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AMCR vs PKG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Amcor (AMCR) vs. Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both AMCR and PKG operate in the packaging sector but focus on different product types, with AMCR emphasizing flexible packaging and PKG specializing in paper-based containers and containerboard.
- PKG delivered a stronger year-to-date return of approximately 14.43% compared to broader market benchmarks through mid-July 2026.
- Recent quarterly results for PKG showed revenue growth to $2.4 billion and an adjusted earnings per share of $2.40, alongside a 20% dividend increase.
- AMCR maintains a global footprint in flexible packaging solutions, providing exposure to diverse end markets including consumer goods and healthcare.
- Market sentiment for both stocks reflects steady demand in packaging amid economic conditions, with PKG showing notable dividend policy strength in recent activity.
- Relative performance highlights trade-offs between AMCR's international scale and PKG's domestic focus and recent earnings momentum.
Introduction
Amcor (AMCR) and Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) represent two established players in the packaging industry, offering investors exposure to essential materials used across consumer, industrial, and healthcare sectors. This comparison examines their business models, recent stock behavior, and relative positioning in the current market environment. Traders and investors seeking to understand sector dynamics, dividend profiles, and performance contrasts within packaging may find this analysis relevant for portfolio allocation decisions.
Amcor Overview and Recent Performance
Amcor is a global leader in packaging solutions, with a primary focus on flexible packaging products such as films, pouches, and specialty materials. The company serves a wide range of industries worldwide, benefiting from diversified geographic exposure. In recent market activity, AMCR has exhibited steady trading patterns influenced by broader economic indicators and demand for consumer packaging. Sentiment has remained balanced, supported by consistent operational scale and adaptation to sustainability trends in packaging materials.
Packaging Corporation of America Overview and Recent Performance
Packaging Corporation of America focuses on paper-based packaging, including corrugated containers, containerboard, and related products primarily for the North American market. The company reported first-quarter 2026 net sales of $2.4 billion, with adjusted earnings per share reaching $2.40. Recent market activity shows PKG trading around the $233 level in mid-July 2026, with a year-to-date return of 14.43%. A 20% dividend increase to an annualized $6.00 per share has contributed positively to investor sentiment in recent weeks.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Amcor and Packaging Corporation of America differ in geographic reach and product specialization: AMCR emphasizes flexible packaging with global operations, while PKG concentrates on paper-based solutions with a domestic emphasis. Recent momentum favors PKG through stronger year-to-date returns and explicit dividend growth. Risk factors include raw material costs and cyclical demand for both, though AMCR faces additional currency and international regulatory considerations. Sector exposure remains similar within packaging, yet market sentiment has highlighted PKG’s earnings delivery and capital return policies as distinguishing elements in recent periods.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency, earnings delivery, and dividend momentum, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to PKG. The stock’s year-to-date outperformance relative to benchmarks and recent policy actions on dividends provide measurable support in current conditions, while AMCR offers stability through its global scale. This assessment reflects relative positioning rather than absolute outcomes.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AMCR is a Buy and PKG is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AMCR’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whilePKG’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- AMCR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- PKG’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AMCR’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PKG’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AMCR’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- PKG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
AMCR (@Containers/Packaging) experienced а +0.76% price change this week, while PKG (@Containers/Packaging) price change was -3.36% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Containers/Packaging industry was -2.76%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.31%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2.03%.
Reported Earning Dates
AMCR is expected to report earnings on Aug 19, 2026.
PKG is expected to report earnings on Oct 26, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Containers/Packaging (-2.76% weekly)The containers/packing sector includes companies that manufacture containers (like plastic and aluminum food containers, glass bottles, metal cans, cardboard, storage and waste bags, giftwraps etc.) and provide packing services. Food-and-beverage and household products are major markets for this business. Several companies in this industry cater to international markets in addition to serving domestic customers. Consumer spending habits could potentially affect this industry’s performance. Some products, that use oil-based materials as inputs, are likely to see their costs of production get impacted (to some extent) by energy price movements. The ever-expanding e-commerce market has only supercharged the amount/frequency of goods shipped domestically and across borders, thereby creating ample potential opportunities for containers and packaging businesses. Ball Corporation, International Paper Company, Amcor Plc and Packaging Corporation of America are some of the largest U.S. companies in this industry.
| AMCR | PKG | AMCR / PKG | |
| Capitalization | 20.8B | 21.9B | 95% |
| EBITDA | 2.84B | 1.82B | 156% |
| Gain YTD | 10.855 | 20.700 | 52% |
| P/E Ratio | 36.05 | 31.93 | 113% |
| Revenue | 22.2B | 9.22B | 241% |
| Total Cash | 1.59B | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 16.7B | 4.37B | 382% |
AMCR | PKG | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 64 | 64 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 7 Undervalued | 34 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 24 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 76 | 54 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 23 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 9 | 14 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AMCR's Valuation (7) in the null industry is in the same range as PKG (34) in the Containers Or Packaging industry. This means that AMCR’s stock grew similarly to PKG’s over the last 12 months.
PKG's Profit vs Risk Rating (24) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is significantly better than the same rating for AMCR (100) in the null industry. This means that PKG’s stock grew significantly faster than AMCR’s over the last 12 months.
PKG's SMR Rating (54) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is in the same range as AMCR (76) in the null industry. This means that PKG’s stock grew similarly to AMCR’s over the last 12 months.
PKG's Price Growth Rating (23) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is in the same range as AMCR (46) in the null industry. This means that PKG’s stock grew similarly to AMCR’s over the last 12 months.
AMCR's P/E Growth Rating (9) in the null industry is in the same range as PKG (14) in the Containers Or Packaging industry. This means that AMCR’s stock grew similarly to PKG’s over the last 12 months.
| AMCR | PKG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 51% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 57% | 3 days ago 50% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 54% | 3 days ago 68% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 53% | 3 days ago 65% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 49% | 3 days ago 48% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 47% | 3 days ago 64% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 44% | 10 days ago 62% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 56% | 3 days ago 46% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 56% | 3 days ago 53% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 68% |
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PKG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PKG has been closely correlated with SW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PKG jumps, then SW could also see price increases.