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AMAT vs NVDA
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Applied Materials (AMAT) vs. NVIDIA (NVDA) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AMAT has delivered significantly stronger year-to-date performance than NVDA, with returns exceeding 110% compared to approximately 20% for NVDA.
- Both companies are deeply tied to artificial intelligence growth, with NVDA dominating AI chip design and AMAT supplying critical semiconductor manufacturing equipment.
- AMAT faces an upcoming fiscal third-quarter earnings report on August 13, 2026, with expectations of robust revenue growth driven by AI-related demand.
- NVDA is scheduled to report results on August 26, 2026, following continued strength in its data center segment.
- Recent market activity shows AMAT exhibiting higher volatility and momentum, while NVDA maintains a more established leadership position in AI infrastructure.
- Sector exposure differs notably: AMAT operates in semiconductor capital equipment, introducing cyclical elements, whereas NVDA focuses on high-margin graphics processing units (GPUs) and accelerated computing platforms.
Introduction
Applied Materials (AMAT) and NVIDIA (NVDA) represent two distinct yet interconnected segments of the semiconductor industry, both benefiting from the ongoing expansion of artificial intelligence applications. This comparison examines their relative performance, business models, and positioning in the current market environment. Institutional investors, active traders, and portfolio managers seeking exposure to AI-driven growth may find this analysis relevant for evaluating risk-adjusted opportunities and sector allocation decisions. The discussion draws on observable market data and recent developments to provide a factual basis for understanding how these stocks have behaved amid broader technology sector dynamics.
AMAT Overview and Recent Performance
Applied Materials, Inc. provides equipment, services, and software for the manufacture of semiconductor chips, display products, and related technologies. The company plays a key role in the semiconductor supply chain by supplying tools used in deposition, etching, and other critical fabrication processes. In recent weeks, AMAT shares have shown notable strength, closing near $539 on August 7, 2026, following a session gain of 2.21%. Year-to-date returns have exceeded 110%, outpacing the broader market. Sentiment has been supported by analyst price target increases and expectations surrounding the company's fiscal third-quarter earnings report, scheduled for August 13, 2026, with anticipated revenue of approximately $8.95 billion. Market activity reflects sensitivity to AI-related capital expenditure trends and overall semiconductor demand, with periods of volatility observed in July giving way to recovery in early August.
NVDA Overview and Recent Performance
NVIDIA Corporation designs and manufactures graphics processing units (GPUs) and systems that power accelerated computing, artificial intelligence, and data center applications. The company holds a leading position in the AI chip market through its CUDA software platform and specialized hardware. Recent trading activity has seen NVDA shares close at approximately $224 on August 7, 2026. Year-to-date performance stands near 20%, with the stock maintaining stability ahead of its fiscal second-quarter earnings release on August 26, 2026. Broader sentiment remains influenced by sustained demand for data center solutions, which accounted for the majority of recent revenue. Market positioning reflects resilience amid fluctuating technology sector conditions, supported by the company's established ecosystem and recurring revenue streams from AI deployments.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Applied Materials operates in the semiconductor capital equipment sector, deriving revenue from sales of fabrication tools that benefit from industry-wide capacity expansions tied to AI and advanced chip production. In contrast, NVIDIA focuses on designing high-performance chips and software platforms that directly enable AI model training and inference, resulting in higher gross margins and more direct exposure to end-user AI adoption. Recent momentum favors AMAT on a year-to-date basis, reflecting stronger price appreciation amid equipment demand signals, while NVDA has delivered more moderate gains but maintains leadership in its core market. Risk factors for AMAT include cyclical order patterns and sensitivity to global manufacturing cycles, whereas NVDA faces competition in the accelerator space and valuation considerations relative to growth expectations. Sector exposure places both within technology but differentiates them by value chain position: upstream equipment versus downstream chip leadership. Market sentiment for AMAT has been bolstered by upcoming earnings catalysts, while NVDA sentiment centers on sustained data center momentum.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable trend consistency, relative momentum, and positioning ahead of earnings catalysts, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probability of favorable short-term performance to AMAT. The stock’s stronger year-to-date trajectory and proximity to an earnings report with positive expectations provide a more immediate set of supportive factors compared with NVDA’s steadier but less pronounced recent gains. This assessment remains probabilistic and reflects current market data rather than a guarantee of future results.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AMAT is a Hold and NVDA is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AMAT’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileNVDA’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- AMAT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- NVDA’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AMAT’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NVDA’s TA Score has 7 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AMAT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- NVDA’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 2 bearish.
Price Growth
AMAT (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а +2.60% price change this week, while NVDA (@Semiconductors) price change was +2.22% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +5.95%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.07%, and the average quarterly price growth was +45.73%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +4.01%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.25%, and the average quarterly price growth was +48.68%.
Reported Earning Dates
AMAT is expected to report earnings on Aug 13, 2026.
NVDA is expected to report earnings on Aug 26, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (+5.95% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
@Semiconductors (+4.01% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| AMAT | NVDA | AMAT / NVDA | |
| Capitalization | 435B | 5.43T | 8% |
| EBITDA | 11.1B | 193B | 6% |
| Gain YTD | 113.828 | 20.308 | 561% |
| P/E Ratio | 51.57 | 34.32 | 150% |
| Revenue | 29B | 253B | 11% |
| Total Cash | 8.24B | 80.6B | 10% |
| Total Debt | 7.27B | 12.3B | 59% |
AMAT | NVDA | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 67 | 33 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 71 Overvalued | 72 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 35 | 6 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 25 | 12 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 37 | 49 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 7 | 90 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AMAT's Valuation (71) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NVDA (72) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that AMAT’s stock grew similarly to NVDA’s over the last 12 months.
NVDA's Profit vs Risk Rating (6) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as AMAT (35) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that NVDA’s stock grew similarly to AMAT’s over the last 12 months.
NVDA's SMR Rating (12) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as AMAT (25) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that NVDA’s stock grew similarly to AMAT’s over the last 12 months.
AMAT's Price Growth Rating (37) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NVDA (49) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that AMAT’s stock grew similarly to NVDA’s over the last 12 months.
AMAT's P/E Growth Rating (7) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is significantly better than the same rating for NVDA (90) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that AMAT’s stock grew significantly faster than NVDA’s over the last 12 months.
| AMAT | NVDA | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 84% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 80% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 80% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 79% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 9 days ago 82% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 89% | 1 day ago 79% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 85% |
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AMAT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AMAT has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AMAT jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AMAT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMAT | 100% | +4.29% | ||
| LRCX - AMAT | 89% Closely correlated | +4.72% | ||
| KLAC - AMAT | 87% Closely correlated | +3.88% | ||
| ONTO - AMAT | 81% Closely correlated | +5.49% | ||
| NVMI - AMAT | 81% Closely correlated | +2.51% | ||
| ASML - AMAT | 79% Closely correlated | +0.59% | ||
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NVDA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NVDA has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NVDA jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NVDA | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | 100% | +3.03% | ||
| LRCX - NVDA | 70% Closely correlated | +4.72% | ||
| KLAC - NVDA | 69% Closely correlated | +3.88% | ||
| AMAT - NVDA | 66% Closely correlated | +4.29% | ||
| AMKR - NVDA | 63% Loosely correlated | +2.38% | ||
| CAMT - NVDA | 63% Loosely correlated | +5.95% | ||
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