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AMCR vs PKG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Amcor plc (AMCR) vs. Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both AMCR and PKG are major packaging firms with similar market capitalizations around $19 billion, offering stability in the materials sector.
- PKG has demonstrated stronger recent momentum, with year-to-date (YTD) gains of 4.09% and one-year returns of 16.81%, outperforming AMCR's 1.19% YTD and 8.85% one-year.
- AMCR trades at a higher price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 31.32 compared to PKG's 24.87, indicating potentially richer valuation for AMCR.
- Recent catalysts include AMCR's revenue boost from the Berry Global acquisition and PKG's upcoming quarterly earnings amid plant optimization efforts.
- Analyst price targets point to moderate upside for both, averaging $50.37 for AMCR and $225.10 for PKG.
Introduction
Amcor plc (AMCR) and Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) are prominent players in the packaging industry, serving essential needs in food, beverage, and consumer goods sectors. This stock comparison is particularly relevant for investors seeking exposure to defensive materials stocks amid economic uncertainty, as both companies benefit from steady demand for sustainable packaging solutions. Traders monitoring relative performance may find value in evaluating their momentum, valuations, and sector positioning in recent market activity. By contrasting business models, financial metrics, and sentiment drivers, this analysis aids informed decision-making in a competitive landscape.
AMCR Overview and Recent Performance
Amcor plc (AMCR) is a global leader in developing and producing flexible and rigid packaging solutions for food, beverage, pharmaceutical, and personal care industries. Operating through segments like Global Flexible Packaging and Global Rigid Packaging, it serves diverse markets across Europe, North America, and Asia Pacific. In recent market activity, AMCR shares have traded around $41.65, near the lower end of their 52-week range ($37.95–$50.94). Performance has been tempered by rising energy costs and integration challenges from the recent Berry Global acquisition, which drove significant revenue growth (up 68% in Q2 FY2026 to $5.45 billion) but led to mixed analyst revisions, including lowered price targets. Sentiment reflects caution amid volume pressures, though strong adjusted EBITDA growth supports long-term stability.
PKG Overview and Recent Performance
Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) focuses on manufacturing containerboard, corrugated packaging, and uncoated freesheet paper, primarily in North America. Its Packaging and Paper segments produce shipping containers, displays, and specialty papers for e-commerce and industrial applications. Recently, PKG shares have hovered near $213.41, within a 52-week range of $176.45–$249.51. In recent weeks, the stock has shown resilience with positive YTD gains, buoyed by anticipated Q1 2026 earnings (expected revenue $2.41 billion). Factors influencing performance include strategic plant closures like Richmond to optimize costs and steady demand in corrugated products, though broader sector headwinds contribute to measured sentiment. Analyst views remain constructive with buy ratings intact.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AMCR emphasizes global flexible and rigid packaging with acquisition-driven growth, contrasting PKG’s North America-centric corrugated and paper focus with organic optimization. Growth drivers differ: AMCR leverages M&A (mergers and acquisitions) for scale, while PKG benefits from e-commerce packaging demand. Recent momentum favors PKG with superior returns, though AMCR shows revenue acceleration. Risk factors include cost inflation for AMCR and capacity adjustments for PKG. Both exhibit strong sector exposure to consumer staples, but PKG’s lower P/E and earnings per share (EPS) of $8.58 versus AMCR’s $1.33 suggest better value, with market sentiment tilting toward PKG’s stability.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI would currently favor PKG over AMCR, based on stronger trend consistency, higher YTD and one-year returns, and more attractive valuation multiples amid packaging sector dynamics. PKG’s positioning ahead of earnings and operational efficiencies provides a relative edge, though AMCR’s global scale offers diversification potential. This probabilistic assessment highlights PKG’s momentum in recent market conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AMCR is a Buy and PKG is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AMCR’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whilePKG’s FA Score has 4 green FA rating(s).
- AMCR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- PKG’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AMCR’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PKG’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AMCR’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- PKG’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
AMCR (@Containers/Packaging) experienced а -1.05% price change this week, while PKG (@Containers/Packaging) price change was +1.77% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Containers/Packaging industry was +0.45%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +9.86%, and the average quarterly price growth was +3.22%.
Reported Earning Dates
AMCR is expected to report earnings on Aug 19, 2026.
PKG is expected to report earnings on Jul 27, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Containers/Packaging (+0.45% weekly)The containers/packing sector includes companies that manufacture containers (like plastic and aluminum food containers, glass bottles, metal cans, cardboard, storage and waste bags, giftwraps etc.) and provide packing services. Food-and-beverage and household products are major markets for this business. Several companies in this industry cater to international markets in addition to serving domestic customers. Consumer spending habits could potentially affect this industry’s performance. Some products, that use oil-based materials as inputs, are likely to see their costs of production get impacted (to some extent) by energy price movements. The ever-expanding e-commerce market has only supercharged the amount/frequency of goods shipped domestically and across borders, thereby creating ample potential opportunities for containers and packaging businesses. Ball Corporation, International Paper Company, Amcor Plc and Packaging Corporation of America are some of the largest U.S. companies in this industry.
| AMCR | PKG | AMCR / PKG | |
| Capitalization | 18.8B | 20.9B | 90% |
| EBITDA | 2.84B | 1.82B | 156% |
| Gain YTD | 0.481 | 14.902 | 3% |
| P/E Ratio | 32.67 | 28.44 | 115% |
| Revenue | 22.2B | 9.22B | 241% |
| Total Cash | 1.59B | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 16.7B | 4.37B | 382% |
AMCR | PKG | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 24 | 31 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 8 Undervalued | 33 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 32 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 77 | 53 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 48 | 20 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 10 | 23 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AMCR's Valuation (8) in the null industry is in the same range as PKG (33) in the Containers Or Packaging industry. This means that AMCR’s stock grew similarly to PKG’s over the last 12 months.
PKG's Profit vs Risk Rating (32) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is significantly better than the same rating for AMCR (100) in the null industry. This means that PKG’s stock grew significantly faster than AMCR’s over the last 12 months.
PKG's SMR Rating (53) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is in the same range as AMCR (77) in the null industry. This means that PKG’s stock grew similarly to AMCR’s over the last 12 months.
PKG's Price Growth Rating (20) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is in the same range as AMCR (48) in the null industry. This means that PKG’s stock grew similarly to AMCR’s over the last 12 months.
AMCR's P/E Growth Rating (10) in the null industry is in the same range as PKG (23) in the Containers Or Packaging industry. This means that AMCR’s stock grew similarly to PKG’s over the last 12 months.
| AMCR | PKG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 46% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 68% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 46% | 1 day ago 64% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 61% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 46% | 1 day ago 64% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 44% | 9 days ago 62% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 20 days ago 56% | 6 days ago 46% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 52% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 62% |
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AMCR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AMCR has been loosely correlated with SW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if AMCR jumps, then SW could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AMCR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMCR | 100% | -0.97% | ||
| SW - AMCR | 60% Loosely correlated | +2.69% | ||
| AVY - AMCR | 57% Loosely correlated | -0.76% | ||
| GEF - AMCR | 57% Loosely correlated | +0.45% | ||
| CCK - AMCR | 54% Loosely correlated | +1.65% | ||
| BALL - AMCR | 53% Loosely correlated | +0.83% | ||
More | ||||
PKG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PKG has been closely correlated with SW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PKG jumps, then SW could also see price increases.