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LRCX vs NVMI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) vs. Nova Ltd. (NVMI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- LRCX and NVMI both operate in the semiconductor equipment sector, with LRCX as a larger player in etch and deposition tools and NVMI specializing in metrology and process control solutions.
- Recent market activity shows LRCX trading near $298 with a market capitalization of approximately $373 billion, while NVMI trades near $372 with a market capitalization of about $11.8 billion.
- LRCX announced a 27% dividend increase and returned over $5 billion to shareholders through buybacks and dividends in fiscal 2026, alongside plans for more than $3 billion in global lab network expansion.
- NVMI authorized a $200 million share repurchase program following record second-quarter results driven by demand in advanced packaging and AI-related metrology.
- Both stocks have experienced volatility in recent weeks, with sector-wide pressures contributing to monthly declines amid broader semiconductor equipment market fluctuations.
- Relative positioning highlights LRCX's scale and capital return focus versus NVMI's niche growth exposure and buyback commitment.
Introduction
This comparison examines LRCX (Lam Research Corporation) and NVMI (Nova Ltd.), two companies in the semiconductor equipment industry that support advanced chip manufacturing. Investors and traders focused on the semiconductor supply chain, AI-driven demand cycles, and relative performance within capital equipment may find this analysis relevant. The review covers business models, recent price behavior, key developments, and market positioning using observable data from the past several weeks. Broader context on sector trends provides perspective without short-term specificity.
LRCX Overview and Recent Performance
Lam Research Corporation designs and manufactures equipment for semiconductor fabrication, with core strengths in etch, deposition, and clean processes essential for advanced logic and memory chips. In recent market activity, LRCX shares have traded around $298 amid a market capitalization near $373 billion. Performance in recent weeks reflects sector pressures, with one-month declines noted alongside year-to-date gains exceeding 60%. Key developments include a 27% quarterly dividend increase to $0.33 per share and the return of more than $5 billion to shareholders via repurchases and dividends in fiscal 2026. The company also outlined investments exceeding $3 billion to expand its global R&D lab network, supporting innovation in the AI era. Sentiment has been influenced by upward revisions to wafer fabrication equipment spending forecasts, driven by sustained AI-related demand.
NVMI Overview and Recent Performance
Nova Ltd. provides metrology and process control solutions used in semiconductor manufacturing to measure and inspect critical dimensions during chip production. In recent market activity, NVMI shares have traded near $372 with a market capitalization of approximately $11.8 billion. Performance in recent weeks shows volatility, including monthly declines amid broader equipment sector movements, though year-to-date results remain positive. Notable developments include authorization of a $200 million share repurchase program and record second-quarter financial results supported by demand in advanced packaging and AI-related applications. Analyst consensus maintains a Moderate Buy rating with elevated price targets. Sentiment reflects confidence in long-term growth drivers, tempered by sector-wide multiple adjustments and recent price fluctuations.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
LRCX operates at significantly larger scale than NVMI, with revenue and market capitalization multiples higher due to its broad equipment portfolio versus NVMI’s specialized metrology focus. Growth drivers for LRCX center on established positions in etch and deposition amid AI infrastructure buildout, while NVMI benefits from increased inspection needs in advanced nodes and packaging. Recent momentum shows both facing sector headwinds, yet LRCX emphasizes capital returns through dividends and buybacks, contrasting NVMI’s share repurchase authorization tied to operational results. Risk factors include cyclical exposure for both, with LRCX offering greater stability from diversification and NVMI presenting higher volatility typical of smaller peers. Market sentiment remains constructive on AI tailwinds, though relative positioning favors LRCX for institutional-scale exposure and NVMI for targeted growth potential.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency, scale, recent capital return initiatives, and positioning within the AI-driven equipment cycle, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to LRCX over NVMI. The larger company’s broader revenue base and dividend actions provide a measure of stability amid sector fluctuations, while NVMI offers complementary but narrower exposure. This assessment reflects relative metrics rather than absolute outcomes and carries no guarantee of future performance.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is LRCX is a Buy and NVMI is a Buy.
LRCX | NVMI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 84 Overvalued | 62 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 31 | 47 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 18 | 45 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 38 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 9 | 31 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NVMI's Valuation (62) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as LRCX (84). This means that NVMI’s stock grew similarly to LRCX’s over the last 12 months.
LRCX's Profit vs Risk Rating (31) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NVMI (47). This means that LRCX’s stock grew similarly to NVMI’s over the last 12 months.
LRCX's SMR Rating (18) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NVMI (45). This means that LRCX’s stock grew similarly to NVMI’s over the last 12 months.
LRCX's Price Growth Rating (38) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NVMI (60). This means that LRCX’s stock grew similarly to NVMI’s over the last 12 months.
LRCX's P/E Growth Rating (9) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NVMI (31). This means that LRCX’s stock grew similarly to NVMI’s over the last 12 months.
| LRCX | NVMI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 77% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 58% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 73% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 80% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 79% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 83% | 3 days ago 74% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 84% | 3 days ago 77% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 64% | 18 days ago 71% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 90% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 70% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
LRCX’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green while NVMI’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- LRCX’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- NVMI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
LRCX’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NVMI’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- LRCX’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- NVMI’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
LRCX (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а +9.52% price change this week, while NVMI (@Electronic Production Equipment) price change was +3.40% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +5.21%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.39%, and the average quarterly price growth was +28.33%.
Reported Earning Dates
LRCX is expected to report earnings on Oct 21, 2026.
NVMI is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (+5.21% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
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LRCX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LRCX has been closely correlated with AMAT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 91% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LRCX jumps, then AMAT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To LRCX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LRCX | 100% | +2.62% | ||
| AMAT - LRCX | 91% Closely correlated | +2.27% | ||
| KLAC - LRCX | 87% Closely correlated | +0.43% | ||
| ASML - LRCX | 85% Closely correlated | +1.24% | ||
| NVMI - LRCX | 85% Closely correlated | +0.39% | ||
| ONTO - LRCX | 83% Closely correlated | +2.83% | ||
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NVMI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NVMI has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NVMI jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NVMI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVMI | 100% | +0.39% | ||
| LRCX - NVMI | 85% Closely correlated | +2.62% | ||
| AMAT - NVMI | 82% Closely correlated | +2.27% | ||
| ASML - NVMI | 79% Closely correlated | +1.24% | ||
| ENTG - NVMI | 79% Closely correlated | +2.19% | ||
| ONTO - NVMI | 78% Closely correlated | +2.83% | ||
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