnings on Aug 13, 2026.
NVDA is expected to report earnings on Aug 26, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (-5.88% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
@Semiconductors (-14.22% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| AMAT | NVDA | AMAT / NVDA | |
| Capitalization | 396B | 5.04T | 8% |
| EBITDA | 11.1B | 193B | 6% |
| Gain YTD | 94.737 | 11.771 | 805% |
| P/E Ratio | 46.96 | 31.88 | 147% |
| Revenue | 29B | 253B | 11% |
| Total Cash | 8.24B | 80.6B | 10% |
| Total Debt | 7.27B | 12.3B | 59% |
AMAT | NVDA | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 41 | 67 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 74 Overvalued | 78 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 10 | 7 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 3 | 44 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 8 | 82 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AMAT's Valuation (74) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NVDA (78) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that AMAT’s stock grew similarly to NVDA’s over the last 12 months.
NVDA's Profit vs Risk Rating (7) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as AMAT (10) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that NVDA’s stock grew similarly to AMAT’s over the last 12 months.
NVDA's SMR Rating (100) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as AMAT (100) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that NVDA’s stock grew similarly to AMAT’s over the last 12 months.
AMAT's Price Growth Rating (3) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NVDA (44) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that AMAT’s stock grew somewhat faster than NVDA’s over the last 12 months.
AMAT's P/E Growth Rating (8) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is significantly better than the same rating for NVDA (82) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that AMAT’s stock grew significantly faster than NVDA’s over the last 12 months.
| AMAT | NVDA | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 87% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 76% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 78% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 72% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 28 days ago 83% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 23 days ago 65% | 8 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 80% |
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AMAT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AMAT has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AMAT jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AMAT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMAT | 100% | +1.43% | ||
| LRCX - AMAT | 86% Closely correlated | +0.84% | ||
| KLAC - AMAT | 85% Closely correlated | +1.49% | ||
| ASML - AMAT | 77% Closely correlated | +1.64% | ||
| NVMI - AMAT | 76% Closely correlated | +1.29% | ||
| QCOM - AMAT | 75% Closely correlated | -5.67% | ||
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