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AMAT vs ASML
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Applied Materials (AMAT) vs. ASML Holding (ASML) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AMAT reported record Q3 2026 revenue of $9.115 billion, up 25% year-over-year, driven by AI-related semiconductor equipment demand across deposition, etch, and inspection tools.
- ASML maintains a near-monopoly in extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography systems, with strong backlog and analyst targets reflecting sustained long-term visibility into advanced chip manufacturing.
- Both stocks have delivered substantial year-to-date gains in 2026 amid AI infrastructure spending, though AMAT has shown more pronounced recent volatility with a sharper pullback over the past month.
- AMAT offers broader exposure across multiple semiconductor process steps, while ASML provides concentrated leadership in the critical lithography segment essential for leading-edge nodes.
- Recent market activity highlights robust earnings growth and dividend announcements for AMAT, alongside analyst adjustments and capacity expansion signals for ASML.
- Relative performance reflects shared sector tailwinds from artificial intelligence but differing risk profiles tied to business model concentration and geographic exposure.
Introduction
Applied Materials (AMAT) and ASML Holding (ASML) rank among the leading providers of semiconductor manufacturing equipment, each playing distinct yet complementary roles in the production of advanced chips. This comparison examines their business models, recent stock behavior, and market positioning in the current environment shaped by artificial intelligence-driven demand. The analysis is relevant for traders and investors focused on the semiconductor supply chain, including those evaluating relative performance, growth drivers, and risk factors within the equipment sector. Data draws from recent financial reports and market observations to highlight observable contrasts without forward projections.
AMAT Overview and Recent Performance
Applied Materials supplies equipment for deposition, etch, ion implantation, and inspection processes used in semiconductor fabrication. In recent weeks, the stock has experienced a pullback following earlier strength, with shares trading near $456 amid broader market movements. The company delivered record third-quarter 2026 results, including revenue of $9.115 billion, reflecting 25% year-over-year growth tied to heightened demand for AI-related logic and memory production. Management has noted multi-year order visibility and rolling forecasts from customers. Additional developments include a quarterly dividend declaration. Sentiment has been influenced by strong operational metrics and continued emphasis on advanced packaging and high-bandwidth memory applications, though shorter-term price action shows sensitivity to sector rotation.
ASML Overview and Recent Performance
ASML Holding specializes in lithography systems, holding a dominant position in extreme ultraviolet (EUV) technology critical for advanced semiconductor nodes. Over recent market activity, the stock has held gains with year-to-date appreciation around 30-59% depending on the measurement period, trading in the €1,400 range amid analyst target updates. The company benefits from a substantial backlog and has reported strong quarterly sales growth in prior periods, supported by demand from memory and logic manufacturers. Recent commentary includes capacity expansion plans and reaffirmation of long-term outlooks. Performance reflects sustained interest in EUV and high-numerical-aperture EUV tools, with sentiment shaped by customer commitments and periodic adjustments to price targets by research firms.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Applied Materials operates across a wide array of semiconductor process steps excluding lithography, providing diversified exposure to deposition, etch, and metrology tools. ASML focuses exclusively on lithography, creating a concentrated moat in the essential patterning technology required for sub-5nm nodes. Growth drivers for both center on artificial intelligence infrastructure, yet AMAT captures incremental wafer starts across multiple segments while ASML benefits from high barriers in EUV systems. Recent momentum shows AMAT with stronger year-over-year revenue expansion in its latest quarter, contrasted with ASML’s emphasis on backlog stability and analyst target recalibrations. Risk factors differ: AMAT faces broader competitive dynamics in equipment supply, whereas ASML contends with geopolitical considerations around technology export controls. Sector exposure overlaps heavily in foundry and memory markets, though market sentiment has rewarded both with elevated valuations reflecting AI tailwinds, tempered by periodic volatility in equipment spending cycles.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency in recent earnings delivery, stability of customer commitments, and relative positioning within the AI-driven equipment cycle, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a modestly higher probabilistic preference to AMAT for short-term momentum alignment. This assessment incorporates recent revenue outperformance and visibility signals, balanced against ASML’s structural advantages in lithography. Outcomes remain subject to evolving market data and sector dynamics.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) and Applied Materials, Inc. (AMAT) are technology companies which serve the needs of semiconductor chip manufacturers with specialized equipment and diagnostic tools. ASML is based in the Netherlands while AMAT is based in California, but both maintain a significant global presence. ASML is the larger of the two, with an enterprise value of $353B compared to AMAT’s EV of $121B. ASML’s core products are lithography and metrology equipment designed for chip manufacturers. AMAT offers a wide array of products and services to chip manufacturers, and also has a displays segment which creates products for use in the manufacture of LED and OLED display screens for telephones, computers, and televisions. AMAT’s ROE appears stronger as of this writing, at 49%, against ASML’s 38%. AMAT also just experienced a quarterly earnings growth (yoy) over 100%, but ASML’s is also commendable at 38%.
AMAT | ASML | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 12 | 36 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 67 Overvalued | 81 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 43 | 21 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 25 | 20 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 41 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 9 | 9 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AMAT's Valuation (67) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as ASML (81). This means that AMAT’s stock grew similarly to ASML’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's Profit vs Risk Rating (21) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as AMAT (43). This means that ASML’s stock grew similarly to AMAT’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's SMR Rating (20) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as AMAT (25). This means that ASML’s stock grew similarly to AMAT’s over the last 12 months.
AMAT's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as ASML (41). This means that AMAT’s stock grew similarly to ASML’s over the last 12 months.
AMAT's P/E Growth Rating (9) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as ASML (9). This means that AMAT’s stock grew similarly to ASML’s over the last 12 months.
| AMAT | ASML | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 65% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 76% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 72% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 76% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 65% | 14 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 81% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 61% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AMAT’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while ASML’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- AMAT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- ASML’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AMAT’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ASML’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AMAT’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
- ASML’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AMAT (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а +12.18% price change this week, while ASML (@Electronic Production Equipment) price change was +9.83% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +11.59%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.21%, and the average quarterly price growth was +28.82%.
Reported Earning Dates
AMAT is expected to report earnings on Nov 12, 2026.
ASML is expected to report earnings on Oct 14, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (+11.59% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
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AMAT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AMAT has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 91% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AMAT jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AMAT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMAT | 100% | +1.77% | ||
| LRCX - AMAT | 91% Closely correlated | +2.87% | ||
| KLAC - AMAT | 87% Closely correlated | +2.36% | ||
| ONTO - AMAT | 83% Closely correlated | +2.84% | ||
| NVMI - AMAT | 82% Closely correlated | +1.97% | ||
| ASML - AMAT | 82% Closely correlated | +2.14% | ||
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ASML and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ASML has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ASML jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ASML | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASML | 100% | +2.14% | ||
| LRCX - ASML | 85% Closely correlated | +2.87% | ||
| AMAT - ASML | 82% Closely correlated | +1.77% | ||
| KLAC - ASML | 81% Closely correlated | +2.36% | ||
| NVMI - ASML | 79% Closely correlated | +1.97% | ||
| ENTG - ASML | 73% Closely correlated | +5.57% | ||
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