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AMAT vs NVMI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Applied Materials (AMAT) vs. Nova Ltd. (NVMI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both AMAT and NVMI operate in the semiconductor equipment sector, benefiting from artificial intelligence-driven demand for advanced chip manufacturing.
- AMAT maintains a significantly larger scale with market capitalization exceeding $360 billion compared to NVMI’s approximately $12 billion, offering broader revenue diversification across semiconductor systems and services.
- Recent market activity shows both stocks experiencing pullbacks from earlier 2026 highs amid sector consolidation, with AMAT demonstrating stronger year-to-date resilience relative to its size.
- NVMI specializes in metrology and process control solutions, providing exposure to high-precision measurement needs in logic, memory, and advanced packaging segments.
- AMAT reported record quarterly revenue in its most recent earnings, supported by multi-year visibility into AI-related capital expenditures.
- NVMI authorized a $200 million share repurchase program following solid quarterly results that exceeded expectations.
Introduction
This comparison examines AMAT (Applied Materials, Inc.) and NVMI (Nova Ltd.), two companies providing essential technologies for semiconductor fabrication. Investors and traders focused on the semiconductor equipment industry, particularly those seeking exposure to artificial intelligence infrastructure buildouts, may find this analysis relevant. The review highlights differences in business scale, recent performance trends, and market positioning within a sector influenced by cyclical capital spending and technological advancements in chip production.
AMAT Overview and Recent Performance
Applied Materials, Inc. delivers materials engineering solutions, equipment, and services primarily for semiconductor manufacturing. Its operations span deposition, etch, and inspection processes critical to advanced chip production. In recent market activity, AMAT shares traded near $456 following a period of consolidation after earlier 2026 gains driven by AI-related demand. The company reported record revenue of $9.12 billion in its third quarter, reflecting year-over-year growth and elevated visibility into multi-year customer commitments for AI compute applications. Sentiment has been supported by strong earnings and forward guidance, though broader sector pullbacks have tempered short-term momentum.
NVMI Overview and Recent Performance
Nova Ltd. designs and supplies process control and metrology systems used in semiconductor manufacturing, focusing on dimensional, materials, and chemical measurements for logic, foundry, memory, and packaging applications. In recent market activity, NVMI shares traded near $372 after experiencing volatility aligned with sector trends. The company posted solid second-quarter results with revenue growth exceeding expectations and subsequently announced a $200 million share repurchase authorization. Performance has reflected both the benefits of AI-driven process complexity and the effects of market-wide consolidation in semiconductor equipment valuations.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AMAT operates as a broad-based provider of wafer fabrication equipment with substantial recurring service revenue, while NVMI focuses narrowly on metrology solutions that address increasing process control demands at advanced technology nodes. Growth drivers for both center on AI-related capital expenditures, yet AMAT benefits from greater scale and diversification across multiple fabrication steps. Recent momentum shows AMAT with more stable earnings visibility compared to NVMI’s higher beta exposure to sector sentiment shifts. Risk factors include cyclical downturns in semiconductor spending, with AMAT carrying larger absolute debt levels offset by superior cash generation. Market sentiment favors established leaders like AMAT for relative stability, while NVMI offers potentially higher sensitivity to specialized metrology tailwinds in advanced packaging.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency, earnings stability, and relative positioning within the semiconductor equipment sector, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign higher probabilistic favor to AMAT. Its larger scale and multi-year visibility into AI-driven orders provide a broader foundation for sustained performance compared to NVMI’s more concentrated metrology focus, though both remain subject to sector cyclicality.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Disclaimers and LimitationsTo compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AMAT is a StrongBuy and NVMI is a Buy.
| AMAT | NVMI | AMAT / NVMI | |
| Capitalization | 337B | 10.6B | 3,179% |
| EBITDA | 11.5B | 295M | 3,898% |
| Gain YTD | 65.657 | 1.906 | 3,444% |
| P/E Ratio | 36.60 | 41.64 | 88% |
| Revenue | 30.8B | 937M | 3,287% |
| Total Cash | 9.23B | 1.02B | 904% |
| Total Debt | 7.35B | 803M | 915% |
AMAT | NVMI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 67 Overvalued | 63 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 42 | 47 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 25 | 45 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 63 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 7 | 25 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NVMI's Valuation (63) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as AMAT (67). This means that NVMI’s stock grew similarly to AMAT’s over the last 12 months.
AMAT's Profit vs Risk Rating (42) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NVMI (47). This means that AMAT’s stock grew similarly to NVMI’s over the last 12 months.
AMAT's SMR Rating (25) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NVMI (45). This means that AMAT’s stock grew similarly to NVMI’s over the last 12 months.
AMAT's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NVMI (63). This means that AMAT’s stock grew similarly to NVMI’s over the last 12 months.
AMAT's P/E Growth Rating (7) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NVMI (25). This means that AMAT’s stock grew similarly to NVMI’s over the last 12 months.
| AMAT | NVMI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 86% | 4 days ago 76% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 80% | 4 days ago 69% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 73% | 4 days ago 87% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 70% | 4 days ago 84% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 77% | 4 days ago 79% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 68% | 4 days ago 72% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 78% | 7 days ago 77% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 65% | 5 days ago 71% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 63% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AMAT’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while NVMI’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- AMAT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- NVMI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AMAT’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NVMI’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AMAT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
- NVMI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
AMAT (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а -6.71% price change this week, while NVMI (@Electronic Production Equipment) price change was -10.06% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was -5.92%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -23.42%, and the average quarterly price growth was +10.49%.
Reported Earning Dates
AMAT is expected to report earnings on Nov 12, 2026.
NVMI is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (-5.92% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
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AMAT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AMAT has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 90% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AMAT jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AMAT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMAT | 100% | -7.07% | ||
| LRCX - AMAT | 90% Closely correlated | -8.29% | ||
| KLAC - AMAT | 87% Closely correlated | -6.39% | ||
| ONTO - AMAT | 83% Closely correlated | -11.07% | ||
| NVMI - AMAT | 82% Closely correlated | -9.99% | ||
| ASML - AMAT | 81% Closely correlated | -7.25% | ||
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NVMI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NVMI has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NVMI jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NVMI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVMI | 100% | -9.99% | ||
| LRCX - NVMI | 85% Closely correlated | -8.29% | ||
| AMAT - NVMI | 81% Closely correlated | -7.07% | ||
| ASML - NVMI | 78% Closely correlated | -7.25% | ||
| ONTO - NVMI | 78% Closely correlated | -11.07% | ||
| KLAC - NVMI | 78% Closely correlated | -6.39% | ||
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