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AMAT vs NVMI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Applied Materials (AMAT) vs. Nova Ltd. (NVMI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AMAT has delivered stronger year-to-date returns than NVMI, supported by robust quarterly results and broad exposure to semiconductor manufacturing equipment.
- NVMI focuses on specialized metrology and process control solutions, offering higher growth potential in niche segments but with greater stock volatility.
- Both companies operate in the semiconductor equipment sector and have benefited from ongoing AI-driven demand for advanced chips over recent weeks.
- AMAT reported record revenue and earnings in its most recent quarter, while NVMI is scheduled to release second-quarter results in early August.
- Market sentiment for both stocks has fluctuated with broader semiconductor industry trends, including profit-taking after sharp rallies earlier in the period.
- AMAT maintains a larger market capitalization and more diversified revenue streams compared to the smaller, more specialized NVMI.
Introduction
Applied Materials (AMAT) and Nova Ltd. (NVMI) are two publicly traded companies within the semiconductor equipment industry, each playing distinct roles in the chip manufacturing supply chain. This comparison examines their business models, recent stock performance, and relative positioning amid evolving market conditions driven by artificial intelligence and advanced semiconductor demand. The analysis is relevant for traders and investors seeking to understand differences in scale, growth drivers, and risk profiles between a large-cap equipment leader and a specialized metrology provider. It provides factual context on recent market activity to support informed evaluation of these equities in a dynamic sector environment.
AMAT Overview and Recent Performance
Applied Materials, Inc. supplies equipment, services, and software used in the fabrication of semiconductor chips, displays, and related products. The company serves major foundries and memory manufacturers globally. In recent market activity, AMAT shares experienced notable volatility, reaching 52-week highs near $740 in late June before pulling back amid sector-wide profit-taking. The stock closed at $570.50 on July 8, 2026, reflecting a 2.89% gain that day. Year-to-date returns have been strong, exceeding 122% in some measures, supported by solid second-quarter fiscal 2026 results that included record revenue of $7.91 billion and improved earnings. Sentiment has been influenced by sustained demand for AI-related manufacturing capacity, tempered by broader market rotation and valuation concerns following the earlier rally.
NVMI Overview and Recent Performance
Nova Ltd. provides metrology and process control solutions that help semiconductor manufacturers optimize production yields and quality. Its technologies are critical for advanced node development. In recent market activity, NVMI shares have shown significant movement, trading near $452 on July 8, 2026, after fluctuating within a 52-week range of approximately $233 to $616. Year-to-date performance stands around 38%, with the stock benefiting from industry tailwinds but also subject to sharper swings than larger peers. The company is set to report second-quarter 2026 financial results on August 6. Recent sentiment has reflected AI-driven semiconductor demand alongside periodic pullbacks following periods of strong gains earlier in the year.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Applied Materials operates as a broad-based semiconductor equipment supplier with substantial scale and diversified exposure across deposition, etching, and other process technologies, while Nova Ltd. specializes in metrology and process control, offering deeper focus within a narrower segment of the value chain. AMAT benefits from larger revenue streams and established relationships with major chipmakers, contributing to relatively more stable recent performance despite volatility. In contrast, NVMI exhibits higher sensitivity to specific technology node transitions, resulting in greater price swings. Both face similar sector risks, including cyclical demand and geopolitical supply-chain factors, but AMAT’s size provides broader market positioning. Recent momentum has favored larger players amid AI infrastructure spending, though specialized capabilities at Nova support differentiated growth opportunities in advanced manufacturing.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings stability, and relative positioning within the semiconductor equipment sector, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to AMAT over NVMI. The larger company’s stronger recent quarterly results and broader exposure to sustained AI-related demand provide a more consistent backdrop, though both equities remain subject to sector volatility and macroeconomic influences.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AMAT is a StrongBuy and NVMI is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AMAT’s FA Score shows that 4 FA rating(s) are green whileNVMI’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- AMAT’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- NVMI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AMAT’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NVMI’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AMAT’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- NVMI’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
AMAT (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а -2.94% price change this week, while NVMI (@Electronic Production Equipment) price change was -2.98% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +5.26%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -13.15%, and the average quarterly price growth was +59.87%.
Reported Earning Dates
AMAT is expected to report earnings on Aug 13, 2026.
NVMI is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (+5.26% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
| AMAT | NVMI | AMAT / NVMI | |
| Capitalization | 473B | 15B | 3,153% |
| EBITDA | 11.1B | 284M | 3,908% |
| Gain YTD | 124.454 | 37.864 | 329% |
| P/E Ratio | 56.04 | 59.30 | 95% |
| Revenue | 29B | 903M | 3,212% |
| Total Cash | 8.24B | 1.1B | 750% |
| Total Debt | 7.27B | 800M | 909% |
AMAT | NVMI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 79 | 66 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 77 Overvalued | 65 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 15 | 20 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 24 | 42 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 2 | 47 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 7 | 25 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NVMI's Valuation (65) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as AMAT (77). This means that NVMI’s stock grew similarly to AMAT’s over the last 12 months.
AMAT's Profit vs Risk Rating (15) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NVMI (20). This means that AMAT’s stock grew similarly to NVMI’s over the last 12 months.
AMAT's SMR Rating (24) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NVMI (42). This means that AMAT’s stock grew similarly to NVMI’s over the last 12 months.
AMAT's Price Growth Rating (2) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NVMI (47). This means that AMAT’s stock grew somewhat faster than NVMI’s over the last 12 months.
AMAT's P/E Growth Rating (7) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NVMI (25). This means that AMAT’s stock grew similarly to NVMI’s over the last 12 months.
| AMAT | NVMI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 72% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 70% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 78% | 5 days ago 79% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 64% | 13 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 77% |
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AMAT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AMAT has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AMAT jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AMAT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMAT | 100% | -4.50% | ||
| LRCX - AMAT | 89% Closely correlated | -5.83% | ||
| KLAC - AMAT | 87% Closely correlated | -4.00% | ||
| NVMI - AMAT | 79% Closely correlated | -4.87% | ||
| ASML - AMAT | 79% Closely correlated | -3.97% | ||
| QCOM - AMAT | 75% Closely correlated | -2.74% | ||
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NVMI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NVMI has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NVMI jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NVMI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVMI | 100% | -4.87% | ||
| LRCX - NVMI | 84% Closely correlated | -5.83% | ||
| AMAT - NVMI | 80% Closely correlated | -4.50% | ||
| KLAC - NVMI | 78% Closely correlated | -4.00% | ||
| CAMT - NVMI | 76% Closely correlated | -4.88% | ||
| ASML - NVMI | 76% Closely correlated | -3.97% | ||
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