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AMAT vs NVMI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Applied Materials (AMAT) vs. Nova Ltd. (NVMI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Applied Materials (AMAT) operates as a broad-based leader in semiconductor materials engineering equipment, while Nova Ltd. (NVMI) specializes in process control and metrology solutions for advanced chip manufacturing.
- In recent market activity, AMAT has delivered stronger year-to-date gains compared to NVMI, reflecting broader exposure to AI-driven wafer fabrication equipment demand.
- NVMI reported record quarterly revenue and earnings in its most recent results, underscoring resilience in metrology demand amid semiconductor cycles.
- Both companies benefit from AI-related semiconductor investments, though AMAT faces greater scrutiny over international trade restrictions.
- Market sentiment for AMAT shows elevated analyst price targets and upcoming earnings as key near-term catalysts, while NVMI’s post-earnings reaction highlighted volatility despite fundamental beats.
- Relative performance contrasts highlight trade-offs between AMAT’s scale and diversification versus NVMI’s focused growth in high-precision inspection technologies.
Introduction
Applied Materials (AMAT) and Nova Ltd. (NVMI) represent complementary segments within the semiconductor capital equipment industry. AMAT provides materials engineering solutions essential for chip fabrication, whereas NVMI focuses on metrology and process control tools that ensure manufacturing precision. This comparison appeals to traders and investors seeking exposure to AI-fueled semiconductor growth, cyclical equipment spending patterns, and differentiated risk profiles. Market participants evaluating relative momentum, sector positioning, and performance across varying market conditions may find the analysis relevant for portfolio construction or tactical allocation decisions.
AMAT Overview and Recent Performance
Applied Materials (AMAT) is the world’s largest supplier of semiconductor wafer fabrication equipment, offering a wide portfolio spanning deposition, etching, and other critical process steps. In recent weeks, the stock has exhibited resilience amid broader technology sector fluctuations, supported by sustained AI-related demand for advanced manufacturing tools. Analyst commentary has emphasized upcoming fiscal third-quarter results as a focal point, with expectations centered on revenue growth driven by leading-edge node investments. Sentiment has been influenced by multiple upward revisions to price targets from major firms, alongside ongoing discussions regarding export regulations and customer concentration. Year-to-date returns have significantly outpaced broader market benchmarks, reflecting the company’s established market leadership and diversified customer base across foundry and memory segments.
NVMI Overview and Recent Performance
Nova Ltd. (NVMI) develops and markets advanced metrology and process control solutions used in semiconductor manufacturing, particularly for measuring thin films and critical dimensions in complex device structures. Recent market activity has featured record quarterly revenue and earnings in the company’s latest reported period, highlighting continued strength in demand for high-precision inspection amid AI chip production ramps. The stock has shown notable volatility following these results, with price movements reflecting broader semiconductor equipment sector swings rather than company-specific fundamentals alone. Performance over recent weeks has been shaped by positive earnings surprises offset by macro concerns affecting the group. Year-to-date gains, while positive, have trailed those of larger peers, consistent with NVMI’s more specialized positioning within the value chain.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Applied Materials (AMAT) and Nova Ltd. (NVMI) operate in adjacent but distinct areas of semiconductor equipment. AMAT’s comprehensive materials engineering portfolio provides broad exposure across the fabrication process, supporting scale advantages and multiple revenue streams, while NVMI’s metrology focus delivers targeted solutions for process monitoring with potentially higher growth sensitivity to advanced node transitions. Recent momentum has favored AMAT’s larger market capitalization and institutional following, though NVMI demonstrated stronger relative revenue expansion in its latest results. Risk factors differ: AMAT contends with wider geopolitical exposure, whereas NVMI’s smaller size may imply greater price volatility. Sector exposure remains aligned with AI and high-performance computing tailwinds for both, yet market sentiment has rewarded AMAT’s diversified positioning more consistently in recent periods. Trade-offs center on AMAT’s stability versus NVMI’s specialized upside potential in precision technologies.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings delivery, and relative positioning within the semiconductor equipment landscape, Tickeron’s AI-driven analysis would currently assign a modest probabilistic edge to Nova Ltd. (NVMI) for strategies emphasizing near-term growth catalysts and momentum alignment. AMAT (AMAT) continues to present compelling attributes in stability and breadth that could appeal to longer-horizon or mean-reversion approaches. The assessment remains probabilistic and subject to evolving market data rather than a definitive ranking.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AMAT is a Buy and NVMI is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AMAT’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileNVMI’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- AMAT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- NVMI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AMAT’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NVMI’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AMAT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- NVMI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
AMAT (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а -9.45% price change this week, while NVMI (@Electronic Production Equipment) price change was -13.79% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was -12.07%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.31%, and the average quarterly price growth was +19.22%.
Reported Earning Dates
AMAT is expected to report earnings on Nov 12, 2026.
NVMI is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (-12.07% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
| AMAT | NVMI | AMAT / NVMI | |
| Capitalization | 384B | 11.5B | 3,339% |
| EBITDA | 11.5B | 284M | 4,049% |
| Gain YTD | 89.080 | 10.463 | 851% |
| P/E Ratio | 41.78 | 45.17 | 92% |
| Revenue | 30.8B | 903M | 3,411% |
| Total Cash | 1.5B | 1.1B | 136% |
| Total Debt | 7.27B | 800M | 909% |
AMAT | NVMI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 61 | 8 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 68 Overvalued | 63 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 40 | 45 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 14 | 42 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 38 | 63 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 7 | 21 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NVMI's Valuation (63) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as AMAT (68). This means that NVMI’s stock grew similarly to AMAT’s over the last 12 months.
AMAT's Profit vs Risk Rating (40) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NVMI (45). This means that AMAT’s stock grew similarly to NVMI’s over the last 12 months.
AMAT's SMR Rating (14) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NVMI (42). This means that AMAT’s stock grew similarly to NVMI’s over the last 12 months.
AMAT's Price Growth Rating (38) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NVMI (63). This means that AMAT’s stock grew similarly to NVMI’s over the last 12 months.
AMAT's P/E Growth Rating (7) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NVMI (21). This means that AMAT’s stock grew similarly to NVMI’s over the last 12 months.
| AMAT | NVMI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 85% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 85% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 77% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 68% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 73% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 78% | 12 days ago 78% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 70% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 81% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 59% |
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AMAT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AMAT has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 90% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AMAT jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AMAT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMAT | 100% | -1.65% | ||
| LRCX - AMAT | 90% Closely correlated | -1.22% | ||
| KLAC - AMAT | 87% Closely correlated | -1.32% | ||
| ONTO - AMAT | 83% Closely correlated | -3.55% | ||
| ASML - AMAT | 80% Closely correlated | -1.34% | ||
| NVMI - AMAT | 80% Closely correlated | -3.78% | ||
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